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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Direct Digital Holdings, Inc. (DRCT) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Total · absolute moveSwitch to Alpha · Nasdaq

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Rating · 90D ▼ Bearish Exact rating locked
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Total
Rank in coverage Bottom 35% of 5184 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 12.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $240K small-cap · #16 of 16 peers
Summary

Direct Digital Holdings, Inc. (DRCT) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks Direct Digital Holdings, Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

Direct Digital Holdings, Inc. is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $240K. It ranks number 16 by market capitalization among the 16 Services-Advertising issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For DRCT, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 12.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 19.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected absolute price move over the horizon, market included. This is the number a price target is built from. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +5.1%, buy ≥ +3.4%, sell < +1.8%, strong sell < +0.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, DRCT included.

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Price

DRCT price chart and AI forecast

DRCT
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How DRCT ranks among 5184 stocks

90D Total forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-06-30

Direct Digital Holdings, Inc. (DRCT) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Services-Advertising peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricDRCTIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $240K $46M 16/16
EPS $-91.66 – –
Revenue/Share $40.63 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricDRCTIndustry medianRank
ROIC 110.6% -0.2% 1/14
Gross Margin 30.4% 54.8% 10/12
Operating Margin -47.2% -7.4% 12/15
EBT Margin -86.5% -8.5% 12/15
Tax Rate 0.0% – –

Financial Health

MetricDRCTIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 0.14x 0.82x 13/16
Interest Coverage -6.0x -5.6x 9/15
Working Capital -$27M -$640K 16/16

Cash Flow

MetricDRCTIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow -$5M -$260K 14/16

Operational Efficiency

MetricDRCTIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 1.63x 0.92x 4/10
Receivables Turnover 11.5x 9.5x 5/10
Fixed Assets Turnover 312.2x 37.6x 4/11
Days Sales Outstanding 32 days 40 days 6/10

Income Statement

MetricDRCTIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $31M $92M 9/11
Operating Income -$15M -$6M 12/16
Cost of Goods Sold $22M $21M 6/12

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricDRCTIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 1M – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$5M24.4% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$520K2.7% of assets
Accounts Receivable$3M14.2% of assets
Total Liabilities$33M
Quarterly Financial Reports

DRCT quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Services-Advertising

Direct Digital Holdings, Inc. (DRCT) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Direct Digital Holdings, Inc. (Services-Advertising): 17 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Total) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
DRCT Direct Digital Holdings, Inc. ▼ $240K – –
CCO Clear Channel Outdoor Holdings, Inc. ▶ $1.23B 242.0x –
IBTA Ibotta, Inc. ▲ $1.11B – 25.1x
ANGI Angi Inc. ▲ $251M – 0.4x
NCMI National Cinemedia, Inc. ▲ $194M 103.0x 0.6x
FLNT Fluent, Inc. ▲ $86M – 10.6x
THRY Thryv Holdings, Inc. ▲ $54M – 0.3x
TGLO Theglobe Com Inc ▶ $53M – –
TZOO Travelzoo ▲ $51M 62.9x –
IZEA Izea Worldwide, Inc. ▲ $40M – 0.8x
MOBQ Mobiquity Technologies, Inc. ▼ $17M – 26.6x
PSQH Psq Holdings, Inc. ▲ $11M – 2.7x
INUV Inuvo, Inc. ▲ $7M – 0.9x
ADMQ Adm Endeavors, Inc. ▼ $7M – 1.9x
NAPD Napc Defense, Inc. ▼ $4M – –
ONAR Onar Holding Corp ▲ $2M – –
ZICX Zicix Corp ▼ N/A – –

Where DRCT sits on the market map

Trade & Services · Services-Advertising
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News

Direct Digital Holdings, Inc. (DRCT) stock news

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FAQ

Direct Digital Holdings, Inc. (DRCT) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Direct Digital Holdings, Inc. (DRCT) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks Direct Digital Holdings, Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are Direct Digital Holdings, Inc. stock predictions?

For DRCT, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 12.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 19.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Direct Digital Holdings, Inc. forecasts updated?

Direct Digital Holdings, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Direct Digital Holdings, Inc.'s industry peers?

17 issuers in our coverage, DRCT included, share the SEC industry code Services-Advertising. The largest are: Clear Channel Outdoor Holdings, Inc. (CCO), Ibotta, Inc. (IBTA), Angi Inc. (ANGI), National Cinemedia, Inc. (NCMI), Fluent, Inc. (FLNT), Thryv Holdings, Inc. (THRY).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.