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AI 90-DAY FORECAST
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Semtech Corp (SMTC) AI Forecast

Our AI ranks Semtech Corp outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

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$SMTC Bullish Signal Full forecast available

Semtech Corp (SMTC) Stock Forecast Sept. 25, 2026


Semtech Corp (SMTC) AI Stock Price Forecast & Investment Analysis

Semtech Corp Stock Price Chart and Technical Analysis

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Semtech Corp (SMTC) - Comprehensive Stock Analysis & Investment Research

Deep dive into Semtech Corp's business profile, financial performance, AI predictions, and competitive positioning to make informed investment decisions.

Analysis updated on Sept. 25, 2026 (UTC)

Semtech Corp Investment Summary

When evaluating whether Semtech Corp (SMTC) represents a compelling investment opportunity, investors must consider multiple factors including the company's financial health, market position, growth prospects, and what our AI-powered predictive models suggest about its near-term price trajectory.

Company Profile

Semtech Corp (SMTC) operates within the Manufacturing sector, specifically in the Semiconductors & Related Devices industry. With a market capitalization of $16 billion, the company is a large-cap stock offering relative stability combined with growth potential.

Financial Performance Analysis

Our comprehensive financial analysis covers Semtech Corp's revenue, profitability metrics, balance sheet strength, and cash flow generation...

AI Price Predictions

Get AI-powered 7-day, 30-day and 90-day price forecasts for Semtech Corp along with confidence scores and detailed analysis...

Investment Considerations

Expert analysis of whether Semtech Corp is suitable for your investment objectives, risk tolerance, and time horizon...

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Corporate Identity

Semtech Corp (Stock Symbol: SMTC) is a prominent company operating within the Manufacturing sector, with a specific focus on the Semiconductors & Related Devices industry. The company's shares are publicly traded on the Nasdaq exchange.

Leadership & Workforce

Detailed information about Semtech Corp's leadership team, workforce size, and organizational structure...

Market Classification

Market capitalization analysis and stock classification (mega-cap, large-cap, mid-cap, small-cap) for Semtech Corp...

Sector & Industry Analysis

In-depth sector dynamics and industry context for Semtech Corp...

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Revenue & Growth Analysis

Semtech Corp generates annual revenues of $1 billion, indicating a well-established business with proven market demand.

Profitability Metrics

Net profit margin, gross margin, and operating margin analysis for Semtech Corp...

Market Valuation

P/E ratio, price-to-book, and valuation multiples for Semtech Corp...

Return Metrics

Return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), and capital efficiency for Semtech Corp...

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AI ANALYSIS AVAILABLE

Unlock Semtech Corp's AI Price Forecast

Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

4537 Stocks in the out-of-sample test
73.7% Rebalance periods with a positive net return
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Strategic Market Position

Semtech Corp strategically competes in the highly dynamic Semiconductors & Related Devices marketplace. As a large-cap market participant, the company has established significant competitive advantages and market presence. Large-cap companies typically benefit from brand recognition, operational scale, diverse revenue streams, and the financial resources to invest in research and development, marketing, and strategic acquisitions. This size category attracts substantial institutional ownership and analyst coverage.

Industry Competitive Landscape

Semtech Corp competes within the Manufacturing sector, navigating the competitive dynamics and market forces specific to this industry. The company's competitive position depends on its ability to differentiate through product quality, cost efficiency, customer relationships, or other strategic advantages relevant to its specific market segment.

Operational Efficiency

The company shows positive operational efficiency, generating $173 million in free cash flow annually. Year-over-year cash flow growth stands at 120.6%. Positive free cash flow indicates the business generates more cash than required for operations and capital investments, providing resources for growth initiatives or shareholder returns.

Margin & Pricing Power Analysis

The company maintains a gross margin of 51.6%. This indicates healthy pricing power relative to direct production costs. This margin level suggests the company has successfully differentiated its products or services, allowing it to command prices meaningfully above input costs. Maintaining these margins requires ongoing investment in brand, technology, or other differentiating factors.

An operating margin of 2.0% shows how efficiently the company converts revenue into operating profit after all operating expenses, including research and development, sales and marketing, and general and administrative costs. Operating margin compression relative to gross margin suggests high operating expenses that may warrant efficiency improvements or reflect necessary growth investments.

