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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Castellum, Inc. (CTM) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE

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Rating · 90D Neutral Alpha
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Middle 30% of 5172 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 17.0% Spearman, 341 dates
Market Cap $55M small-cap · #22 of 37 peers
Summary

Castellum, Inc. (CTM) stock forecast summary

On Oct. 16, 2026, CTM is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5172 stocks scored that day.

Castellum, Inc. is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $55M. It ranks number 22 by market capitalization among the 37 Services-Management Consulting Services issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For CTM, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 17.0%, measured on 341 forecast dates between 2022-11-18 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 10.0%, measured on 384 forecast dates between 2022-11-18 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

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Price

CTM price chart and AI forecast

CTM
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How CTM ranks among 5172 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-06-30

Castellum, Inc. (CTM) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Services-Management Consulting Services peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricCTMIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $55M $90M 22/37
P/B Ratio 1.53x 2.87x 22/30
EPS $-0.04 – –
Book Value/Share $0.38 – –
Revenue/Share $0.58 – –
FCF/Share $0.03 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricCTMIndustry medianRank
ROE -6.4% 8.4% 17/23
ROA -5.5% 1.8% 18/29
ROIC -7.5% 7.0% 24/30
Gross Margin 35.3% 36.5% 15/25
Operating Margin -5.0% 0.9% 19/32
Net Margin -4.1% 2.5% 19/27
EBT Margin -3.7% 1.1% 20/34
Tax Rate -12.5% – –

Financial Health

MetricCTMIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 4.71x 1.59x 6/35
D/E Ratio 0.17x 1.08x 26/33
Financial Leverage 1.17x 2.08x 26/33
Interest Coverage 48.5x -2.3x 2/30
Working Capital $20M $10M 16/35

Cash Flow

MetricCTMIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $3M $720K 17/39
Free Cash Flow $3M $17M 14/19
Capital Spending -$80K -$10M 5/19
FCF Growth YoY 595.4% -11.1% 1/14
FCF/Sales 4.7% 6.7% 12/19
CapEx/Sales 0.1% 1.1% 16/19

Operational Efficiency

MetricCTMIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 1.32x 0.97x 8/27
Receivables Turnover 7.7x 7.7x 10/19
Fixed Assets Turnover 253.7x 28.5x 1/21
Days Sales Outstanding 47 days 46 days 10/20

Income Statement

MetricCTMIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $55M $127M 16/28
Operating Income -$3M $0.00M 30/37
Net Income -$2M $620K 27/30
Cost of Goods Sold $36M $27M 14/28

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricCTMIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 95M – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$25M60.1% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$17M40.3% of assets
Accounts Receivable$7M17.1% of assets
Total Liabilities$6M14.2% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

CTM quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Services-Management Consulting Services

Castellum, Inc. (CTM) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Castellum, Inc. (Services-Management Consulting Services): 45 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
CTM Castellum, Inc. ▶ $55M – 1.5x
GIB Cgi Inc ▶ $16.57B 4.0x –
BAH Booz Allen Hamilton Holding Corp ▼ $8.93B 10.9x 7.4x
G Genpact Ltd ▼ $6.26B 11.5x 2.4x
FCN Fti Consulting, Inc ▼ $4.10B 18.0x 3.1x
EXPO Exponent Inc ▶ $3.42B 33.4x 11.8x
HURN Huron Consulting Group Inc. ▶ $3.01B 29.9x 7.6x
ASTH Astrana Health, Inc. ▶ $2.05B 54.9x 2.5x
ICFI Icf International, Inc. ▼ $1.60B 18.5x 1.5x
BWMN Bowman Consulting Group Ltd. ▼ $741M 80.7x 2.9x
RMR Rmr Group Inc. ▲ $587M 19.1x 2.5x
ROMA Roma Green Finance Ltd ▶ $497M – 45.7x
ONT Onterris, Inc. ▲ $492M – 1.1x
PPHC Public Policy Holding Company, Inc. ▲ $310M – 2.8x
HCKT Hackett Group, Inc. ▼ $281M 19.5x 4.1x
III Information Services Group Inc. ▶ $274M 25.7x 2.9x
TSSI Tss, Inc. ▼ $200M 14.1x 2.5x
PHCI Panamera Holdings Corp ▼ $169M – –
RTB Rtb Digital, Inc. ▼ $109M – 3.6x
AUC Atif Holdings Ltd ▲ $90M – 10.7x
GFLT Genflat Holdings, Inc. ▼ $78M – 17.2x
MHH Mastech Digital, Inc. ▶ $76M 211.7x 0.8x
VDTA Vertical Data Inc. ▼ $46M – –
EUBG Entrepreneur Universe Bright Group ▶ $43M 25.2x 4.1x
RYOJ Ryojbaba Co., Ltd. ▼ $33M – 5.4x
AERT Aeries Technology, Inc. ▶ $33M 14.5x –
ACCS Access Newswire Inc. ▲ $18M – 0.6x
DFNS T3 Defense Inc. ▼ $14M – –
LICN Lichen International Ltd ▼ $14M – 0.2x
GRNQ Greenpro Capital Corp. ▶ $14M – 0.7x
PBSV Pharma-Bio Serv, Inc. ▲ $9M – 0.9x
CISO Ciso Global, Inc. ▲ $8M – 0.6x
ELVG Elvictor Group, Inc. ▶ $5M – 8.7x
BDTB Bodhi Tree Biotechnology Inc ▼ $5M – 368.1x
YSGL Yellowstone Group Ltd. ▼ $3M – 136.0x
RDSC Radiant Strategies Corp ▼ $1M – –
HSTA Hestia Insight Inc. ▶ $840K – –
GXXM Gex Management, Inc. ▼ N/A – –
IVHI Invech Holdings, Inc. ▲ N/A – –
LEEN Leopard Energy, Inc. ▼ N/A – –
NORD Nordicus Partners Corp ▶ N/A – –
SATT Sativus Tech Corp. ▶ N/A – –
SSHT Ssht S&T Group Ltd. ▼ N/A – –
THRC Havana Roasters Coffee Companies, Inc. ▼ N/A – –
WYGC Wenyuan Group Corp. ▼ N/A – –

Where CTM sits on the market map

Trade & Services · Services-Management Consulting Services
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News

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FAQ

Castellum, Inc. (CTM) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Castellum, Inc. (CTM) stock forecast?

On Oct. 16, 2026, CTM is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5172 stocks scored that day.

How accurate are Castellum, Inc. stock predictions?

For CTM, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 17.0%, measured on 341 forecast dates between 2022-11-18 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 10.0%, measured on 384 forecast dates between 2022-11-18 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Castellum, Inc. forecasts updated?

Castellum, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Castellum, Inc.'s industry peers?

45 issuers in our coverage, CTM included, share the SEC industry code Services-Management Consulting Services. The largest are: Cgi Inc (GIB), Booz Allen Hamilton Holding Corp (BAH), Genpact Ltd (G), Fti Consulting, Inc (FCN), Exponent Inc (EXPO), Huron Consulting Group Inc. (HURN).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.