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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Energy Transfer Lp (ET) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE

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Rating · 90D Neutral Alpha
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Middle 30% of 5172 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D -13.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $74.28B large-cap · #5 of 16 peers
Summary

Energy Transfer Lp (ET) stock forecast summary

On Oct. 16, 2026, ET is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5172 stocks scored that day.

Energy Transfer Lp is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $74.28B. It ranks number 5 by market capitalization among the 16 Natural Gas Transmission issuers in our coverage with a current forecast. Its Gross Margin of 23.6% is the lowest of the 12 peers that report one.

For ET, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -13.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -19.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

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Price

ET price chart and AI forecast

ET
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How ET ranks among 5172 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-06-30

Energy Transfer Lp (ET) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Natural Gas Transmission peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricETIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $74.28B $15.41B 5/16
P/E Ratio 14.04x 24.87x 13/14
P/B Ratio 1.49x 2.94x 9/10
Book Value/Share $13.57 – –
Revenue/Share $29.29 – –
FCF/Share $1.42 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricETIndustry medianRank
ROE 10.6% 11.0% 7/9
ROA 3.6% 4.6% 8/11
ROIC 8.4% 8.4% 7/13
Gross Margin 23.6% 53.5% 12/12
Operating Margin 10.0% 29.5% 13/14
Net Margin 4.9% 18.8% 11/12
EBT Margin 10.0% 26.8% 13/16
Tax Rate 5.2% – –

Financial Health

MetricETIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 1.16x 0.95x 5/16
Quick Ratio 0.94x 0.68x 3/11
D/E Ratio 1.97x 1.93x 6/12
Financial Leverage 2.98x 3.12x 6/10
Interest Coverage 3.8x 2.4x 3/14
Working Capital $3.25B -$17M 1/16

Cash Flow

MetricETIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $12.12B $1.56B 1/16
Free Cash Flow $5.22B $301M 1/12
Capital Spending -$6.90B -$478M 12/12
OCF Growth YoY 8.8% 12.2% 10/15
FCF Growth YoY -8.5% -2.7% 7/12
FCF/Sales 4.9% 6.8% 8/12
CapEx/Sales 6.4% 20.1% 12/12

Operational Efficiency

MetricETIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.72x 0.27x 2/12
Receivables Turnover 6.4x 6.8x 7/10
Inventory Turnover 18.7x 9.3x 4/9
Fixed Assets Turnover 1.0x 0.4x 3/14
Days Sales Outstanding 57 days 53 days 4/10
Days Inventory 20 days 39 days 6/9

Income Statement

MetricETIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $107.38B $3.52B 1/15
Operating Income $10.78B $2.13B 2/15
Net Income $5.29B $845M 1/12
SG&A Expense $1.42B $164M 1/5
Cost of Goods Sold $82.06B $938M 1/12

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricETIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 3666M – –
Net Income Growth 11.4% 11.4% 6/11

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$23.11B15.6% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$1.02B0.7% of assets
Accounts Receivable$16.82B11.4% of assets
Inventory$4.38B3.0% of assets
Total Liabilities$97.75B66.0% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

ET quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Natural Gas Transmission

Energy Transfer Lp (ET) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Energy Transfer Lp (Natural Gas Transmission): 17 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
ET Energy Transfer Lp ▶ $74.28B 14.0x 1.5x
NGG National Grid Plc ▼ $87.99B 41.3x –
WMB Williams Companies, Inc. ▶ $87.19B 30.1x 6.6x
EPD Enterprise Products Partners L.P. ▲ $79.51B 12.8x –
KMI Kinder Morgan, Inc. ▼ $76.16B 23.8x 2.4x
TRP Tc Energy Corp ▼ $64.26B 31.1x 3.2x
TRGP Targa Resources Corp. ▶ $63.24B 25.9x 17.3x
WES Western Midstream Partners, Lp ▲ $18.21B 14.9x –
DTM Dt Midstream, Inc. ▼ $12.62B 27.1x 2.6x
AM Antero Midstream Corp ▲ $9.80B 24.6x 5.0x
KNTK Kinetik Holdings Inc. ▼ $8.94B 18.8x –
AROC Archrock, Inc. ▲ $5.18B 16.0x 3.9x
KGS Kodiak Gas Services, Inc. ▶ $4.77B 47.7x 2.2x
USAC Usa Compression Partners, Lp ▶ $3.68B 25.2x –
NGL Ngl Energy Partners Lp ▲ $1.90B – –
SMC Summit Midstream Corp ▶ $423M – 0.7x
TCPA Transcanada Pipelines Ltd ▼ N/A – –

Where ET sits on the market map

Energy & Transportation · Natural Gas Transmission
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News

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FAQ

Energy Transfer Lp (ET) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Energy Transfer Lp (ET) stock forecast?

On Oct. 16, 2026, ET is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5172 stocks scored that day.

How accurate are Energy Transfer Lp stock predictions?

For ET, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -13.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -19.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Energy Transfer Lp forecasts updated?

Energy Transfer Lp forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Energy Transfer Lp's industry peers?

17 issuers in our coverage, ET included, share the SEC industry code Natural Gas Transmission. The largest are: National Grid Plc (NGG), Williams Companies, Inc. (WMB), Enterprise Products Partners L.P. (EPD), Kinder Morgan, Inc. (KMI), Tc Energy Corp (TRP), Targa Resources Corp. (TRGP).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.