Green Plains Inc. (GPRE) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq
Green Plains Inc. (GPRE) stock forecast summary
On Oct. 16, 2026, GPRE is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5172 stocks scored that day.
Green Plains Inc. is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $1.01B. It ranks number 7 by market capitalization among the 23 Industrial Organic Chemicals issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.
For GPRE, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 60.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 33.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)
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How GPRE ranks among 5172 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Green Plains Inc. (GPRE) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Industrial Organic Chemicals peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | GPRE | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $1.01B | 7/23 |
| P/E Ratio | 11.48x | 5/7 |
| P/B Ratio | 1.17x | 8/13 |
| EPS | $1.26 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $12.41 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $26.10 | – |
| FCF/Share | $1.82 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | GPRE | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROE | 14.2% | 4/12 |
| ROA | 7.5% | 4/17 |
| ROIC | 10.1% | 5/17 |
| Gross Margin | 16.0% | 11/18 |
| Operating Margin | 7.4% | 5/18 |
| Net Margin | 6.8% | 5/15 |
| EBT Margin | 1.7% | 8/19 |
| Tax Rate | -180.4% | – |
The effective tax rate is outside the normal band, which points to a large non-recurring tax item in the trailing twelve months; headline net income, net margin and P/E are affected by it.
Financial Health
| Metric | GPRE | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.99x | 14/21 |
| Quick Ratio | 1.93x | 7/15 |
| D/E Ratio | 0.90x | 6/15 |
| Financial Leverage | 1.90x | 8/16 |
| Interest Coverage | 6.8x | 4/18 |
| Working Capital | $312M | 7/20 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | GPRE | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $154M | 6/20 |
| Free Cash Flow | $127M | 5/15 |
| Capital Spending | -$26M | 6/15 |
| OCF Growth YoY | 289.5% | 1/9 |
| FCF/Sales | 7.0% | 4/15 |
| CapEx/Sales | 1.4% | 14/15 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | GPRE | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 1.10x | 4/17 |
| Receivables Turnover | 23.0x | 5/13 |
| Inventory Turnover | 80.0x | 2/14 |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 2.0x | 9/16 |
| Days Sales Outstanding | 16 days | 9/13 |
| Days Inventory | 5 days | 13/14 |
| Payables Period | 22 days | 10/12 |
| Cash Conversion Cycle | -2 days | 7/8 |
Income Statement
| Metric | GPRE | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $1.83B | 5/16 |
| Operating Income | $136M | 6/18 |
| Net Income | $124M | 4/18 |
| SG&A Expense | $93M | 5/13 |
| Cost of Goods Sold | $1.54B | 5/17 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | GPRE | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Shares Outstanding | 70M | – |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Total Current Assets | $625M | 37.7% of assets |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $185M | 11.2% of assets |
| Accounts Receivable | $80M | 4.8% of assets |
| Inventory | $19M | 1.2% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $787M | 47.5% of assets |
| Short-term Debt | $219M | 13.2% of assets |
GPRE quarterly financials and insider trading
Green Plains Inc. (GPRE) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Green Plains Inc. (Industrial Organic Chemicals): 24 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
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Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| GPRE Green Plains Inc. | ▶ | $1.01B |
| IFF International Flavors & Fragrances Inc | ▼ | $23.14B |
| LYB Lyondellbasell Industries N.V. | ▶ | $20.68B |
| WLK Westlake Corp | ▶ | $8.09B |
| SXT Sensient Technologies Corp | ▼ | $5.69B |
| MEOH Methanex Corp | ▶ | $5.02B |
| REX Rex American Resources Corp | ▶ | $1.38B |
| BAK Braskem Sa | ▲ | $750M |
| WLKP Westlake Chemical Partners Lp | ▶ | $735M |
| GEVO Gevo, Inc. | ▲ | $289M |
| ALTO Alto Ingredients, Inc. | ▼ | $268M |
| FF Futurefuel Corp. | ▼ | $245M |
| LODE Comstock Inc. | ▲ | $136M |
| CDXS Codexis, Inc. | ▲ | $136M |
| AMTX Aemetis, Inc | ▶ | $105M |
| SAFX Xcf Global, Inc. | ▼ | $69M |
| LNZA Lanzatech Global, Inc. | ▼ | $61M |
| VGAS Verde Clean Fuels, Inc. | ▲ | $19M |
| TOMZ Tomi Environmental Solutions, Inc. | ▲ | $12M |
| GWTI Greenway Technologies, Inc. & Subsidiaries | ▶ | $9M |
| CLNV Clean Vision Corp | ▼ | $5M |
| CNEY Cn Energy Group. Inc. | ▼ | $5M |
| QGAI Quantum Genesis Ai Corp. | ▼ | $2M |
| SUIC Suic Worldwide Holdings Ltd. | ▼ | N/A |
Where GPRE sits on the market map
Green Plains Inc. (GPRE) stock news
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Green Plains Inc. (GPRE) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Green Plains Inc. (GPRE) stock forecast?
On Oct. 16, 2026, GPRE is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5172 stocks scored that day.
How accurate are Green Plains Inc. stock predictions?
For GPRE, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 60.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 33.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Green Plains Inc. forecasts updated?
Green Plains Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.
Which companies are Green Plains Inc.'s industry peers?
24 issuers in our coverage, GPRE included, share the SEC industry code Industrial Organic Chemicals. The largest are: International Flavors & Fragrances Inc (IFF), Lyondellbasell Industries N.V. (LYB), Westlake Corp (WLK), Sensient Technologies Corp (SXT), Methanex Corp (MEOH), Rex American Resources Corp (REX).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.