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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Guardian Pharmacy Services, Inc. (GRDN) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE

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Rating · 90D Neutral Alpha
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Middle 30% of 5172 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 50.0% Spearman, 237 dates
Market Cap $2.50B mid-cap · #2 of 5 peers
Summary

Guardian Pharmacy Services, Inc. (GRDN) stock forecast summary

On Oct. 16, 2026, GRDN is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5172 stocks scored that day.

Guardian Pharmacy Services, Inc. is a mid-cap company with a market capitalization of $2.50B. It ranks number 2 by market capitalization among the 5 Retail-Drug Stores and Proprietary Stores issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For GRDN, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 50.0%, measured on 237 forecast dates between 2024-11-15 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 25.0%, measured on 280 forecast dates between 2024-11-15 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

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Price

GRDN price chart and AI forecast

GRDN
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How GRDN ranks among 5172 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-06-30

Guardian Pharmacy Services, Inc. (GRDN) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Retail-Drug Stores and Proprietary Stores peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricGRDNIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $2.50B $75M 2/5
P/E Ratio 37.93x – –
P/B Ratio 10.18x – –
Book Value/Share $3.88 – –
Revenue/Share $23.10 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricGRDNIndustry medianRank
ROE 26.8% – –
ROA 14.9% – –
ROIC 29.5% – –
Gross Margin 21.6% – –
Operating Margin 5.8% – –
Net Margin 4.5% – –
EBT Margin 6.5% – –
Tax Rate 30.6% – –

Financial Health

MetricGRDNIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 1.65x – –
Quick Ratio 1.33x – –
D/E Ratio 0.76x – –
Financial Leverage 1.81x – –
Interest Coverage 33.9x – –
Working Capital $101M – –

Cash Flow

MetricGRDNIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $99M – –

Operational Efficiency

MetricGRDNIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 3.30x – –
Receivables Turnover 14.1x – –
Inventory Turnover 22.7x – –
Fixed Assets Turnover 25.9x – –
Days Sales Outstanding 26 days – –
Days Inventory 16 days – –
Payables Period 34 days – –
Cash Conversion Cycle 8 days – –

Income Statement

MetricGRDNIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $1.46B – –
Operating Income $85M – –
Net Income $66M – –
SG&A Expense $231M – –
Cost of Goods Sold $1.15B – –

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricGRDNIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 63M – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$255M57.4% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$90M20.2% of assets
Accounts Receivable$104M23.4% of assets
Inventory$50M11.4% of assets
Total Liabilities$186M41.9% of assets
Short-term Debt$46M10.3% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

GRDN quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Retail-Drug Stores and Proprietary Stores

Guardian Pharmacy Services, Inc. (GRDN) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Guardian Pharmacy Services, Inc. (Retail-Drug Stores and Proprietary Stores): 5 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
GRDN Guardian Pharmacy Services, Inc. ▶ $2.50B 37.9x 10.2x
CVS Cvs Health Corp ▶ $118.13B 24.4x 1.5x
CANN Trees Corp (Colorado) ▼ $75M – –
PETS Petmed Express Inc ▶ $26M – 1.1x
RDGT Ridgetech Inc. ▼ $3M – –

Where GRDN sits on the market map

Trade & Services · Retail-Drug Stores and Proprietary Stores
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News

Guardian Pharmacy Services, Inc. (GRDN) stock news

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FAQ

Guardian Pharmacy Services, Inc. (GRDN) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Guardian Pharmacy Services, Inc. (GRDN) stock forecast?

On Oct. 16, 2026, GRDN is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5172 stocks scored that day.

How accurate are Guardian Pharmacy Services, Inc. stock predictions?

For GRDN, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 50.0%, measured on 237 forecast dates between 2024-11-15 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 25.0%, measured on 280 forecast dates between 2024-11-15 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Guardian Pharmacy Services, Inc. forecasts updated?

Guardian Pharmacy Services, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Guardian Pharmacy Services, Inc.'s industry peers?

5 issuers in our coverage, GRDN included, share the SEC industry code Retail-Drug Stores and Proprietary Stores. The largest are: Cvs Health Corp (CVS), Trees Corp (Colorado) (CANN), Petmed Express Inc (PETS), Ridgetech Inc. (RDGT).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.