Adtran Holdings, Inc. (ADTN) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Total · absolute moveSwitch to Alpha · Nasdaq
Adtran Holdings, Inc. (ADTN) stock forecast summary
On Oct. 16, 2026, ADTN is rated Neutral: its 90-day Total forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5172 stocks scored that day.
Adtran Holdings, Inc. is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $514M. It ranks number 3 by market capitalization among the 9 Telephone & Telegraph Apparatus issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.
For ADTN, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -14.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -13.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected absolute price move over the horizon, market included. This is the number a price target is built from. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +5.0%, buy ≥ +3.4%, sell < +1.8%, strong sell < +0.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)
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How ADTN ranks among 5172 stocks
90D Total forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Adtran Holdings, Inc. (ADTN) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Telephone & Telegraph Apparatus peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | ADTN | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $514M | 3/9 |
| P/B Ratio | 3.97x | 4/7 |
| EPS | $-0.41 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $1.59 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $17.01 | – |
| FCF/Share | $0.70 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | ADTN | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROE | -28.8% | 6/7 |
| ROA | -3.2% | 5/7 |
| ROIC | -0.7% | 5/6 |
| Gross Margin | 38.5% | 3/8 |
| Operating Margin | -0.4% | 5/8 |
| Net Margin | -2.7% | 5/7 |
| EBT Margin | -1.4% | 5/8 |
| Tax Rate | -35.0% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | ADTN | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.79x | 6/8 |
| Quick Ratio | 1.19x | 6/7 |
| D/E Ratio | 5.11x | 1/7 |
| Financial Leverage | 8.88x | 1/6 |
| Interest Coverage | -2.4x | 4/6 |
| Working Capital | $273M | 3/8 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | ADTN | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $93M | 3/9 |
| Free Cash Flow | $57M | 2/5 |
| Capital Spending | -$36M | 3/5 |
| OCF Growth YoY | -43.7% | 5/5 |
| FCF Growth YoY | -60.1% | – |
| FCF/Sales | 4.1% | 3/5 |
| CapEx/Sales | 2.6% | 3/5 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | ADTN | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 1.21x | 1/5 |
| Receivables Turnover | 6.7x | 2/5 |
| Inventory Turnover | 4.1x | 3/7 |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 11.3x | 4/5 |
| Days Sales Outstanding | 54 days | 4/5 |
| Days Inventory | 89 days | 4/7 |
| Payables Period | 72 days | 1/6 |
| Cash Conversion Cycle | 71 days | – |
Income Statement
| Metric | ADTN | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $1.39B | 3/6 |
| Operating Income | -$6M | 8/9 |
| Net Income | -$37M | 8/8 |
| R&D Expense | $257M | 2/6 |
| SG&A Expense | $282M | 2/8 |
| Cost of Goods Sold | $853M | 3/8 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | ADTN | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Shares Outstanding | 81M | – |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Total Current Assets | $618M | 53.7% of assets |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $79M | 6.9% of assets |
| Accounts Receivable | $206M | 17.9% of assets |
| Inventory | $209M | 18.2% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $661M | 57.5% of assets |
| Short-term Debt | $175M | 15.3% of assets |
ADTN quarterly financials and insider trading
Adtran Holdings, Inc. (ADTN) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Adtran Holdings, Inc. (Telephone & Telegraph Apparatus): 9 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
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Adtran Holdings, Inc. (ADTN) stock news
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Adtran Holdings, Inc. (ADTN) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Adtran Holdings, Inc. (ADTN) stock forecast?
On Oct. 16, 2026, ADTN is rated Neutral: its 90-day Total forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5172 stocks scored that day.
How accurate are Adtran Holdings, Inc. stock predictions?
For ADTN, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -14.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -13.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Adtran Holdings, Inc. forecasts updated?
Adtran Holdings, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.
Which companies are Adtran Holdings, Inc.'s industry peers?
9 issuers in our coverage, ADTN included, share the SEC industry code Telephone & Telegraph Apparatus. The largest are: Ciena Corp (CIEN), Fabrinet (FN), Clearfield, Inc. (CLFD), Audiocodes Ltd (AUDC), Franklin Wireless Corp (FKWL), Voip-Pal.Com Inc (VPLM).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.