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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Federal National Mortgage Association Fannie Mae (FNMA) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Total · absolute moveSwitch to Alpha · OTC

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Rating · 90D ▲ Bullish Exact rating locked
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Total
Rank in coverage Top 35% of 5184 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 24.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $21.58B large-cap
Summary

Federal National Mortgage Association Fannie Mae (FNMA) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks Federal National Mortgage Association Fannie Mae outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

Federal National Mortgage Association Fannie Mae is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $21.58B.

For FNMA, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 24.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 28.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected absolute price move over the horizon, market included. This is the number a price target is built from. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +5.1%, buy ≥ +3.4%, sell < +1.8%, strong sell < +0.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, FNMA included.

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Price

FNMA price chart and AI forecast

FNMA
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How FNMA ranks among 5184 stocks

90D Total forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-03-31

Federal National Mortgage Association Fannie Mae (FNMA) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Federal & Federally-Sponsored Credit Agencies peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricFNMAIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $21.58B – –
P/E Ratio 376.00x – –
P/B Ratio 0.19x – –
EPS $0.01 – –
Book Value/Share $19.63 – –
Revenue/Share $4.74 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricFNMAIndustry medianRank
EBT Margin 66.4% – –
Tax Rate 20.1% – –

Financial Health

MetricFNMAIndustry medianRank
D/E Ratio 37.30x – –
Financial Leverage 38.30x – –

Cash Flow

MetricFNMAIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $36.97B – –

Operational Efficiency

MetricFNMAIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.01x – –

Income Statement

MetricFNMAIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $27.22B – –

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricFNMAIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 5739M – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Cash & Short-term Investments$45.26B1.0% of assets
Total Liabilities$4.20T97.4% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

FNMA quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Federal & Federally-Sponsored Credit Agencies

Federal National Mortgage Association Fannie Mae (FNMA) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Federal National Mortgage Association Fannie Mae (Federal & Federally-Sponsored Credit Agencies): 3 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Total) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
FNMA Federal National Mortgage Association Fannie Mae ▲ $21.58B 376.0x 0.2x
FMCC Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corp ▲ $11.32B – 0.2x
AGM Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corp ▼ $2.21B 11.2x 1.2x

Where FNMA sits on the market map

Finance · Federal & Federally-Sponsored Credit Agencies
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News

Federal National Mortgage Association Fannie Mae (FNMA) stock news

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FAQ

Federal National Mortgage Association Fannie Mae (FNMA) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Federal National Mortgage Association Fannie Mae (FNMA) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks Federal National Mortgage Association Fannie Mae outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are Federal National Mortgage Association Fannie Mae stock predictions?

For FNMA, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 24.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 28.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Federal National Mortgage Association Fannie Mae forecasts updated?

Federal National Mortgage Association Fannie Mae forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Federal National Mortgage Association Fannie Mae's industry peers?

3 issuers in our coverage, FNMA included, share the SEC industry code Federal & Federally-Sponsored Credit Agencies. The largest are: Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corp (FMCC), Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corp (AGM).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.