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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Alliance Resource Partners Lp (ARLP) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Total · absolute moveSwitch to Alpha · Nasdaq

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Rating · 90D ▼ Bearish Exact rating locked
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Total
Rank in coverage Bottom 35% of 5172 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 21.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $3.31B mid-cap
Summary

Alliance Resource Partners Lp (ARLP) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks Alliance Resource Partners Lp outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

Alliance Resource Partners Lp is a mid-cap company with a market capitalization of $3.31B.

For ARLP, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 21.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -7.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected absolute price move over the horizon, market included. This is the number a price target is built from. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +5.0%, buy ≥ +3.4%, sell < +1.8%, strong sell < +0.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, ARLP included.

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Price

ARLP price chart and AI forecast

ARLP
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How ARLP ranks among 5172 stocks

90D Total forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-06-30

Alliance Resource Partners Lp (ARLP) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Bituminous Coal & Lignite Surface Mining peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricARLPIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $3.31B – –
P/E Ratio 12.43x – –
Revenue/Share $16.90 – –
FCF/Share $2.78 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricARLPIndustry medianRank
Operating Margin 16.4% – –
Net Margin 21.3% – –
EBT Margin 14.9% – –
Tax Rate 6.2% – –

Financial Health

MetricARLPIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 1.75x – –
Quick Ratio 1.32x – –
Working Capital $218M – –

Cash Flow

MetricARLPIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $612M – –
Free Cash Flow $357M – –
Capital Spending -$255M – –
OCF Growth YoY -9.3% – –
FCF Growth YoY 12.3% – –
FCF/Sales 16.4% – –
CapEx/Sales 11.7% – –

Operational Efficiency

MetricARLPIndustry medianRank
Receivables Turnover 10.8x – –
Fixed Assets Turnover 1.0x – –
Days Sales Outstanding 34 days – –

Income Statement

MetricARLPIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $2.17B – –
Operating Income $320M – –
Net Income $416M – –

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricARLPIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 129M – –
Net Income Growth 0.0% – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$509M30.3% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$111M6.6% of assets
Accounts Receivable$201M12.0% of assets
Inventory$125M7.5% of assets
Total Liabilities$1.07B64.0% of assets
Short-term Debt$200M11.9% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

ARLP quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Bituminous Coal & Lignite Surface Mining

Alliance Resource Partners Lp (ARLP) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Alliance Resource Partners Lp (Bituminous Coal & Lignite Surface Mining): 4 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Total) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
ARLP Alliance Resource Partners Lp ▼ $3.31B 12.4x –
AMR Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc. ▲ $2.11B – 1.4x
NRP Natural Resource Partners Lp ▼ $1.49B 14.1x 3.0x
NC Nacco Industries Inc ▶ $254M 11.4x 0.6x

Where ARLP sits on the market map

Energy & Transportation · Bituminous Coal & Lignite Surface Mining
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News

Alliance Resource Partners Lp (ARLP) stock news

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FAQ

Alliance Resource Partners Lp (ARLP) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Alliance Resource Partners Lp (ARLP) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks Alliance Resource Partners Lp outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are Alliance Resource Partners Lp stock predictions?

For ARLP, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 21.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -7.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Alliance Resource Partners Lp forecasts updated?

Alliance Resource Partners Lp forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Alliance Resource Partners Lp's industry peers?

4 issuers in our coverage, ARLP included, share the SEC industry code Bituminous Coal & Lignite Surface Mining. The largest are: Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc. (AMR), Natural Resource Partners Lp (NRP), Nacco Industries Inc (NC).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.