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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Canada Goose Holdings Inc. (GOOS) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE

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Rating · 90D ▼ Bearish Exact rating locked
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Bottom 35% of 5184 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 28.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $786M small-cap · #10 of 14 peers
Summary

Canada Goose Holdings Inc. (GOOS) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks Canada Goose Holdings Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

Canada Goose Holdings Inc. is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $786M. It ranks number 10 by market capitalization among the 14 Apparel & Other Finishd Prods of Fabrics & Similar Matl issuers in our coverage with a current forecast. Its P/E Ratio of 3.62x is the lowest of the 11 peers that report one.

For GOOS, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 28.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 21.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, GOOS included.

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Price

GOOS price chart and AI forecast

GOOS
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How GOOS ranks among 5184 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2025-03-30

Canada Goose Holdings Inc. (GOOS) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Apparel & Other Finishd Prods of Fabrics & Similar Matl peers listed below that report each metric. Statement values were filed in CAD and are shown converted to USD (flows at the trailing twelve-month average rate, balances at the balance-sheet date rate).

Valuation & Market

MetricGOOSIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $786M $1.60B 10/14
P/E Ratio 3.62x 15.23x 11/11
EPS $2.23 – –
Revenue/Share $36.94 – –
FCF/Share $4.24 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricGOOSIndustry medianRank
Gross Margin 68.2% 55.5% 2/13
Operating Margin 11.6% 9.5% 2/12
EBT Margin 8.3% 8.3% 6/13
Tax Rate 21.6% – –

Cash Flow

MetricGOOSIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $521M $333M 5/13
Free Cash Flow $412M $321M 5/13
Capital Spending -$110M -$40M 9/13
OCF Growth YoY 30.4% 52.1% 6/9
FCF Growth YoY 0.0% 12.5% 6/10
FCF/Sales 11.5% 9.6% 3/13
CapEx/Sales 3.0% 2.7% 5/13

Income Statement

MetricGOOSIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $3.59B $2.98B 5/13
Operating Income $418M $270M 5/12
SG&A Expense $2.03B $1.18B 4/13
Cost of Goods Sold $1.14B $1.33B 8/13

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricGOOSIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 97M – –
EPS Growth -24.9% 16.8% 8/10

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions, converted from CAD)

Total Liabilities$740M
Quarterly Financial Reports

GOOS quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Apparel & Other Finishd Prods of Fabrics & Similar Matl

Canada Goose Holdings Inc. (GOOS) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Canada Goose Holdings Inc. (Apparel & Other Finishd Prods of Fabrics & Similar Matl): 14 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
GOOS Canada Goose Holdings Inc. ▼ $786M 3.6x –
AS Amer Sports, Inc. ▼ $16.65B 23.5x –
LEVI Levi Strauss & Co ▼ $7.87B 15.4x 3.3x
GIL Gildan Activewear Inc. ▼ $7.58B 3.7x –
ZGN Ermenegildo Zegna N.V. ▶ $3.35B 12.0x –
FIGS Figs, Inc. ▲ $3.18B 63.7x 7.2x
COLM Columbia Sportswear Co ▼ $3.08B 15.2x 1.9x
UA Under Armour, Inc. ▶ $1.99B – 1.4x
GIII G Iii Apparel Group Ltd /De/ ▼ $1.22B 8.8x 0.7x
CRI Carters Inc ▶ $1.15B 5.8x 1.1x
SGC Superior Group Of Companies, Inc. ▼ $215M 30.6x 1.1x
LANV Lanvin Group Holdings Ltd ▶ $109M – –
JRSH Jerash Holdings (Us), Inc. ▶ $78M 16.7x 1.2x
PMNT Perfect Moment Ltd. ▼ $5M – –

Where GOOS sits on the market map

Manufacturing · Apparel & Other Finishd Prods of Fabrics & Similar Matl
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News

Canada Goose Holdings Inc. (GOOS) stock news

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FAQ

Canada Goose Holdings Inc. (GOOS) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Canada Goose Holdings Inc. (GOOS) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks Canada Goose Holdings Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are Canada Goose Holdings Inc. stock predictions?

For GOOS, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 28.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 21.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Canada Goose Holdings Inc. forecasts updated?

Canada Goose Holdings Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Canada Goose Holdings Inc.'s industry peers?

14 issuers in our coverage, GOOS included, share the SEC industry code Apparel & Other Finishd Prods of Fabrics & Similar Matl. The largest are: Amer Sports, Inc. (AS), Levi Strauss & Co (LEVI), Gildan Activewear Inc. (GIL), Ermenegildo Zegna N.V. (ZGN), Figs, Inc. (FIGS), Columbia Sportswear Co (COLM).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.