Aterian, Inc. (ATER) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq
Aterian, Inc. (ATER) stock forecast summary
On Oct. 16, 2026, ATER is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5184 stocks scored that day.
Aterian, Inc. is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $10M.
For ATER, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 42.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -2.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)
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How ATER ranks among 5184 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Aterian, Inc. (ATER) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Electric Housewares & Fans peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | ATER | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $10M | – |
| P/B Ratio | 0.80x | – |
| Book Value/Share | $0.70 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | ATER | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROE | -168.2% | – |
| ROA | -90.2% | – |
| ROIC | -142.5% | – |
| Gross Margin | 73.0% | – |
| Operating Margin | -33.5% | – |
| Net Margin | -39.6% | – |
| EBT Margin | -35.3% | – |
| Tax Rate | -0.2% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | ATER | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 2.13x | – |
| Quick Ratio | 2.13x | – |
| D/E Ratio | 0.87x | – |
| Financial Leverage | 1.87x | – |
| Interest Coverage | -37.2x | – |
| Working Capital | $12M | – |
Cash Flow
| Metric | ATER | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | -$11M | – |
| OCF Growth YoY | -603.2% | – |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | ATER | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Inventory Turnover | 608.7x | – |
| Days Inventory | 1 days | – |
| Payables Period | 34 days | – |
Income Statement
| Metric | ATER | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Income | -$18M | – |
| Net Income | -$21M | – |
| R&D Expense | $0.00M | – |
| SG&A Expense | $58M | – |
| Cost of Goods Sold | $30M | – |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | ATER | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Shares Outstanding | 18M | – |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Total Current Assets | $23M | 98.9% of assets |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $3M | 10.8% of assets |
| Accounts Receivable | $0.00M | 0.0% of assets |
| Inventory | $50K | 0.2% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $11M | 46.4% of assets |
| Short-term Debt | $8M | 34.5% of assets |
ATER quarterly financials and insider trading
Aterian, Inc. (ATER) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Aterian, Inc. (Electric Housewares & Fans): 3 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
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Aterian, Inc. (ATER) stock news
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Aterian, Inc. (ATER) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Aterian, Inc. (ATER) stock forecast?
On Oct. 16, 2026, ATER is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5184 stocks scored that day.
How accurate are Aterian, Inc. stock predictions?
For ATER, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 42.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -2.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Aterian, Inc. forecasts updated?
Aterian, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.
Which companies are Aterian, Inc.'s industry peers?
3 issuers in our coverage, ATER included, share the SEC industry code Electric Housewares & Fans. The largest are: Helen Of Troy Ltd (HELE), Hamilton Beach Brands Holding Co (HBB).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.