Alto Ingredients, Inc. (ALTO) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq
Alto Ingredients, Inc. (ALTO) stock forecast summary
Our AI ranks Alto Ingredients, Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
Alto Ingredients, Inc. is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $268M. It ranks number 11 by market capitalization among the 23 Industrial Organic Chemicals issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.
For ALTO, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 60.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 39.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)
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How ALTO ranks among 5184 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Alto Ingredients, Inc. (ALTO) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Industrial Organic Chemicals peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | ALTO | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $268M | 11/23 |
| P/E Ratio | 7.50x | 6/7 |
| P/B Ratio | 1.03x | 10/13 |
| EPS | $0.46 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $3.35 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $12.16 | – |
| FCF/Share | $0.64 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | ALTO | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROE | 20.0% | 3/12 |
| ROA | 13.1% | 3/17 |
| ROIC | 10.3% | 4/17 |
| Gross Margin | 6.8% | 14/18 |
| Operating Margin | 3.8% | 6/18 |
| Net Margin | 5.5% | 6/15 |
| EBT Margin | 5.5% | 6/19 |
Financial Health
| Metric | ALTO | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 3.19x | 7/21 |
| Quick Ratio | 2.17x | 6/15 |
| D/E Ratio | 0.53x | 10/15 |
| Financial Leverage | 1.53x | 12/16 |
| Interest Coverage | 5.5x | 6/18 |
| Working Capital | $110M | 9/20 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | ALTO | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $65M | 9/20 |
| Free Cash Flow | $50M | 7/15 |
| Capital Spending | -$15M | 4/15 |
| FCF/Sales | 5.3% | 6/15 |
| CapEx/Sales | 1.6% | 13/15 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | ALTO | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 2.38x | 2/17 |
| Receivables Turnover | 13.9x | 7/13 |
| Inventory Turnover | 17.0x | 5/14 |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 4.8x | 3/16 |
| Days Sales Outstanding | 26 days | 7/13 |
| Days Inventory | 21 days | 10/14 |
| Payables Period | 10 days | 12/12 |
| Cash Conversion Cycle | 38 days | 5/8 |
Income Statement
| Metric | ALTO | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $943M | 8/16 |
| Operating Income | $36M | 7/18 |
| Net Income | $52M | 6/18 |
| SG&A Expense | $29M | 10/13 |
| Cost of Goods Sold | $879M | 7/17 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | ALTO | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Shares Outstanding | 78M | – |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Total Current Assets | $161M | 40.5% of assets |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $24M | 6.0% of assets |
| Accounts Receivable | $68M | 17.1% of assets |
| Inventory | $52M | 13.0% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $137M | 34.6% of assets |
| Short-term Debt | $26M | 6.6% of assets |
ALTO quarterly financials and insider trading
Alto Ingredients, Inc. (ALTO) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Alto Ingredients, Inc. (Industrial Organic Chemicals): 24 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| ALTO Alto Ingredients, Inc. | ▼ | $268M |
| IFF International Flavors & Fragrances Inc | ▼ | $23.14B |
| LYB Lyondellbasell Industries N.V. | ▶ | $20.68B |
| WLK Westlake Corp | ▶ | $8.09B |
| SXT Sensient Technologies Corp | ▼ | $5.69B |
| MEOH Methanex Corp | ▶ | $5.02B |
| REX Rex American Resources Corp | ▶ | $1.38B |
| GPRE Green Plains Inc. | ▶ | $1.01B |
| BAK Braskem Sa | ▲ | $750M |
| WLKP Westlake Chemical Partners Lp | ▶ | $733M |
| GEVO Gevo, Inc. | ▲ | $289M |
| FF Futurefuel Corp. | ▼ | $245M |
| LODE Comstock Inc. | ▶ | $136M |
| CDXS Codexis, Inc. | ▲ | $136M |
| AMTX Aemetis, Inc | ▶ | $105M |
| LNZA Lanzatech Global, Inc. | ▼ | $61M |
| SAFX Xcf Global, Inc. | ▼ | $58M |
| VGAS Verde Clean Fuels, Inc. | ▲ | $18M |
| TOMZ Tomi Environmental Solutions, Inc. | ▲ | $12M |
| GWTI Greenway Technologies, Inc. & Subsidiaries | ▶ | $9M |
| CLNV Clean Vision Corp | ▼ | $5M |
| CNEY Cn Energy Group. Inc. | ▼ | $5M |
| QGAI Quantum Genesis Ai Corp. | ▼ | $2M |
| SUIC Suic Worldwide Holdings Ltd. | ▼ | N/A |
Where ALTO sits on the market map
Alto Ingredients, Inc. (ALTO) stock news
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Alto Ingredients, Inc. (ALTO) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Alto Ingredients, Inc. (ALTO) stock forecast?
Our AI ranks Alto Ingredients, Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
How accurate are Alto Ingredients, Inc. stock predictions?
For ALTO, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 60.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 39.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Alto Ingredients, Inc. forecasts updated?
Alto Ingredients, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.
Which companies are Alto Ingredients, Inc.'s industry peers?
24 issuers in our coverage, ALTO included, share the SEC industry code Industrial Organic Chemicals. The largest are: International Flavors & Fragrances Inc (IFF), Lyondellbasell Industries N.V. (LYB), Westlake Corp (WLK), Sensient Technologies Corp (SXT), Methanex Corp (MEOH), Rex American Resources Corp (REX).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.