Aveanna Healthcare Holdings, Inc. (AVAH) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Total · absolute moveSwitch to Alpha · Nasdaq
Aveanna Healthcare Holdings, Inc. (AVAH) stock forecast summary
Our AI ranks Aveanna Healthcare Holdings, Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
Aveanna Healthcare Holdings, Inc. is a mid-cap company with a market capitalization of $2.69B. It ranks number 4 by market capitalization among the 6 Services-Home Health Care Services issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.
For AVAH, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 30.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 4.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected absolute price move over the horizon, market included. This is the number a price target is built from. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +5.1%, buy ≥ +3.4%, sell < +1.8%, strong sell < +0.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)
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How AVAH ranks among 5185 stocks
90D Total forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Aveanna Healthcare Holdings, Inc. (AVAH) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Services-Home Health Care Services peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | AVAH | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $2.69B | 4/6 |
| P/E Ratio | 12.59x | 5/5 |
| P/B Ratio | 9.37x | 1/6 |
| EPS | $0.98 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $1.32 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | AVAH | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROE | 83.2% | 1/5 |
| ROA | 11.3% | 3/6 |
| ROIC | 18.3% | 2/6 |
| Gross Margin | 33.2% | 1/6 |
| Operating Margin | 10.2% | 2/6 |
| Net Margin | 7.8% | 2/5 |
| EBT Margin | 3.9% | 4/6 |
| Tax Rate | -98.6% | – |
The effective tax rate is outside the normal band, which points to a large non-recurring tax item in the trailing twelve months; headline net income, net margin and P/E are affected by it.
Financial Health
| Metric | AVAH | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.16x | 4/7 |
| D/E Ratio | 6.33x | 1/6 |
| Financial Leverage | 7.33x | 1/6 |
| Interest Coverage | 2.9x | 5/7 |
| Working Capital | $67M | 5/7 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | AVAH | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $159M | 6/7 |
| OCF Growth YoY | 85.5% | 2/6 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | AVAH | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Payables Period | 6 days | 5/5 |
Income Statement
| Metric | AVAH | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Income | $310M | 4/7 |
| Net Income | $239M | 2/6 |
| SG&A Expense | $470M | – |
| Cost of Goods Sold | $2.04B | 3/5 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | AVAH | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Shares Outstanding | 218M | – |
| Net Income Growth | 1188.6% | 1/5 |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Total Current Assets | $478M | 22.7% of assets |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $97M | 4.6% of assets |
| Accounts Receivable | $337M | 16.0% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $1.82B | 86.3% of assets |
| Short-term Debt | $379M | 18.0% of assets |
AVAH quarterly financials and insider trading
Aveanna Healthcare Holdings, Inc. (AVAH) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Aveanna Healthcare Holdings, Inc. (Services-Home Health Care Services): 7 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
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Aveanna Healthcare Holdings, Inc. (AVAH) stock news
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Aveanna Healthcare Holdings, Inc. (AVAH) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Aveanna Healthcare Holdings, Inc. (AVAH) stock forecast?
Our AI ranks Aveanna Healthcare Holdings, Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
How accurate are Aveanna Healthcare Holdings, Inc. stock predictions?
For AVAH, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 30.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 4.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Aveanna Healthcare Holdings, Inc. forecasts updated?
Aveanna Healthcare Holdings, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.
Which companies are Aveanna Healthcare Holdings, Inc.'s industry peers?
7 issuers in our coverage, AVAH included, share the SEC industry code Services-Home Health Care Services. The largest are: Brightspring Health Services, Inc. (BTSG), Chemed Corp (CHE), Option Care Health, Inc. (OPCH), Addus Homecare Corp (ADUS), Adapthealth Corp. (AHCO), Edgemode, Inc. (EDGM).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.