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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Mitek Systems Inc (MITK) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq

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Rating · 90D Neutral Alpha
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Middle 30% of 5171 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 43.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $762M small-cap · #4 of 17 peers
Summary

Mitek Systems Inc (MITK) stock forecast summary

On Oct. 16, 2026, MITK is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5171 stocks scored that day.

Mitek Systems Inc is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $762M. It ranks number 4 by market capitalization among the 17 Computer Peripheral Equipment, NEC issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For MITK, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 43.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 11.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.7%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

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Price

MITK price chart and AI forecast

MITK
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How MITK ranks among 5171 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-06-30

Mitek Systems Inc (MITK) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Computer Peripheral Equipment, NEC peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricMITKIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $762M $170M 4/17
P/E Ratio 54.45x 54.45x 4/7
P/B Ratio 3.04x 1.79x 5/16
EPS $0.31 – –
Book Value/Share $5.55 – –
Revenue/Share $4.39 – –
FCF/Share $1.08 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricMITKIndustry medianRank
ROIC 11.5% 0.4% 3/13
Operating Margin 17.8% -0.0% 3/14
EBT Margin 16.0% 0.6% 4/14
Tax Rate 28.7% – –

Financial Health

MetricMITKIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 2.74x 2.14x 6/17
D/E Ratio 0.47x 0.77x 11/16
Financial Leverage 1.47x 1.77x 11/16
Interest Coverage 22.2x 0.2x 3/12
Working Capital $107M $109M 10/17

Cash Flow

MetricMITKIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $54M $15M 5/15
Free Cash Flow $49M $49M 5/9
Capital Spending -$5M -$16M 4/9
OCF Growth YoY -5.8% -5.8% 4/7
FCF Growth YoY -12.9% -13.1% 3/6
FCF/Sales 24.6% 6.2% 2/9
CapEx/Sales 2.6% 2.6% 5/9

Operational Efficiency

MetricMITKIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.54x 0.69x 8/11
Receivables Turnover 3.8x 5.5x 9/10
Fixed Assets Turnover 34.0x 27.4x 4/11
Days Sales Outstanding 96 days 66 days 2/10

Income Statement

MetricMITKIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $198M $203M 7/11
Operating Income $35M $15K 4/14
R&D Expense $31M $29M 6/12
SG&A Expense $115M $115M 7/13

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricMITKIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 45M – –
EPS Growth 158.3% – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$168M45.6% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$90M24.5% of assets
Accounts Receivable$52M14.2% of assets
Total Liabilities$118M31.9% of assets
Short-term Debt$57M15.5% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

MITK quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Computer Peripheral Equipment, NEC

Mitek Systems Inc (MITK) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Mitek Systems Inc (Computer Peripheral Equipment, NEC): 17 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
MITK Mitek Systems Inc ▶ $762M 54.5x 3.0x
FTNT Fortinet, Inc. ▲ $133.47B 68.1x 86.1x
LOGI Logitech International S.A. ▶ $15.06B 19.3x 6.4x
CRSR Corsair Gaming, Inc. ▶ $1.38B 127.9x 2.1x
EVLV Evolv Technologies Holdings, Inc. ▶ $753M – 6.3x
SSYS Stratasys Ltd. ▲ $608M – 0.7x
XRX Xerox Holdings Corp ▲ $352M – 1.1x
IMMR Immersion Corp ▶ $237M 5.7x 0.8x
RDCM Radcom Ltd ▼ $170M 68.3x 1.5x
LINK Interlink Electronics Inc ▲ $65M – 7.2x
YIBO Planet Image International Ltd ▲ $63M – 1.1x
INVE Inve Technologies, Inc. ▼ $56M – 0.4x
TACT Transact Technologies Inc ▲ $47M – 1.5x
WETH Wetouch Technology Inc. ▲ $44M 2.6x 0.3x
VTIX Virtuix Holdings Inc. ▶ $27M – –
MYND Mynd.Ai, Inc. ▲ $12M – 2.1x
AIMD Ainos, Inc. ▼ $7M – 2.2x

Where MITK sits on the market map

Technology · Computer Peripheral Equipment, NEC
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News

Mitek Systems Inc (MITK) stock news

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FAQ

Mitek Systems Inc (MITK) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Mitek Systems Inc (MITK) stock forecast?

On Oct. 16, 2026, MITK is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5171 stocks scored that day.

How accurate are Mitek Systems Inc stock predictions?

For MITK, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 43.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 11.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Mitek Systems Inc forecasts updated?

Mitek Systems Inc forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Mitek Systems Inc's industry peers?

17 issuers in our coverage, MITK included, share the SEC industry code Computer Peripheral Equipment, NEC. The largest are: Fortinet, Inc. (FTNT), Logitech International S.A. (LOGI), Corsair Gaming, Inc. (CRSR), Evolv Technologies Holdings, Inc. (EVLV), Stratasys Ltd. (SSYS), Xerox Holdings Corp (XRX).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.