Arlo Technologies, Inc. (ARLO) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Total · absolute moveSwitch to Alpha · NYSE
Arlo Technologies, Inc. (ARLO) stock forecast summary
Our AI ranks Arlo Technologies, Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
Arlo Technologies, Inc. is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $1.31B. It ranks number 3 by market capitalization among the 5 Services-Detective, Guard & Armored Car Services issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.
For ARLO, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 19.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 35.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected absolute price move over the horizon, market included. This is the number a price target is built from. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +5.1%, buy ≥ +3.4%, sell < +1.8%, strong sell < +0.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)
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How ARLO ranks among 5184 stocks
90D Total forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Arlo Technologies, Inc. (ARLO) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Services-Detective, Guard & Armored Car Services peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | ARLO | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $1.31B | 3/5 |
| P/E Ratio | 86.86x | – |
| P/B Ratio | 8.25x | – |
| EPS | $0.14 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $1.47 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $5.46 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | ARLO | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROIC | 8.7% | – |
| Gross Margin | 46.0% | – |
| Operating Margin | 2.7% | – |
| EBT Margin | 5.4% | – |
| Tax Rate | 4.2% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | ARLO | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.40x | 3/5 |
| Quick Ratio | 1.15x | – |
| D/E Ratio | 1.36x | – |
| Financial Leverage | 2.36x | – |
| Working Capital | $78M | 2/5 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | ARLO | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $78M | – |
| OCF Growth YoY | 20.8% | – |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | ARLO | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 1.57x | – |
| Receivables Turnover | 9.2x | – |
| Inventory Turnover | 6.5x | – |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 36.8x | – |
| Days Sales Outstanding | 40 days | – |
| Days Inventory | 56 days | – |
| Payables Period | 58 days | – |
| Cash Conversion Cycle | 37 days | – |
Income Statement
| Metric | ARLO | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $587M | – |
| Operating Income | $16M | – |
| R&D Expense | $85M | – |
| SG&A Expense | $310M | – |
| Cost of Goods Sold | $317M | – |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | ARLO | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Shares Outstanding | 108M | – |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Total Current Assets | $273M | 72.8% of assets |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $101M | 27.1% of assets |
| Accounts Receivable | $64M | 17.0% of assets |
| Inventory | $48M | 12.9% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $216M | 57.7% of assets |
| Short-term Debt | $144M | 38.3% of assets |
ARLO quarterly financials and insider trading
Arlo Technologies, Inc. (ARLO) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Arlo Technologies, Inc. (Services-Detective, Guard & Armored Car Services): 6 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
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Arlo Technologies, Inc. (ARLO) stock news
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Arlo Technologies, Inc. (ARLO) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Arlo Technologies, Inc. (ARLO) stock forecast?
Our AI ranks Arlo Technologies, Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
How accurate are Arlo Technologies, Inc. stock predictions?
For ARLO, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 19.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 35.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Arlo Technologies, Inc. forecasts updated?
Arlo Technologies, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.
Which companies are Arlo Technologies, Inc.'s industry peers?
6 issuers in our coverage, ARLO included, share the SEC industry code Services-Detective, Guard & Armored Car Services. The largest are: Allegion Plc (ALLE), Adt Inc. (ADT), Guardforce Ai Co., Ltd. (GFAI), Su Group Holdings Ltd (SUGP), Ameriguard Security Services, Inc. (AGSS).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.