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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Boot Barn Holdings, Inc. (BOOT) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Total · absolute moveSwitch to Alpha · NYSE

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Rating · 90D Neutral Total
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Total
Rank in coverage Middle 30% of 5172 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D -1.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $3.69B mid-cap
Summary

Boot Barn Holdings, Inc. (BOOT) stock forecast summary

On Oct. 16, 2026, BOOT is rated Neutral: its 90-day Total forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5172 stocks scored that day.

Boot Barn Holdings, Inc. is a mid-cap company with a market capitalization of $3.69B.

For BOOT, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -1.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 0.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected absolute price move over the horizon, market included. This is the number a price target is built from. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +5.0%, buy ≥ +3.4%, sell < +1.8%, strong sell < +0.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

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Price

BOOT price chart and AI forecast

BOOT
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How BOOT ranks among 5172 stocks

90D Total forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-06-27

Boot Barn Holdings, Inc. (BOOT) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Retail-Shoe Stores peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricBOOTIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $3.69B – –
P/E Ratio 15.41x – –
P/B Ratio 2.71x – –
EPS $7.90 – –
Book Value/Share $44.87 – –
Revenue/Share $77.38 – –
FCF/Share $3.85 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricBOOTIndustry medianRank
ROE 17.9% – –
ROA 9.4% – –
ROIC 14.9% – –
Gross Margin 38.5% – –
Operating Margin 13.6% – –
Net Margin 10.3% – –
EBT Margin 13.7% – –
Tax Rate 24.6% – –

Financial Health

MetricBOOTIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 2.53x – –
Quick Ratio 0.45x – –
D/E Ratio 0.89x – –
Financial Leverage 1.89x – –
Interest Coverage 286.5x – –
Working Capital $662M – –

Cash Flow

MetricBOOTIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $315M – –
Free Cash Flow $117M – –
Capital Spending -$198M – –
OCF Growth YoY 74.9% – –
FCF Growth YoY 326.1% – –
FCF/Sales 5.0% – –
CapEx/Sales 8.5% – –

Operational Efficiency

MetricBOOTIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.91x – –
Receivables Turnover 79.7x – –
Inventory Turnover 1.6x – –
Fixed Assets Turnover 4.3x – –
Days Sales Outstanding 5 days – –
Days Inventory 228 days – –
Payables Period 45 days – –
Cash Conversion Cycle 188 days – –

Income Statement

MetricBOOTIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $2.34B – –
Operating Income $319M – –
Net Income $243M – –
SG&A Expense $582M – –
Cost of Goods Sold $1.44B – –

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricBOOTIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 30M – –
Net Income Growth 24.1% – –
EPS Growth 24.2% – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$1.09B42.6% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$139M5.4% of assets
Accounts Receivable$29M1.1% of assets
Inventory$900M35.0% of assets
Total Liabilities$1.21B47.1% of assets
Short-term Debt$256M10.0% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

BOOT quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Retail-Shoe Stores

Boot Barn Holdings, Inc. (BOOT) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Boot Barn Holdings, Inc. (Retail-Shoe Stores): 4 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Total) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
BOOT Boot Barn Holdings, Inc. ▶ $3.69B 15.4x 2.7x
GCO Genesco Inc ▶ $401M 9.4x 0.8x
SHOE Shoe Station Group Inc ▶ $374M 9.6x 0.6x
DBI Designer Brands Inc. ▲ $316M – –

Where BOOT sits on the market map

Trade & Services · Retail-Shoe Stores
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News

Boot Barn Holdings, Inc. (BOOT) stock news

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FAQ

Boot Barn Holdings, Inc. (BOOT) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Boot Barn Holdings, Inc. (BOOT) stock forecast?

On Oct. 16, 2026, BOOT is rated Neutral: its 90-day Total forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5172 stocks scored that day.

How accurate are Boot Barn Holdings, Inc. stock predictions?

For BOOT, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -1.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 0.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Boot Barn Holdings, Inc. forecasts updated?

Boot Barn Holdings, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Boot Barn Holdings, Inc.'s industry peers?

4 issuers in our coverage, BOOT included, share the SEC industry code Retail-Shoe Stores. The largest are: Genesco Inc (GCO), Shoe Station Group Inc (SHOE), Designer Brands Inc. (DBI).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.