National Vision Holdings, Inc. (EYE) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Total · absolute moveSwitch to Alpha · Nasdaq
National Vision Holdings, Inc. (EYE) stock forecast summary
On Oct. 16, 2026, EYE is rated Neutral: its 90-day Total forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5184 stocks scored that day.
National Vision Holdings, Inc. is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $1.38B. It ranks number 5 by market capitalization among the 8 Ophthalmic Goods issuers in our coverage with a current forecast. Its D/E Ratio of 1.21x is the highest of the 8 peers that report one.
For EYE, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 13.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 9.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected absolute price move over the horizon, market included. This is the number a price target is built from. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +5.1%, buy ≥ +3.4%, sell < +1.8%, strong sell < +0.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)
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How EYE ranks among 5184 stocks
90D Total forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
National Vision Holdings, Inc. (EYE) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Ophthalmic Goods peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | EYE | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $1.38B | 5/8 |
| P/E Ratio | 42.51x | – |
| P/B Ratio | 1.54x | 3/7 |
| EPS | $0.41 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $11.34 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $25.72 | – |
| FCF/Share | $0.62 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | EYE | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROIC | 5.2% | 1/5 |
| Gross Margin | 58.6% | 4/6 |
| Operating Margin | 4.1% | 3/6 |
| EBT Margin | 3.4% | 3/6 |
| Tax Rate | 26.3% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | EYE | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.59x | 7/7 |
| Quick Ratio | 0.27x | 7/7 |
| D/E Ratio | 1.21x | 1/8 |
| Financial Leverage | 2.21x | 1/6 |
| Interest Coverage | 5.9x | 3/6 |
| Working Capital | -$156M | 7/7 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | EYE | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $130M | 3/7 |
| Free Cash Flow | $49M | 3/6 |
| Capital Spending | -$81M | 4/6 |
| OCF Growth YoY | -10.4% | – |
| FCF Growth YoY | -13.5% | – |
| FCF/Sales | 2.4% | 3/6 |
| CapEx/Sales | 4.0% | 4/6 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | EYE | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 1.03x | 1/6 |
| Receivables Turnover | 58.3x | 2/7 |
| Inventory Turnover | 6.9x | 2/6 |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 6.0x | 3/7 |
| Days Sales Outstanding | 6 days | 6/7 |
| Days Inventory | 53 days | 5/6 |
| Payables Period | 33 days | 5/5 |
| Cash Conversion Cycle | 26 days | 4/5 |
Income Statement
| Metric | EYE | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $2.03B | 4/8 |
| Operating Income | $83M | 3/6 |
| SG&A Expense | $1.01B | 4/8 |
| Cost of Goods Sold | $841M | 2/6 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | EYE | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Shares Outstanding | 79M | – |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Total Current Assets | $227M | 11.4% of assets |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $36M | 1.8% of assets |
| Accounts Receivable | $35M | 1.8% of assets |
| Inventory | $123M | 6.2% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $1.09B | 54.8% of assets |
| Short-term Debt | $306M | 15.4% of assets |
EYE quarterly financials and insider trading
National Vision Holdings, Inc. (EYE) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as National Vision Holdings, Inc. (Ophthalmic Goods): 8 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Total) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| EYE National Vision Holdings, Inc. | ▶ | $1.38B |
| ALC Alcon Inc | ▼ | $32.26B |
| COO Cooper Companies, Inc. | ▼ | $11.02B |
| BLCO Bausch & Lomb Corp | ▶ | $5.89B |
| WRBY Warby Parker Inc. | ▲ | $2.89B |
| STAA Staar Surgical Co | ▶ | $1.07B |
| RXST Rxsight, Inc. | ▲ | $188M |
| LUCY Innovative Eyewear Inc | ▶ | $7M |
Where EYE sits on the market map
National Vision Holdings, Inc. (EYE) stock news
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National Vision Holdings, Inc. (EYE) stock forecast FAQ
What is the National Vision Holdings, Inc. (EYE) stock forecast?
On Oct. 16, 2026, EYE is rated Neutral: its 90-day Total forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5184 stocks scored that day.
How accurate are National Vision Holdings, Inc. stock predictions?
For EYE, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 13.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 9.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are National Vision Holdings, Inc. forecasts updated?
National Vision Holdings, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.
Which companies are National Vision Holdings, Inc.'s industry peers?
8 issuers in our coverage, EYE included, share the SEC industry code Ophthalmic Goods. The largest are: Alcon Inc (ALC), Cooper Companies, Inc. (COO), Bausch & Lomb Corp (BLCO), Warby Parker Inc. (WRBY), Staar Surgical Co (STAA), Rxsight, Inc. (RXST).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.