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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Karat Packaging Inc. (KRT) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq

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Rating · 90D Neutral Alpha
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Middle 30% of 5172 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 24.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $1.06B small-cap · #6 of 9 peers
Summary

Karat Packaging Inc. (KRT) stock forecast summary

On Oct. 16, 2026, KRT is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5172 stocks scored that day.

Karat Packaging Inc. is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $1.06B. It ranks number 6 by market capitalization among the 9 Plastics Products, NEC issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For KRT, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 24.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 3.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

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Price

KRT price chart and AI forecast

KRT
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How KRT ranks among 5172 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-06-30

Karat Packaging Inc. (KRT) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Plastics Products, NEC peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricKRTIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $1.06B $1.18B 6/9
P/E Ratio 21.50x 23.04x 7/7
P/B Ratio 6.38x 3.42x 2/8
Dividend Yield 3.39% 1.65% 2/6
EPS $2.48 – –
Book Value/Share $8.35 – –
Revenue/Share $24.75 – –
FCF/Share $2.79 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricKRTIndustry medianRank
ROE 30.2% 9.6% 2/8
ROA 15.8% 4.0% 1/8
ROIC 27.6% 6.8% 1/9
Gross Margin 40.7% 35.5% 3/9
Operating Margin 12.8% 12.1% 3/9
Net Margin 10.2% 7.0% 2/8
EBT Margin 13.8% 8.8% 2/9
Tax Rate 24.1% – –

Financial Health

MetricKRTIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 2.25x 1.61x 2/9
Quick Ratio 1.25x 1.21x 4/9
D/E Ratio 0.86x 1.03x 7/9
Financial Leverage 1.90x 2.03x 7/9
Interest Coverage 107.7x 3.1x 1/8
Working Capital $111M $137M 7/8

Cash Flow

MetricKRTIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $57M $220M 7/8
Free Cash Flow $56M $105M 6/8
Capital Spending -$1M -$72M 1/8
OCF Growth YoY 25.4% 24.9% 4/8
FCF Growth YoY 25.1% 25.1% 4/7
FCF/Sales 11.3% 9.9% 4/8
CapEx/Sales 0.2% 5.8% 8/8

Operational Efficiency

MetricKRTIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 1.56x 0.80x 1/8
Receivables Turnover 10.0x 7.1x 1/7
Inventory Turnover 3.3x 3.8x 6/9
Fixed Assets Turnover 6.4x 3.5x 1/8
Days Sales Outstanding 36 days 52 days 7/7
Days Inventory 111 days 96 days 4/9

Income Statement

MetricKRTIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $493M $1.22B 7/8
Operating Income $63M $129M 6/8
Net Income $50M $43M 4/8
SG&A Expense $138M $139M 5/7
Cost of Goods Sold $292M $755M 7/8

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricKRTIndustry medianRank
Dividends Per Share $1.81 – –
Payout Ratio 73.0% 34.9% 1/5
Shares Outstanding 20M – –
Net Income Growth 56.6% 4.9% 2/6
EPS Growth 57.0% 3.5% 2/6

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$199M62.9% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$38M12.1% of assets
Accounts Receivable$49M15.5% of assets
Inventory$89M28.1% of assets
Total Liabilities$143M45.0% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

KRT quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Plastics Products, NEC

Karat Packaging Inc. (KRT) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Karat Packaging Inc. (Plastics Products, NEC): 9 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
KRT Karat Packaging Inc. ▶ $1.06B 21.5x 6.4x
ENTG Entegris Inc ▼ $21.20B 76.7x 5.1x
ATR Aptargroup, Inc. ▼ $7.92B 22.5x 3.0x
AWI Armstrong World Industries Inc ▼ $7.11B 23.0x 8.0x
NWL Newell Brands Inc. ▼ $2.41B – 1.0x
MYE Myers Industries Inc ▼ $1.18B 26.1x 3.8x
SWIM Latham Group, Inc. ▲ $720M 87.4x 1.8x
CMT Core Molding Technologies Inc ▼ $207M 22.7x 1.3x
NCL Northann Corp. ▼ $110K – –

Where KRT sits on the market map

Industrial Applications and Services · Plastics Products, NEC
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News

Karat Packaging Inc. (KRT) stock news

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FAQ

Karat Packaging Inc. (KRT) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Karat Packaging Inc. (KRT) stock forecast?

On Oct. 16, 2026, KRT is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5172 stocks scored that day.

How accurate are Karat Packaging Inc. stock predictions?

For KRT, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 24.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 3.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Karat Packaging Inc. forecasts updated?

Karat Packaging Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Karat Packaging Inc.'s industry peers?

9 issuers in our coverage, KRT included, share the SEC industry code Plastics Products, NEC. The largest are: Entegris Inc (ENTG), Aptargroup, Inc. (ATR), Armstrong World Industries Inc (AWI), Newell Brands Inc. (NWL), Myers Industries Inc (MYE), Latham Group, Inc. (SWIM).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.