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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

American Outdoor Brands, Inc. (AOUT) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq

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Rating · 90D Neutral Alpha
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Middle 30% of 5172 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 23.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $228M small-cap · #7 of 12 peers
Summary

American Outdoor Brands, Inc. (AOUT) stock forecast summary

On Oct. 16, 2026, AOUT is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5172 stocks scored that day.

American Outdoor Brands, Inc. is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $228M. It ranks number 7 by market capitalization among the 12 Sporting & Athletic Goods, NEC issuers in our coverage with a current forecast. Its Current Ratio of 4.93x is the highest of the 13 peers that report one.

For AOUT, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 23.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 1.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

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Price

AOUT price chart and AI forecast

AOUT
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How AOUT ranks among 5172 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-07-31

American Outdoor Brands, Inc. (AOUT) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Sporting & Athletic Goods, NEC peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricAOUTIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $228M $241M 7/12
P/B Ratio 1.39x 1.39x 4/9
EPS $-0.31 – –
Book Value/Share $13.03 – –
Revenue/Share $15.69 – –
FCF/Share $1.52 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricAOUTIndustry medianRank
ROE -2.4% -2.1% 5/8
ROA -1.7% -1.5% 6/10
ROIC -2.2% 3.9% 7/9
Gross Margin 46.0% 48.6% 7/10
Operating Margin -2.2% 2.3% 8/11
Net Margin -2.0% -1.5% 6/10
EBT Margin -2.0% 3.5% 8/11
Tax Rate 0.1% – –

Financial Health

MetricAOUTIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 4.93x 2.84x 1/13
Quick Ratio 1.97x 1.63x 3/13
D/E Ratio 0.39x 0.82x 7/10
Financial Leverage 1.39x 1.51x 6/9
Interest Coverage -28.6x 15.9x 11/11
Working Capital $133M $133M 7/13

Cash Flow

MetricAOUTIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $21M $33M 8/12
Free Cash Flow $19M $30M 7/9
Capital Spending -$2M -$5M 3/9
OCF Growth YoY 423.0% 16.4% 1/7
FCF Growth YoY 1255.8% 9.5% 1/6
FCF/Sales 9.7% 9.7% 5/9
CapEx/Sales 0.9% 2.5% 8/9

Operational Efficiency

MetricAOUTIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.87x 1.04x 7/9
Receivables Turnover 7.8x 8.9x 6/10
Inventory Turnover 1.1x 2.2x 11/11
Fixed Assets Turnover 22.5x 11.9x 2/10
Days Sales Outstanding 47 days 42 days 5/10
Days Inventory 342 days 166 days 1/11
Payables Period 52 days 52 days 4/9
Cash Conversion Cycle 337 days 160 days 1/7

Income Statement

MetricAOUTIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $198M $533M 9/10
Operating Income -$4M $9M 9/12
Net Income -$4M -$6M 5/10
R&D Expense $6M $34M 5/7
SG&A Expense $93M $134M 8/12
Cost of Goods Sold $107M $160M 8/11

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricAOUTIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 13M – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$167M73.0% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$33M14.6% of assets
Accounts Receivable$26M11.2% of assets
Inventory$100M43.9% of assets
Total Liabilities$64M28.1% of assets
Short-term Debt$19M8.1% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

AOUT quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Sporting & Athletic Goods, NEC

American Outdoor Brands, Inc. (AOUT) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as American Outdoor Brands, Inc. (Sporting & Athletic Goods, NEC): 13 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
AOUT American Outdoor Brands, Inc. ▶ $228M – 1.4x
GOLF Acushnet Holdings Corp. ▶ $4.69B 21.8x 5.4x
YETI Yeti Holdings, Inc. ▼ $3.14B 18.3x 5.2x
CALY Callaway Golf Co ▲ $2.47B – 1.1x
PTON Peloton Interactive, Inc. ▲ $2.29B 37.3x –
JOUT Johnson Outdoors Inc ▶ $455M – 1.1x
ESCA Escalade Inc ▼ $255M 12.0x 1.4x
CLAR Clarus Corp ▼ $138M – 0.7x
KBSX Fst Corp. ▲ $59M – 5.6x
SBDS Solo Brands, Inc. ▲ $6M – 0.1x
NWTG Newton Golf Company, Inc. ▲ $6M – –
TRUG Trugolf Holdings, Inc. ▼ $240K – –
BWMG Brownie's Marine Group, Inc ▼ N/A – –

Where AOUT sits on the market map

Manufacturing · Sporting & Athletic Goods, NEC
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News

American Outdoor Brands, Inc. (AOUT) stock news

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FAQ

American Outdoor Brands, Inc. (AOUT) stock forecast FAQ

What is the American Outdoor Brands, Inc. (AOUT) stock forecast?

On Oct. 16, 2026, AOUT is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5172 stocks scored that day.

How accurate are American Outdoor Brands, Inc. stock predictions?

For AOUT, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 23.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 1.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are American Outdoor Brands, Inc. forecasts updated?

American Outdoor Brands, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are American Outdoor Brands, Inc.'s industry peers?

13 issuers in our coverage, AOUT included, share the SEC industry code Sporting & Athletic Goods, NEC. The largest are: Acushnet Holdings Corp. (GOLF), Yeti Holdings, Inc. (YETI), Callaway Golf Co (CALY), Peloton Interactive, Inc. (PTON), Johnson Outdoors Inc (JOUT), Escalade Inc (ESCA).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.