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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Graham Corp (GHM) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Total · absolute moveSwitch to Alpha · NYSE

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Rating · 90D Neutral Total
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Total
Rank in coverage Middle 30% of 5172 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 7.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $804M small-cap · #6 of 8 peers
Summary

Graham Corp (GHM) stock forecast summary

On Oct. 16, 2026, GHM is rated Neutral: its 90-day Total forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5172 stocks scored that day.

Graham Corp is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $804M. It ranks number 6 by market capitalization among the 8 General Industrial Machinery & Equipment issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For GHM, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 7.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 1.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected absolute price move over the horizon, market included. This is the number a price target is built from. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +5.0%, buy ≥ +3.4%, sell < +1.8%, strong sell < +0.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

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Price

GHM price chart and AI forecast

GHM
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How GHM ranks among 5172 stocks

90D Total forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-06-30

Graham Corp (GHM) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the General Industrial Machinery & Equipment peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricGHMIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $804M $4.79B 6/8
P/E Ratio 66.47x 32.41x 1/7
P/B Ratio 4.18x 2.97x 3/7
EPS $1.03 – –
Book Value/Share $16.38 – –
Revenue/Share $22.25 – –
FCF/Share $-0.52 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricGHMIndustry medianRank
ROE 6.2% 9.9% 6/8
ROA 3.2% 5.3% 6/7
ROIC 7.0% 10.8% 6/6
Gross Margin 23.3% 36.6% 7/8
Operating Margin 5.4% 14.0% 7/8
Net Margin 4.5% 8.2% 6/8
EBT Margin 5.3% 11.0% 6/8
Tax Rate 15.2% – –

Financial Health

MetricGHMIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 1.23x 1.62x 5/7
Quick Ratio 0.92x 1.15x 5/7
D/E Ratio 0.89x 0.86x 4/8
Financial Leverage 1.89x 1.89x 4/7
Interest Coverage 34.6x 6.6x 2/7
Working Capital $37M $82M 6/7

Cash Flow

MetricGHMIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $6M $413M 8/8
Free Cash Flow -$6M $405M 7/7
Capital Spending -$12M -$46M 2/7
OCF Growth YoY -58.5% 5.8% 7/7
FCF/Sales -2.3% 11.6% 7/7
CapEx/Sales 4.5% 1.7% 1/7

Operational Efficiency

MetricGHMIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.72x 0.68x 3/7
Receivables Turnover 5.2x 5.2x 4/7
Inventory Turnover 4.0x 3.7x 2/7
Fixed Assets Turnover 4.3x 8.8x 7/7
Days Sales Outstanding 70 days 70 days 4/7
Days Inventory 90 days 99 days 6/7
Payables Period 45 days 73 days 4/5
Cash Conversion Cycle 115 days 95 days 2/5

Income Statement

MetricGHMIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $261M $2.62B 7/8
Operating Income $14M $379M 8/8
Net Income $12M $121M 6/8
SG&A Expense $45M $665M 7/8
Cost of Goods Sold $200M $1.53B 7/8

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricGHMIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 12M – –
Net Income Growth -14.7% 25.8% 6/7
EPS Growth -18.2% 27.9% 6/6

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$198M54.5% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$27M7.4% of assets
Accounts Receivable$50M13.7% of assets
Inventory$49M13.6% of assets
Total Liabilities$172M47.2% of assets
Short-term Debt$136M37.5% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

GHM quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · General Industrial Machinery & Equipment

Graham Corp (GHM) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Graham Corp (General Industrial Machinery & Equipment): 8 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Total) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
GHM Graham Corp ▶ $804M 66.5x 4.2x
IR Ingersoll Rand Inc. ▼ $30.18B 32.4x 3.0x
ZBRA Zebra Technologies Corp ▶ $17.46B 33.7x 5.1x
ZWS Zurn Elkay Water Solutions Corp ▼ $7.88B 38.0x 4.9x
GTES Gates Industrial Corp Ltd. ▶ $6.54B 18.3x 1.9x
EFXT Enerflex Ltd. ▲ $3.03B – –
TWIN Twin Disc Inc ▶ $356M 13.2x 1.6x
GTEC Greenland Technologies Holding Corp. ▲ $18M 1.0x 0.2x

Where GHM sits on the market map

Technology · General Industrial Machinery & Equipment
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News

Graham Corp (GHM) stock news

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FAQ

Graham Corp (GHM) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Graham Corp (GHM) stock forecast?

On Oct. 16, 2026, GHM is rated Neutral: its 90-day Total forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5172 stocks scored that day.

How accurate are Graham Corp stock predictions?

For GHM, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 7.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 1.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Graham Corp forecasts updated?

Graham Corp forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Graham Corp's industry peers?

8 issuers in our coverage, GHM included, share the SEC industry code General Industrial Machinery & Equipment. The largest are: Ingersoll Rand Inc. (IR), Zebra Technologies Corp (ZBRA), Zurn Elkay Water Solutions Corp (ZWS), Gates Industrial Corp Ltd. (GTES), Enerflex Ltd. (EFXT), Twin Disc Inc (TWIN).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.