Herc Holdings Inc (HRI) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Total · absolute moveSwitch to Alpha · NYSE
Herc Holdings Inc (HRI) stock forecast summary
Our AI ranks Herc Holdings Inc outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
Herc Holdings Inc is a mid-cap company with a market capitalization of $4.05B.
For HRI, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 27.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 14.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected absolute price move over the horizon, market included. This is the number a price target is built from. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +5.1%, buy ≥ +3.4%, sell < +1.8%, strong sell < +0.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)
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How HRI ranks among 5184 stocks
90D Total forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Herc Holdings Inc (HRI) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Services-Miscellaneous Equipment Rental & Leasing peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | HRI | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $4.05B | – |
| P/E Ratio | 68.69x | – |
| P/B Ratio | 2.14x | – |
| Dividend Yield | 2.30% | – |
| EPS | $1.77 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $56.77 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $145.86 | – |
| FCF/Share | $33.19 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | HRI | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROE | 2.6% | – |
| ROA | 0.4% | – |
| Net Margin | 1.0% | – |
| EBT Margin | 1.1% | – |
| Tax Rate | 12.5% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | HRI | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.10x | – |
| D/E Ratio | 6.26x | – |
| Financial Leverage | 7.26x | – |
| Working Capital | $89M | – |
Cash Flow
| Metric | HRI | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $1.26B | – |
| Free Cash Flow | $1.10B | – |
| Capital Spending | -$159M | – |
| OCF Growth YoY | 17.1% | – |
| FCF Growth YoY | 21.6% | – |
| FCF/Sales | 22.8% | – |
| CapEx/Sales | 3.3% | – |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | HRI | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 0.35x | – |
| Receivables Turnover | 6.0x | – |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 5.6x | – |
| Days Sales Outstanding | 61 days | – |
Income Statement
| Metric | HRI | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $4.86B | – |
| Net Income | $49M | – |
| SG&A Expense | $620M | – |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | HRI | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Dividends Per Share | $2.79 | – |
| Payout Ratio | 157.6% | – |
| Shares Outstanding | 33M | – |
| Net Income Growth | 113.0% | – |
| EPS Growth | 19.6% | – |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Total Current Assets | $960M | 7.0% of assets |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $43M | 0.3% of assets |
| Accounts Receivable | $805M | 5.9% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $11.83B | 86.2% of assets |
| Short-term Debt | $389M | 2.8% of assets |
HRI quarterly financials and insider trading
Herc Holdings Inc (HRI) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Herc Holdings Inc (Services-Miscellaneous Equipment Rental & Leasing): 4 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
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Herc Holdings Inc (HRI) stock news
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Herc Holdings Inc (HRI) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Herc Holdings Inc (HRI) stock forecast?
Our AI ranks Herc Holdings Inc outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
How accurate are Herc Holdings Inc stock predictions?
For HRI, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 27.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 14.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Herc Holdings Inc forecasts updated?
Herc Holdings Inc forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.
Which companies are Herc Holdings Inc's industry peers?
4 issuers in our coverage, HRI included, share the SEC industry code Services-Miscellaneous Equipment Rental & Leasing. The largest are: Ftai Aviation Ltd. (FTAI), Willscot Holdings Corp (WSC), Npk International Inc. (NPKI).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.