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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Aemetis, Inc (AMTX) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq

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Rating · 90D Neutral Alpha
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Middle 30% of 5172 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D -21.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $105M small-cap · #15 of 23 peers
Summary

Aemetis, Inc (AMTX) stock forecast summary

On Oct. 16, 2026, AMTX is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5172 stocks scored that day.

Aemetis, Inc is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $105M. It ranks number 15 by market capitalization among the 23 Industrial Organic Chemicals issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For AMTX, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -21.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -24.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

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Price

AMTX price chart and AI forecast

AMTX
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How AMTX ranks among 5172 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-06-30

Aemetis, Inc (AMTX) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Industrial Organic Chemicals peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricAMTXIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $105M $245M 15/23
EPS $-1.00 – –
Revenue/Share $3.05 – –
FCF/Share $-0.55 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricAMTXIndustry medianRank
ROA -20.8% -20.8% 9/17
ROIC 9.2% 2.3% 6/17
Gross Margin 6.2% 23.3% 15/18
Operating Margin -5.2% -17.0% 8/18
Net Margin -27.4% -22.0% 9/15
EBT Margin -32.6% -11.4% 12/19
Tax Rate 16.1% – –

Financial Health

MetricAMTXIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 0.08x 2.45x 18/21
Quick Ratio 0.05x 1.72x 15/15
Interest Coverage 0.4x -0.3x 9/18
Working Capital -$382M $76M 20/20

Cash Flow

MetricAMTXIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow -$4M -$120K 14/20
Free Cash Flow -$39M $4M 12/15
Capital Spending -$36M -$40M 7/15
FCF/Sales -17.9% 0.3% 11/15
CapEx/Sales 16.3% 4.6% 2/15

Operational Efficiency

MetricAMTXIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.76x 0.72x 8/17
Receivables Turnover 95.6x 13.9x 1/13
Inventory Turnover 15.1x 6.5x 6/14
Fixed Assets Turnover 0.9x 2.1x 14/16
Days Sales Outstanding 4 days 26 days 13/13
Days Inventory 24 days 56 days 9/14
Payables Period 55 days 59 days 7/12
Cash Conversion Cycle -27 days 55 days 8/8

Income Statement

MetricAMTXIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $220M $801M 10/16
Operating Income -$12M -$3M 12/18
Net Income -$60M -$4M 15/18
SG&A Expense $35M $43M 8/13
Cost of Goods Sold $206M $537M 10/17

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricAMTXIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 72M – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$33M11.4% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$970K0.3% of assets
Accounts Receivable$2M0.8% of assets
Inventory$14M4.7% of assets
Total Liabilities$611M
Short-term Debt$384M
Quarterly Financial Reports

AMTX quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Industrial Organic Chemicals

Aemetis, Inc (AMTX) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Aemetis, Inc (Industrial Organic Chemicals): 24 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
AMTX Aemetis, Inc ▶ $105M – –
IFF International Flavors & Fragrances Inc ▼ $23.14B 232.5x 1.7x
LYB Lyondellbasell Industries N.V. ▶ $20.68B – 1.9x
WLK Westlake Corp ▶ $8.09B – 0.9x
SXT Sensient Technologies Corp ▼ $5.69B 29.6x 4.5x
MEOH Methanex Corp ▶ $5.02B 6.0x –
REX Rex American Resources Corp ▶ $1.38B 12.5x 2.1x
GPRE Green Plains Inc. ▶ $1.01B 11.5x 1.2x
BAK Braskem Sa ▲ $750M – –
WLKP Westlake Chemical Partners Lp ▶ $735M 12.8x –
GEVO Gevo, Inc. ▲ $289M – 1.1x
ALTO Alto Ingredients, Inc. ▼ $268M 7.5x 1.0x
FF Futurefuel Corp. ▼ $245M – 1.6x
LODE Comstock Inc. ▲ $136M – 1.0x
CDXS Codexis, Inc. ▲ $136M – 4.1x
SAFX Xcf Global, Inc. ▼ $69M – –
LNZA Lanzatech Global, Inc. ▼ $61M – –
VGAS Verde Clean Fuels, Inc. ▲ $19M – 0.7x
TOMZ Tomi Environmental Solutions, Inc. ▲ $12M – 8.6x
GWTI Greenway Technologies, Inc. & Subsidiaries ▶ $9M – –
CLNV Clean Vision Corp ▼ $5M – –
CNEY Cn Energy Group. Inc. ▼ $5M – –
QGAI Quantum Genesis Ai Corp. ▼ $2M – –
SUIC Suic Worldwide Holdings Ltd. ▼ N/A – –

Where AMTX sits on the market map

Industrial Applications and Services · Industrial Organic Chemicals
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News

Aemetis, Inc (AMTX) stock news

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FAQ

Aemetis, Inc (AMTX) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Aemetis, Inc (AMTX) stock forecast?

On Oct. 16, 2026, AMTX is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5172 stocks scored that day.

How accurate are Aemetis, Inc stock predictions?

For AMTX, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -21.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -24.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Aemetis, Inc forecasts updated?

Aemetis, Inc forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Aemetis, Inc's industry peers?

24 issuers in our coverage, AMTX included, share the SEC industry code Industrial Organic Chemicals. The largest are: International Flavors & Fragrances Inc (IFF), Lyondellbasell Industries N.V. (LYB), Westlake Corp (WLK), Sensient Technologies Corp (SXT), Methanex Corp (MEOH), Rex American Resources Corp (REX).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.