Asset Utilization Efficiency

The asset turnover ratio stands at 0.76x. This is a moderate asset turnover. Lower turnover is expected where the business model requires significant infrastructure, so the ratio should be read against the company's own industry.

Financial Strength & Leverage

The current ratio stands at 2.37. This demonstrates strong short-term liquidity, with current assets significantly exceeding current liabilities. This provides a substantial buffer for meeting near-term obligations and handling unexpected financial needs.

Semtech Corp (SMTC) Fundamental Analysis & Insider Trading Data (Quarterly Financial Reports)

Comprehensive quarterly financial data, earnings trends, insider transactions, and institutional holdings for Semtech Corp stock analysis.

Deep dive into Semtech Corp's financial health, valuation metrics, and operational efficiency to make informed investment decisions.

Understanding Valuation Metrics

What these metrics mean: Valuation metrics help determine if Semtech Corp stock is fairly priced compared to its earnings, assets, and market position.

How to read them: Lower P/E ratios may indicate undervalued stocks, while higher ratios suggest growth expectations. P/B ratio compares market value to book value.

For Semtech Corp:

P/B Ratio 28.35x
Market Cap $16.25B
EPS $-0.41
Book Value/Share $6.15
Revenue/Share $11.70
FCF/Share $1.86
Understanding Profitability Metrics

What these metrics mean: These ratios measure how efficiently Semtech Corp converts revenue into profit and generates returns for shareholders.

How to read them: Higher ROE/ROA indicate better management efficiency. Margin percentages show profit at different operational levels.

For Semtech Corp: An ROE of -6.3% indicates room for improvement in shareholder value creation.

ROE -6.3%
ROA -2.5%
ROIC 1.9%
Gross Margin 51.6%
Operating Margin 2.0%
Net Margin -3.2%
EBT Margin -2.0%
Tax Rate -51.6%
The effective tax rate is outside the normal band, which points to a large non-recurring tax item in the trailing twelve months; headline net income, net margin and P/E are affected by it.
Understanding Financial Health Metrics

What these metrics mean: These ratios assess Semtech Corp's ability to meet short-term obligations and manage debt levels effectively.

How to read them: Current ratio >2 is generally good, Quick ratio >1 shows strong liquidity. Lower D/E ratios indicate conservative debt management.

For Semtech Corp: A current ratio of 2.37 indicates strong liquidity.

Current Ratio 2.37x
Quick Ratio 1.62x
D/E Ratio 1.51x
Financial Leverage 2.51x
Interest Coverage 33.7x
Working Capital $375M
Understanding Cash Flow Metrics

What these metrics mean: Cash flow metrics reveal Semtech Corp's ability to generate cash from operations and fund growth initiatives.

How to read them: Positive operating cash flow is crucial. Free cash flow shows money available for dividends, buybacks, or investments.

For Semtech Corp: Free cash flow of $173M provides flexibility for shareholder returns and growth investments.

Operating Cash Flow $190M
Free Cash Flow $173M
Capital Spending -$16M
OCF Growth YoY 120.6%
FCF Growth YoY 35.7%
FCF/Sales 15.9%
CapEx/Sales 1.5%
Understanding Operational Efficiency Metrics

What these metrics mean: These ratios measure how effectively Semtech Corp uses its assets and manages working capital.

How to read them: Higher turnover ratios indicate efficient asset utilization. Shorter collection periods show effective credit management.

For Semtech Corp: An asset turnover of 0.76x suggests room for improvement in asset utilization.

Asset Turnover 0.76x
Receivables Turnover 6.2x
Inventory Turnover 2.6x
Fixed Assets Turnover 10.2x
Days Sales Outstanding 59 days
Days Inventory 142 days
Understanding Financial Statement Data

What these metrics mean: Key figures from Semtech Corp's income statement and balance sheet showing absolute financial performance.

How to read them: Revenue shows business scale, while margins indicate profitability. Balance sheet items reveal financial structure.

For Semtech Corp: With annual revenue of $1089M, Semtech Corp operates at significant scale.

Income Statement
Total Revenue $1.09B
Operating Income $22M
Net Income -$35M
R&D Expense $206M
SG&A Expense $242M
Cost of Goods Sold $528M
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
Total Current Assets $649M (45.1% of assets)
Cash & Short-term Investments $163M (11.3% of assets)
Accounts Receivable $175M (12.1% of assets)
Inventory $205M (14.2% of assets)
Total Liabilities $866M (60.2% of assets)
Dividend & Shareholder Information
Shares Outstanding 93M

Latest Semtech Corp Stock News & Market Analysis

Breaking news, analyst reports, and market updates affecting Semtech Corp (SMTC) stock price and investment outlook.

