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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

International Business Machines Corp (IBM) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Total · absolute moveSwitch to Alpha · NYSE

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Rating · 90D ▼ Bearish Exact rating locked
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Total
Rank in coverage Bottom 35% of 5172 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 15.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $218.71B mega-cap
Summary

International Business Machines Corp (IBM) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks International Business Machines Corp outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

International Business Machines Corp is a mega-cap company with a market capitalization of $218.71B.

For IBM, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 15.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 2.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected absolute price move over the horizon, market included. This is the number a price target is built from. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +5.0%, buy ≥ +3.4%, sell < +1.8%, strong sell < +0.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, IBM included.

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Price

IBM price chart and AI forecast

IBM
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How IBM ranks among 5172 stocks

90D Total forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-06-30

International Business Machines Corp (IBM) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Computer & office Equipment peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricIBMIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $218.71B – –
P/E Ratio 20.56x – –
P/B Ratio 6.35x – –
Dividend Yield 2.88% – –
EPS $11.29 – –
Book Value/Share $36.57 – –
Revenue/Share $73.34 – –
FCF/Share $14.64 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricIBMIndustry medianRank
ROE 31.1% – –
ROA 7.0% – –
Gross Margin 58.1% – –
Net Margin 15.5% – –
EBT Margin 15.1% – –
Tax Rate -2.5% – –

Financial Health

MetricIBMIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 0.79x – –
Quick Ratio 0.74x – –
D/E Ratio 3.41x – –
Financial Leverage 4.41x – –
Working Capital -$7.51B – –

Cash Flow

MetricIBMIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $14.89B – –
Free Cash Flow $13.79B – –
Capital Spending -$1.10B – –
OCF Growth YoY 12.1% – –
FCF Growth YoY 12.7% – –
FCF/Sales 20.0% – –
CapEx/Sales 1.6% – –

Operational Efficiency

MetricIBMIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.45x – –
Receivables Turnover 11.4x – –
Inventory Turnover 16.6x – –
Fixed Assets Turnover 12.1x – –
Days Sales Outstanding 32 days – –
Days Inventory 22 days – –
Payables Period 55 days – –
Cash Conversion Cycle -1 days – –

Income Statement

MetricIBMIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $69.10B – –
Net Income $10.72B – –
R&D Expense $8.75B – –
SG&A Expense $20.28B – –
Cost of Goods Sold $28.95B – –

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricIBMIndustry medianRank
Dividends Per Share $6.70 – –
Payout Ratio 59.3% – –
Shares Outstanding 942M – –
Net Income Growth 83.9% – –
EPS Growth 82.7% – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$28.40B18.7% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$7.17B4.7% of assets
Accounts Receivable$6.04B4.0% of assets
Inventory$1.75B1.1% of assets
Total Liabilities$117.56B77.3% of assets
Short-term Debt$31.52B20.7% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

IBM quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Computer & office Equipment

International Business Machines Corp (IBM) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as International Business Machines Corp (Computer & office Equipment): 3 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Total) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
IBM International Business Machines Corp ▼ $218.71B 20.6x 6.4x
HPE Hewlett Packard Enterprise Co ▲ $73.18B 68.1x 2.8x
HPQ Hp Inc ▲ $27.06B 11.4x –

Where IBM sits on the market map

Technology · Computer & office Equipment
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News

International Business Machines Corp (IBM) stock news

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FAQ

International Business Machines Corp (IBM) stock forecast FAQ

What is the International Business Machines Corp (IBM) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks International Business Machines Corp outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are International Business Machines Corp stock predictions?

For IBM, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 15.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 2.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are International Business Machines Corp forecasts updated?

International Business Machines Corp forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are International Business Machines Corp's industry peers?

3 issuers in our coverage, IBM included, share the SEC industry code Computer & office Equipment. The largest are: Hewlett Packard Enterprise Co (HPE), Hp Inc (HPQ).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.