FBTC Review: Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund
Our FBTC review covers Fidelity’s Bitcoin ETF, its 0.25% fee, custody arrangements, trading costs, account differences and ...
Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16
Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund (FBTC) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Total · absolute moveSwitch to Alpha · CBOE
Rating · 90D
Total
90-day forecast
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30-day forecast
Total
Rank in coverage
Middle 30%
of 5172 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D
9.0%
Spearman, 271 dates
Market Cap
$13.99B
large-cap
Summary
Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund (FBTC) stock forecast summary
On Oct. 16, 2026, FBTC is rated Neutral: its 90-day Total forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5172 stocks scored that day.
Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $13.99B.
For FBTC, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 9.0%, measured on 271 forecast dates between 2024-03-22 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 9.0%, measured on 314 forecast dates between 2024-03-22 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected absolute price move over the horizon, market included. This is the number a price target is built from. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +5.0%, buy ≥ +3.4%, sell < +1.8%, strong sell < +0.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)
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Cross-section · 2026-10-16
How FBTC ranks among 5172 stocks
90D Total forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Fundamentals · 2026-06-30
Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund (FBTC) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Commodity Contracts Brokers & Dealers peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | FBTC | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $13.99B | – |
| P/B Ratio | 1.36x | – |
| Book Value/Share | $52.20 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | FBTC | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROE | -91.7% | – |
| ROA | -91.6% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | FBTC | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| D/E Ratio | 0.00x | – |
| Financial Leverage | 1.00x | – |
Cash Flow
| Metric | FBTC | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $1.82B | – |
Income Statement
| Metric | FBTC | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Net Income | -$9.45B | – |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | FBTC | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Shares Outstanding | 197M | – |
| Net Income Growth | -217.6% | – |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $0.00M | 0.0% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $12M | 0.1% of assets |
Quarterly Financial Reports
FBTC quarterly financials and insider trading
Industry Peers · Commodity Contracts Brokers & Dealers
Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund (FBTC) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund (Commodity Contracts Brokers & Dealers): 2 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
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Crypto Assets · Commodity Contracts Brokers & Dealers
News
Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund (FBTC) stock news
Fidelity ETF clients buy $103M worth of Bitcoin in a single day
Fidelity's FBTC drew $103.06 million in Bitcoin ETF inflows on October 13, nearly all of the $109.8 million that entered the ...
Which Cryptocurrency Fund is the better Bet? Fidelity Bitcoin Fund or iShares Ethereum ETF
Digital asset trusts provide direct access to the spot prices of the two largest cryptocurrencies. The choice between iShares Ethereum Trust ETF(NASDAQ:ETHA) and Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin ...
FAQ
Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund (FBTC) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund (FBTC) stock forecast?
On Oct. 16, 2026, FBTC is rated Neutral: its 90-day Total forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5172 stocks scored that day.
How accurate are Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund stock predictions?
For FBTC, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 9.0%, measured on 271 forecast dates between 2024-03-22 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 9.0%, measured on 314 forecast dates between 2024-03-22 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund forecasts updated?
Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.
Which companies are Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund's industry peers?
2 issuers in our coverage, FBTC included, share the SEC industry code Commodity Contracts Brokers & Dealers. The largest are: Ai Financial Corp (JAN).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.