Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Total · absolute moveSwitch to Alpha · Nasdaq
Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) stock forecast summary
On Oct. 16, 2026, ABNB is rated Neutral: its 90-day Total forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5171 stocks scored that day.
Airbnb, Inc. is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $104.01B. It ranks number 1 by market capitalization among the 6 Services-To Dwellings & Other Buildings issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.
For ABNB, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 17.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 11.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected absolute price move over the horizon, market included. This is the number a price target is built from. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +5.0%, buy ≥ +3.4%, sell < +1.8%, strong sell < +0.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)
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How ABNB ranks among 5171 stocks
90D Total forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Services-To Dwellings & Other Buildings peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | ABNB | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $104.01B | 1/6 |
| P/E Ratio | 39.75x | – |
| P/B Ratio | 13.34x | 2/6 |
| EPS | $4.37 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $13.02 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $21.98 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | ABNB | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROE | 34.5% | – |
| ROA | 9.4% | – |
| ROIC | 25.7% | – |
| Gross Margin | 82.9% | 1/5 |
| Operating Margin | 20.8% | – |
| Net Margin | 20.4% | – |
| EBT Margin | 25.6% | 1/6 |
| Tax Rate | 20.0% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | ABNB | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.41x | 3/6 |
| D/E Ratio | 2.69x | 2/6 |
| Financial Leverage | 3.69x | 2/5 |
| Interest Coverage | 252.7x | – |
| Working Capital | $7.39B | 1/6 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | ABNB | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $4.86B | 1/6 |
| OCF Growth YoY | 12.8% | 4/5 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | ABNB | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 0.46x | – |
| Receivables Turnover | 63.0x | – |
| Days Sales Outstanding | 6 days | – |
| Payables Period | 23 days | 3/5 |
Income Statement
| Metric | ABNB | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $13.16B | 1/5 |
| Operating Income | $2.74B | – |
| Net Income | $2.69B | – |
| R&D Expense | $2.49B | – |
| SG&A Expense | $7.78B | 1/6 |
| Cost of Goods Sold | $2.25B | 3/5 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | ABNB | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Shares Outstanding | 599M | – |
| Net Income Growth | 2.5% | – |
| EPS Growth | 2.1% | 4/5 |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Total Current Assets | $25.48B | 88.6% of assets |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $6.82B | 23.7% of assets |
| Accounts Receivable | $209M | 0.7% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $20.95B | 72.9% of assets |
| Short-term Debt | $17.95B | 62.4% of assets |
ABNB quarterly financials and insider trading
Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Airbnb, Inc. (Services-To Dwellings & Other Buildings): 6 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
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Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) stock news
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Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) stock forecast?
On Oct. 16, 2026, ABNB is rated Neutral: its 90-day Total forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5171 stocks scored that day.
How accurate are Airbnb, Inc. stock predictions?
For ABNB, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 17.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 11.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Airbnb, Inc. forecasts updated?
Airbnb, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.
Which companies are Airbnb, Inc.'s industry peers?
6 issuers in our coverage, ABNB included, share the SEC industry code Services-To Dwellings & Other Buildings. The largest are: Api Group Corp (APG), Rollins Inc (ROL), Frontdoor, Inc. (FTDR), Abm Industries Inc /De/ (ABM), Arrive Ai Inc. (ARAI).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.