Arcosa, Inc. Completes Sale of Barge Business
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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16
Arcosa, Inc. (ACA) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Total · absolute moveSwitch to Alpha · NYSE
Rating · 90D
▼ Bearish
Exact rating locked
90-day forecast
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30-day forecast
Total
Rank in coverage
Bottom 35%
of 5172 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D
37.0%
Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap
$7.22B
mid-cap · #2 of 5 peers
Summary
Arcosa, Inc. (ACA) stock forecast summary
Our AI ranks Arcosa, Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
Arcosa, Inc. is a mid-cap company with a market capitalization of $7.22B. It ranks number 2 by market capitalization among the 5 Fabricated Structural Metal Products issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.
For ACA, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 37.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 32.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected absolute price move over the horizon, market included. This is the number a price target is built from. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +5.0%, buy ≥ +3.4%, sell < +1.8%, strong sell < +0.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)
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ACA price chart and AI forecast
Cross-section · 2026-10-16
How ACA ranks among 5172 stocks
90D Total forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Fundamentals · 2026-06-30
Arcosa, Inc. (ACA) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Fabricated Structural Metal Products peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | ACA | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $7.22B | 2/5 |
| P/E Ratio | 15.18x | – |
| P/B Ratio | 2.42x | – |
| Dividend Yield | 0.14% | – |
| EPS | $9.69 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $60.75 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $55.90 | – |
| FCF/Share | $2.75 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | ACA | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROE | 16.5% | – |
| ROA | 9.3% | 2/5 |
| ROIC | 6.7% | 2/5 |
| Gross Margin | 23.0% | 3/5 |
| Operating Margin | 11.8% | 2/5 |
| Net Margin | 17.9% | 1/5 |
| EBT Margin | 8.3% | 2/5 |
| Tax Rate | 13.1% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | ACA | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 3.12x | 2/5 |
| Quick Ratio | 2.31x | 2/5 |
| D/E Ratio | 0.78x | – |
| Financial Leverage | 1.78x | – |
| Interest Coverage | 3.6x | 4/5 |
| Working Capital | $959M | 2/5 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | ACA | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $341M | 2/5 |
| Free Cash Flow | $135M | 3/5 |
| Capital Spending | -$206M | 5/5 |
| OCF Growth YoY | -23.1% | 4/5 |
| FCF Growth YoY | -54.0% | – |
| FCF/Sales | 4.9% | 4/5 |
| CapEx/Sales | 7.5% | 2/5 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | ACA | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 0.52x | 5/5 |
| Receivables Turnover | 4.9x | 5/5 |
| Inventory Turnover | 5.8x | 4/5 |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 1.3x | 5/5 |
| Days Sales Outstanding | 74 days | 1/5 |
| Days Inventory | 63 days | 2/5 |
| Payables Period | 39 days | – |
| Cash Conversion Cycle | 99 days | – |
Income Statement
| Metric | ACA | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $2.74B | 2/5 |
| Operating Income | $323M | 2/5 |
| Net Income | $491M | 2/5 |
| SG&A Expense | $325M | 2/5 |
| Cost of Goods Sold | $2.11B | 2/5 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | ACA | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Dividends Per Share | $0.20 | – |
| Payout Ratio | 2.1% | – |
| Shares Outstanding | 49M | – |
| Net Income Growth | 433.0% | – |
| EPS Growth | 340.4% | – |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Total Current Assets | $1.41B | 26.6% of assets |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $432M | 8.1% of assets |
| Accounts Receivable | $559M | 10.5% of assets |
| Inventory | $364M | 6.9% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $2.32B | 43.7% of assets |
| Short-term Debt | $229M | 4.3% of assets |
Quarterly Financial Reports
ACA quarterly financials and insider trading
Industry Peers · Fabricated Structural Metal Products
Arcosa, Inc. (ACA) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Arcosa, Inc. (Fabricated Structural Metal Products): 5 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
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Manufacturing · Fabricated Structural Metal Products
News
Arcosa, Inc. (ACA) stock news
Arcosa, Inc. (ACA) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Transcript
Good morning, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to the Arcosa Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call. My name is Boe, and I will be your conference call coordinator today. As a reminder, today's ...
Arcosa, Inc. Announces Agreement to Divest Barge Business for $450 Million
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FAQ
Arcosa, Inc. (ACA) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Arcosa, Inc. (ACA) stock forecast?
Our AI ranks Arcosa, Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
How accurate are Arcosa, Inc. stock predictions?
For ACA, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 37.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 32.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Arcosa, Inc. forecasts updated?
Arcosa, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.
Which companies are Arcosa, Inc.'s industry peers?
5 issuers in our coverage, ACA included, share the SEC industry code Fabricated Structural Metal Products. The largest are: Valmont Industries Inc (VMI), Proto Labs Inc (PRLB), Innovate Corp. (VATE), Techprecision Corp (TPCS).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.