Adecoagro S.A. (AGRO) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE
Adecoagro S.A. (AGRO) stock forecast summary
On Oct. 16, 2026, AGRO is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5172 stocks scored that day.
Adecoagro S.A. is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $1.43B. It ranks number 2 by market capitalization among the 14 Agricultural Production-Crops issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.
For AGRO, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -33.0%, measured on 165 forecast dates between 2025-12-01 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -40.0%, measured on 208 forecast dates between 2025-12-01 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)
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How AGRO ranks among 5172 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Adecoagro S.A. (AGRO) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Agricultural Production-Crops peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | AGRO | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $1.43B | 2/14 |
Financial Health
| Metric | AGRO | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 2.80x | 3/12 |
| Quick Ratio | 1.96x | 2/10 |
| D/E Ratio | 1.61x | 5/10 |
| Financial Leverage | 2.66x | 5/10 |
| Working Capital | $875M | 2/12 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | AGRO | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Shares Outstanding | 143M | – |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Total Current Assets | $1.36B | |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $340M | |
| Accounts Receivable | $389M | |
| Inventory | $407M | |
| Total Liabilities | $2.21B | |
| Short-term Debt | $276M |
AGRO quarterly financials and insider trading
Adecoagro S.A. (AGRO) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Adecoagro S.A. (Agricultural Production-Crops): 14 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| AGRO Adecoagro S.A. | ▶ | $1.43B |
| CTVA Corteva, Inc. | ▲ | $8.59B |
| DMC Del Monte Corp | ▶ | $1.40B |
| DOLE Dole Plc | ▼ | $1.26B |
| VRNO Verano Holdings Corp. | ▲ | $358M |
| VFF Village Farms International, Inc. | ▶ | $309M |
| LMNR Limoneira Co | ▲ | $216M |
| PLNH Planet 13 Holdings Inc. | ▲ | $36M |
| GNVR Genvor Inc | ▶ | $25M |
| ESGH Esg Inc. | ▲ | $23M |
| LOCL Local Bounti Corporation/De | ▼ | $22M |
| TULP Bloomia Holdings, Inc. | ▲ | $11M |
| SEED Origin Agritech Ltd | ▲ | $7M |
| EDBL Edible Garden Ag Inc | ▼ | $2M |
Where AGRO sits on the market map
Adecoagro S.A. (AGRO) stock news
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Adecoagro S.A. (AGRO) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Adecoagro S.A. (AGRO) stock forecast?
On Oct. 16, 2026, AGRO is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5172 stocks scored that day.
How accurate are Adecoagro S.A. stock predictions?
For AGRO, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -33.0%, measured on 165 forecast dates between 2025-12-01 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -40.0%, measured on 208 forecast dates between 2025-12-01 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Adecoagro S.A. forecasts updated?
Adecoagro S.A. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.
Which companies are Adecoagro S.A.'s industry peers?
14 issuers in our coverage, AGRO included, share the SEC industry code Agricultural Production-Crops. The largest are: Corteva, Inc. (CTVA), Del Monte Corp (DMC), Dole Plc (DOLE), Verano Holdings Corp. (VRNO), Village Farms International, Inc. (VFF), Limoneira Co (LMNR).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.