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Where SMTC sits on the market map

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Semtech Corp Industry Peers - Semiconductors & Related Devices

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Semtech Corp (Semiconductors & Related Devices): 60 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

Company Ticker Symbol 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap (USD M) P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
SMTC ██% $16.25B x 28.4x
NVDA ██% $5.41T 28.1x 23.6x
AVGO ██% $1.68T 44.0x 16.9x
AMD ██% $1.03T 160.0x 15.3x
INTC ██% $620.41B x 7.1x
AMAT ██% $384.89B 41.5x 15.0x
ARM ██% $331.42B 317.5x 38.4x
TXN ██% $247.17B 40.8x 13.7x
MRVL ██% $227.07B 86.0x 12.3x
ASX ██% $197.05B x x
ADI ██% $190.72B 46.1x 5.7x
MPWR ██% $65.63B 81.6x 16.9x
ALAB ██% $63.26B 171.2x 36.7x
NXPI ██% $58.11B 21.9x 5.3x
CBRS ██% $49.12B x 5.4x
STM ██% $45.84B x 2.6x
MCHP ██% $40.56B 84.8x 6.3x
CRDO ██% $39.65B 73.7x 14.5x
ON ██% $28.48B 45.2x 4.0x
GFS ██% $27.24B x x
Q ██% $25.59B 26.5x 3.5x
TSEM ██% $24.45B x 8.4x
MTSI ██% $21.76B 90.3x 14.1x
SITM ██% $19.34B x 18.9x
FSLR ██% $19.10B 10.9x 1.9x
LSCC ██% $17.36B x 22.0x
AMKR ██% $13.29B 28.6x 2.8x
SWKS ██% $13.21B x 2.3x
NXT ██% $12.13B 20.4x 4.8x
RMBS ██% $11.31B 41.2x 6.8x
QRVO ██% $10.24B 30.2x 3.1x
FORM ██% $10.13B 87.8x 9.1x
VIAV ██% $9.19B x 6.3x
AAOI ██% $8.54B x 5.1x
MXL ██% $7.74B x 16.0x
SLAB ██% $7.39B x 6.8x
ALGM ██% $6.85B 482.5x 7.1x
CRUS ██% $6.01B 14.0x 2.8x
AXTI ██% $5.18B x 5.8x
HIMX ██% $5.04B x x
KLIC ██% $4.63B x 5.1x
DIOD ██% $4.41B 51.3x 2.3x
ENPH ██% $4.27B 33.8x 4.1x
DQ ██% $3.88B x 1.8x
SYNA ██% $3.79B x 4.1x
UCTT ██% $3.46B x 5.4x
IPGP ██% $3.32B 120.6x 1.6x
OSIS ██% $3.21B 20.7x 3.9x
AMBA ██% $3.21B x 5.2x
POWI ██% $2.84B 113.2x 4.2x
NVTS ██% $2.79B x 7.2x
PENG ██% $2.72B x 6.2x
LASR ██% $2.34B x 5.3x
ICHR ██% $2.12B x 2.4x
JKS ██% $2.03B x 0.2x
NLST ██% $1.96B x 84.8x
SEDG ██% $1.96B x 4.8x
PLAB ██% $1.76B 10.7x 1.4x
AMBQ ██% $1.67B x 4.1x
WOLF ██% $1.39B x 1.5x
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Frequently Asked Questions - Semtech Corp Stock Forecast

How accurate are Semtech Corp stock predictions?

A per-ticker accuracy statistic for SMTC is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

What factors influence Semtech Corp stock price forecasts?

Our analysis considers Semtech Corp's financial metrics, Manufacturing sector trends, market sentiment, technical indicators, earnings data, and macroeconomic factors affecting stock performance.

Is Semtech Corp a good investment in 2026?

Based on our AI analysis, Semtech Corp shows potential for various market scenarios. Consider your risk tolerance, investment timeline, and portfolio diversification before making investment decisions.

How often are Semtech Corp forecasts updated?

Semtech Corp forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Sept. 25, 2026.

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