Allegion PLC stock underperforms Thursday when compared to competitors despite daily gains
Allegion PLC closed 14.94% short of its 52-week high of $183.11, which the company achieved on February 12th.
Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16
Allegion Plc (ALLE) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Total · absolute moveSwitch to Alpha · NYSE
Rating · 90D
▼ Bearish
Exact rating locked
90-day forecast
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30-day forecast
Total
Rank in coverage
Bottom 35%
of 5172 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D
9.0%
Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap
$13.31B
large-cap · #1 of 5 peers
Summary
Allegion Plc (ALLE) stock forecast summary
Our AI ranks Allegion Plc outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
Allegion Plc is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $13.31B. It ranks number 1 by market capitalization among the 5 Services-Detective, Guard & Armored Car Services issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.
For ALLE, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 9.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 7.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected absolute price move over the horizon, market included. This is the number a price target is built from. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +5.0%, buy ≥ +3.4%, sell < +1.8%, strong sell < +0.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)
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ALLE price chart and AI forecast
Cross-section · 2026-10-16
How ALLE ranks among 5172 stocks
90D Total forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Fundamentals · 2026-06-30
Allegion Plc (ALLE) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Services-Detective, Guard & Armored Car Services peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | ALLE | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $13.31B | 1/5 |
| P/E Ratio | 20.54x | – |
| P/B Ratio | 6.28x | – |
| Dividend Yield | 1.36% | – |
| EPS | $7.62 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $24.91 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $50.43 | – |
| FCF/Share | $7.89 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | ALLE | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROE | 31.1% | – |
| ROA | 12.3% | – |
| ROIC | 19.5% | – |
| Gross Margin | 44.8% | – |
| Operating Margin | 20.8% | – |
| Net Margin | 15.4% | – |
| EBT Margin | 18.5% | – |
| Tax Rate | 16.9% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | ALLE | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.93x | 2/5 |
| Quick Ratio | 1.23x | – |
| D/E Ratio | 1.53x | – |
| Financial Leverage | 2.53x | – |
| Interest Coverage | 10.3x | – |
| Working Capital | $723M | 1/5 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | ALLE | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $769M | – |
| Free Cash Flow | $671M | – |
| Capital Spending | -$98M | – |
| OCF Growth YoY | 0.6% | – |
| FCF Growth YoY | -1.6% | – |
| FCF/Sales | 15.7% | – |
| CapEx/Sales | 2.3% | – |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | ALLE | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 0.80x | – |
| Receivables Turnover | 7.7x | – |
| Inventory Turnover | 4.4x | – |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 9.5x | – |
| Days Sales Outstanding | 48 days | – |
| Days Inventory | 84 days | – |
| Payables Period | 43 days | – |
| Cash Conversion Cycle | 88 days | – |
Income Statement
| Metric | ALLE | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $4.29B | – |
| Operating Income | $893M | – |
| Net Income | $659M | – |
| SG&A Expense | $1.03B | – |
| Cost of Goods Sold | $2.37B | – |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | ALLE | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Dividends Per Share | $2.13 | – |
| Payout Ratio | 27.9% | – |
| Shares Outstanding | 85M | – |
| Net Income Growth | 5.2% | – |
| EPS Growth | 5.8% | – |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Total Current Assets | $1.50B | 28.0% of assets |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $321M | 6.0% of assets |
| Accounts Receivable | $560M | 10.4% of assets |
| Inventory | $542M | 10.1% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $3.24B | 60.5% of assets |
| Short-term Debt | $499M | 9.3% of assets |
Quarterly Financial Reports
ALLE quarterly financials and insider trading
Industry Peers · Services-Detective, Guard & Armored Car Services
Allegion Plc (ALLE) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Allegion Plc (Services-Detective, Guard & Armored Car Services): 6 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
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Trade & Services · Services-Detective, Guard & Armored Car Services
News
Allegion Plc (ALLE) stock news
Allegion PLC's Dividend Analysis
Allegion PLC (NYSE:ALLE) recently announced a total dividend of $0.55 per share, with the ex-dividend date set for 2026-09-15. This amount consists of a $0.55 per share cash dividend payable on ...
Allegion plc (ALLE) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Transcript
Good day, and welcome to the Allegion Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] Please note this event is being recorded. I would now like to turn the conference over to ...
FAQ
Allegion Plc (ALLE) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Allegion Plc (ALLE) stock forecast?
Our AI ranks Allegion Plc outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
How accurate are Allegion Plc stock predictions?
For ALLE, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 9.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 7.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Allegion Plc forecasts updated?
Allegion Plc forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.
Which companies are Allegion Plc's industry peers?
6 issuers in our coverage, ALLE included, share the SEC industry code Services-Detective, Guard & Armored Car Services. The largest are: Adt Inc. (ADT), Arlo Technologies, Inc. (ARLO), Guardforce Ai Co., Ltd. (GFAI), Su Group Holdings Ltd (SUGP), Ameriguard Security Services, Inc. (AGSS).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.