Intratio
Loading...
Skip to main content
Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Genesco Inc (GCO) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE

Follow Unlock full AI forecasts
Rating · 90D ▼ Bearish Exact rating locked
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Bottom 35% of 5184 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 54.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $401M small-cap
Summary

Genesco Inc (GCO) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks Genesco Inc outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

Genesco Inc is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $401M.

For GCO, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 54.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 35.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, GCO included.

Follow GCO free
Price

GCO price chart and AI forecast

GCO
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How GCO ranks among 5184 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-08-01

Genesco Inc (GCO) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Retail-Shoe Stores peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricGCOIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $401M – –
P/E Ratio 9.37x – –
P/B Ratio 0.75x – –
EPS $3.96 – –
Book Value/Share $49.26 – –
Revenue/Share $224.86 – –
FCF/Share $6.82 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricGCOIndustry medianRank
ROIC 4.5% – –
Gross Margin 47.5% – –
Operating Margin 2.3% – –
EBT Margin 2.2% – –
Tax Rate 9.2% – –

Financial Health

MetricGCOIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 1.58x – –
Quick Ratio 0.32x – –
D/E Ratio 1.80x – –
Financial Leverage 2.80x – –
Interest Coverage 129.2x – –
Working Capital $250M – –

Cash Flow

MetricGCOIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $134M – –
Free Cash Flow $74M – –
Capital Spending -$60M – –
OCF Growth YoY 69.2% – –
FCF Growth YoY 293.1% – –
FCF/Sales 3.0% – –
CapEx/Sales 2.5% – –

Operational Efficiency

MetricGCOIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 1.63x – –
Receivables Turnover 61.3x – –
Inventory Turnover 2.4x – –
Fixed Assets Turnover 10.0x – –
Days Sales Outstanding 6 days – –
Days Inventory 154 days – –
Payables Period 62 days – –
Cash Conversion Cycle 98 days – –

Income Statement

MetricGCOIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $2.43B – –
Operating Income $48M – –
SG&A Expense $1.10B – –
Cost of Goods Sold $1.28B – –

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricGCOIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 11M – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$676M45.2% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$57M3.8% of assets
Accounts Receivable$40M2.7% of assets
Inventory$540M36.1% of assets
Total Liabilities$962M64.3% of assets
Short-term Debt$210M14.1% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

GCO quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Retail-Shoe Stores

Genesco Inc (GCO) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Genesco Inc (Retail-Shoe Stores): 4 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors

Sign up free
Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
GCO Genesco Inc ▼ $401M 9.4x 0.8x
BOOT Boot Barn Holdings, Inc. ▶ $3.69B 15.4x 2.7x
SHOE Shoe Station Group Inc ▲ $374M 9.6x 0.6x
DBI Designer Brands Inc. ▲ $316M – –

Where GCO sits on the market map

Trade & Services · Retail-Shoe Stores
Explore the map →
News

Genesco Inc (GCO) stock news

More news available

Sign up free to read all 8 news articles and stay updated on market developments.

Sign Up Free to Read More
FAQ

Genesco Inc (GCO) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Genesco Inc (GCO) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks Genesco Inc outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are Genesco Inc stock predictions?

For GCO, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 54.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 35.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Genesco Inc forecasts updated?

Genesco Inc forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Genesco Inc's industry peers?

4 issuers in our coverage, GCO included, share the SEC industry code Retail-Shoe Stores. The largest are: Boot Barn Holdings, Inc. (BOOT), Shoe Station Group Inc (SHOE), Designer Brands Inc. (DBI).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.