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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Mattel Inc /De/ (MAT) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq

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Rating · 90D ▲ Bullish Exact rating locked
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Top 35% of 5184 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 19.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $4.91B mid-cap
Summary

Mattel Inc /De/ (MAT) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks Mattel Inc /De/ outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

Mattel Inc /De/ is a mid-cap company with a market capitalization of $4.91B.

For MAT, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 19.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 14.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, MAT included.

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Price

MAT price chart and AI forecast

MAT
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How MAT ranks among 5184 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-06-30

Mattel Inc /De/ (MAT) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months.

Valuation & Market

MetricMATIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $4.91B – –
P/E Ratio 16.86x – –
P/B Ratio 2.20x – –
EPS $1.02 – –
Book Value/Share $7.82 – –
Revenue/Share $19.22 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricMATIndustry medianRank
Gross Margin 47.5% – –
Operating Margin 6.1% – –
EBT Margin 6.7% – –
Tax Rate 15.2% – –

Financial Health

MetricMATIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 1.90x – –
Quick Ratio 1.26x – –
D/E Ratio 1.97x – –
Interest Coverage 1.2x – –
Working Capital $1.16B – –

Cash Flow

MetricMATIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $666M – –
OCF Growth YoY -10.3% – –

Operational Efficiency

MetricMATIndustry medianRank
Receivables Turnover 6.7x – –
Inventory Turnover 3.5x – –
Fixed Assets Turnover 8.6x – –
Days Sales Outstanding 55 days – –
Days Inventory 105 days – –
Payables Period 57 days – –
Cash Conversion Cycle 103 days – –

Income Statement

MetricMATIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $5.49B – –
Operating Income $429M – –
R&D Expense $262M – –
Cost of Goods Sold $2.88B – –

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricMATIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 286M – –
EPS Growth -35.0% – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$2.45B36.9% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$524M7.9% of assets
Accounts Receivable$820M12.4% of assets
Inventory$830M12.5% of assets
Total Liabilities$4.41B66.4% of assets
Short-term Debt$842M12.7% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

MAT quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Dolls & Stuffed Toys

Mattel Inc /De/ (MAT) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Mattel Inc /De/ (Dolls & Stuffed Toys): 1 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
MAT Mattel Inc /De/ ▲ $4.91B 16.9x 2.2x

Where MAT sits on the market map

Manufacturing · Dolls & Stuffed Toys
Explore the map →
News

Mattel Inc /De/ (MAT) stock news

source: Business Wire

EL SEGUNDO, Calif.--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Mattel, Inc. (NASDAQ: MAT) today announced the appointment of Paul Ruh as Chief Financial Officer, effective May 19, 2025. Ruh succeeds Mattel’s current CFO ...

FAQ

Mattel Inc /De/ (MAT) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Mattel Inc /De/ (MAT) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks Mattel Inc /De/ outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are Mattel Inc /De/ stock predictions?

For MAT, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 19.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 14.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Mattel Inc /De/ forecasts updated?

Mattel Inc /De/ forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.