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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Cummins Inc (CMI) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE

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Rating · 90D ▼ Bearish Exact rating locked
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Bottom 35% of 5184 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D -10.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $73.15B large-cap · #1 of 6 peers
Summary

Cummins Inc (CMI) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks Cummins Inc outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

Cummins Inc is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $73.15B. It ranks number 1 by market capitalization among the 6 Engines & Turbines issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For CMI, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -10.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -4.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

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Price

CMI price chart and AI forecast

CMI
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How CMI ranks among 5184 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-06-30

Cummins Inc (CMI) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Engines & Turbines peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricCMIIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $73.15B $2.62B 1/6
P/E Ratio 27.18x – –
P/B Ratio 5.69x 5.23x 2/5
Dividend Yield 1.51% – –
EPS $19.55 – –
Book Value/Share $93.32 – –
Revenue/Share $252.12 – –
FCF/Share $24.46 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricCMIIndustry medianRank
ROE 21.1% 21.1% 3/5
ROA 7.6% 7.6% 3/5
ROIC 15.6% 11.5% 2/5
Gross Margin 25.3% 24.6% 3/6
Operating Margin 11.2% 7.6% 3/6
Net Margin 7.8% 7.8% 3/5
EBT Margin 11.1% 7.1% 3/6
Tax Rate 26.5% – –

Financial Health

MetricCMIIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 1.73x 2.06x 4/6
Quick Ratio 1.13x 1.31x 4/6
D/E Ratio 1.69x 1.69x 3/5
Financial Leverage 2.77x 2.77x 3/5
Interest Coverage 9.9x 4.2x 1/6
Working Capital $7.76B $434M 1/6

Cash Flow

MetricCMIIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $4.65B $297M 1/6
Free Cash Flow $3.37B – –
Capital Spending -$1.28B – –
OCF Growth YoY 63.4% 5.2% 2/5
FCF Growth YoY 103.8% – –
FCF/Sales 9.7% – –
CapEx/Sales 3.7% – –

Operational Efficiency

MetricCMIIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.97x – –
Receivables Turnover 5.3x 8.4x 5/5
Inventory Turnover 4.0x 4.0x 3/6
Fixed Assets Turnover 5.0x 5.0x 3/5
Days Sales Outstanding 69 days 43 days 1/5
Days Inventory 90 days 90 days 4/6
Payables Period 66 days 38 days 2/6
Cash Conversion Cycle 94 days 94 days 3/5

Income Statement

MetricCMIIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $34.71B $3.51B 1/5
Operating Income $3.89B $46M 1/6
Net Income $2.71B $68M 1/5
R&D Expense $1.44B $20M 1/6
SG&A Expense $3.31B $420M 1/5
Cost of Goods Sold $25.92B $1.63B 1/6

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricCMIIndustry medianRank
Dividends Per Share $8.03 – –
Payout Ratio 41.1% – –
Shares Outstanding 138M – –
Net Income Growth -7.7% – –
EPS Growth -8.9% – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$18.43B51.7% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$3.18B8.9% of assets
Accounts Receivable$6.58B18.5% of assets
Inventory$6.40B18.0% of assets
Total Liabilities$21.72B61.0% of assets
Short-term Debt$6.02B16.9% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

CMI quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Engines & Turbines

Cummins Inc (CMI) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Cummins Inc (Engines & Turbines): 6 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
CMI Cummins Inc ▼ $73.15B 27.2x 5.7x
BWXT Bwx Technologies, Inc. ▼ $12.55B 37.0x 9.4x
BC Brunswick Corp ▶ $4.17B – 2.5x
PSIX Power Solutions International, Inc. ▶ $1.06B 13.4x 5.2x
CEPL Capstone Energy Plus, Inc. ▶ $98M – –
WPRT Aetherion Technologies Inc. ▶ $31M – 0.4x

Where CMI sits on the market map

Technology · Engines & Turbines
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News

Cummins Inc (CMI) stock news

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FAQ

Cummins Inc (CMI) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Cummins Inc (CMI) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks Cummins Inc outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are Cummins Inc stock predictions?

For CMI, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -10.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -4.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Cummins Inc forecasts updated?

Cummins Inc forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Cummins Inc's industry peers?

6 issuers in our coverage, CMI included, share the SEC industry code Engines & Turbines. The largest are: Bwx Technologies, Inc. (BWXT), Brunswick Corp (BC), Power Solutions International, Inc. (PSIX), Capstone Energy Plus, Inc. (CEPL), Aetherion Technologies Inc. (WPRT).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.