ManpowerGroup shares fall nearly 20% as Q3 revenue misses forecasts and Q4 outlook disappoints
ManpowerGroup Inc. (NYSE:MAN) shares fell 19.75% in pre-market trading on Thursday after the workforce solutions company ...
Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16
Manpowergroup Inc. (MAN) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE
Rating · 90D
▲ Bullish
Exact rating locked
90-day forecast
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30-day forecast
Alpha
Rank in coverage
Top 35%
of 5184 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D
66.0%
Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap
$1.93B
small-cap · #3 of 15 peers
Summary
Manpowergroup Inc. (MAN) stock forecast summary
Our AI ranks Manpowergroup Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
Manpowergroup Inc. is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $1.93B. It ranks number 3 by market capitalization among the 15 Services-Help Supply Services issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.
For MAN, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 66.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 40.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)
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MAN price chart and AI forecast
Cross-section · 2026-10-16
How MAN ranks among 5184 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Fundamentals · 2026-06-30
Manpowergroup Inc. (MAN) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Services-Help Supply Services peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | MAN | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $1.93B | 3/15 |
| P/E Ratio | 18.20x | 4/8 |
| P/B Ratio | 0.92x | 11/14 |
| EPS | $2.28 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $45.29 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $402.49 | – |
| FCF/Share | $1.48 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | MAN | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROE | 4.8% | 7/12 |
| ROA | 1.2% | 7/13 |
| ROIC | 8.3% | 5/14 |
| Gross Margin | 16.2% | 12/15 |
| Operating Margin | 1.5% | 7/16 |
| Net Margin | 0.5% | 8/14 |
| EBT Margin | 1.2% | 8/16 |
| Tax Rate | 54.0% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | MAN | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.04x | 13/16 |
| D/E Ratio | 2.98x | 3/14 |
| Financial Leverage | 3.98x | 3/13 |
| Interest Coverage | 4.7x | 5/15 |
| Working Capital | $212M | 5/16 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | MAN | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $110M | 5/16 |
| Free Cash Flow | $69M | 5/11 |
| Capital Spending | -$41M | 9/11 |
| FCF/Sales | 0.4% | 10/11 |
| CapEx/Sales | 0.2% | 9/11 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | MAN | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 2.24x | 4/12 |
| Receivables Turnover | 4.0x | 10/12 |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 162.6x | 5/13 |
| Days Sales Outstanding | 92 days | 3/12 |
Income Statement
| Metric | MAN | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $18.72B | 1/13 |
| Operating Income | $288M | 1/16 |
| Net Income | $102M | 3/14 |
| SG&A Expense | $2.85B | 1/14 |
| Cost of Goods Sold | $15.68B | 1/14 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | MAN | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Shares Outstanding | 47M | – |
| Net Income Growth | 332.8% | 1/8 |
| EPS Growth | 590.9% | 1/10 |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Total Current Assets | $5.13B | 61.3% of assets |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $181M | 2.2% of assets |
| Accounts Receivable | $4.73B | 56.5% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $6.27B | 74.8% of assets |
Quarterly Financial Reports
MAN quarterly financials and insider trading
Industry Peers · Services-Help Supply Services
Manpowergroup Inc. (MAN) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Manpowergroup Inc. (Services-Help Supply Services): 16 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| MAN Manpowergroup Inc. | ▲ | $1.93B |
| RHI Robert Half Inc. | ▲ | $3.41B |
| NSP Insperity, Inc. | ▲ | $1.96B |
| EFOR Everforth Inc | ▶ | $1.57B |
| AMN Amn Healthcare Services Inc | ▼ | $1.57B |
| KFRC Kforce Inc | ▶ | $914M |
| BBSI Barrett Business Services Inc | ▲ | $789M |
| KELYA Kelly Services Inc | ▲ | $526M |
| RCMT Rcm Technologies, Inc. | ▼ | $267M |
| TBI Trueblue, Inc. | ▲ | $252M |
| HQI Hirequest, Inc. | ▲ | $249M |
| TTEC Ttec Holdings, Inc. | ▲ | $74M |
| DLHC Dlh Holdings Corp. | ▲ | $57M |
| BGSF Bgsf, Inc. | ▶ | $47M |
| CIRC Circle8 Group Inc | ▼ | $35M |
| RLBY Reliability Inc | ▲ | N/A |
Where MAN sits on the market map
Trade & Services · Services-Help Supply Services
News
Manpowergroup Inc. (MAN) stock news
ManpowerGroup picks new CEO to lead its AI transformation
<?xml encoding="utf-8" ?> ManpowerGroup Inc. MAN shares traded lower Thursday after the staffing company reported mixed third ...
What ManpowerGroup (MAN) Said on Its Q3 Earnings Call
ManpowerGroup (NYSE:MAN) reported third-quarter 2026 revenue growth, margin expansion and improving trends in its Experis and ...
FAQ
Manpowergroup Inc. (MAN) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Manpowergroup Inc. (MAN) stock forecast?
Our AI ranks Manpowergroup Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
How accurate are Manpowergroup Inc. stock predictions?
For MAN, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 66.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 40.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Manpowergroup Inc. forecasts updated?
Manpowergroup Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.
Which companies are Manpowergroup Inc.'s industry peers?
16 issuers in our coverage, MAN included, share the SEC industry code Services-Help Supply Services. The largest are: Robert Half Inc. (RHI), Insperity, Inc. (NSP), Everforth Inc (EFOR), Amn Healthcare Services Inc (AMN), Kforce Inc (KFRC), Barrett Business Services Inc (BBSI).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.