Montauk Renewables, Inc. (MNTK) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq
Montauk Renewables, Inc. (MNTK) stock forecast summary
Our AI ranks Montauk Renewables, Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
Montauk Renewables, Inc. is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $305M. It ranks number 4 by market capitalization among the 5 Gas & Other Services Combined issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.
For MNTK, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 29.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 11.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)
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How MNTK ranks among 5184 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Montauk Renewables, Inc. (MNTK) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Gas & Other Services Combined peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | MNTK | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $305M | 4/5 |
| P/E Ratio | 42.80x | – |
| P/B Ratio | 1.15x | – |
| EPS | $0.05 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $1.86 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $1.33 | – |
| FCF/Share | $-0.59 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | MNTK | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROE | 3.0% | – |
| ROA | 1.7% | – |
| ROIC | 0.3% | – |
| Operating Margin | 0.6% | – |
| Net Margin | 4.2% | – |
| EBT Margin | 2.0% | – |
| Tax Rate | -107.2% | – |
The effective tax rate is outside the normal band, which points to a large non-recurring tax item in the trailing twelve months; headline net income, net margin and P/E are affected by it.
Financial Health
| Metric | MNTK | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.62x | 5/5 |
| D/E Ratio | 0.78x | – |
| Financial Leverage | 1.78x | – |
| Working Capital | -$17M | 5/5 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | MNTK | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $43M | 4/5 |
| Free Cash Flow | -$83M | 4/5 |
| Capital Spending | -$127M | 3/5 |
| OCF Growth YoY | -6.9% | 3/5 |
| FCF/Sales | -44.1% | 5/5 |
| CapEx/Sales | 67.1% | 2/5 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | MNTK | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 0.40x | – |
| Receivables Turnover | 38.5x | 1/5 |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 0.5x | 4/5 |
| Days Sales Outstanding | 9 days | 5/5 |
Income Statement
| Metric | MNTK | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $189M | 5/5 |
| Operating Income | $1M | – |
| Net Income | $8M | – |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | MNTK | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Shares Outstanding | 142M | – |
| Net Income Growth | 199.8% | – |
| EPS Growth | 25.0% | – |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Total Current Assets | $27M | 5.8% of assets |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $16M | 3.3% of assets |
| Accounts Receivable | $5M | 1.0% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $206M | 43.8% of assets |
| Short-term Debt | $19M | 3.9% of assets |
MNTK quarterly financials and insider trading
Montauk Renewables, Inc. (MNTK) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Montauk Renewables, Inc. (Gas & Other Services Combined): 5 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
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Montauk Renewables, Inc. (MNTK) stock news
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Montauk Renewables, Inc. (MNTK) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Montauk Renewables, Inc. (MNTK) stock forecast?
Our AI ranks Montauk Renewables, Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
How accurate are Montauk Renewables, Inc. stock predictions?
For MNTK, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 29.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 11.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Montauk Renewables, Inc. forecasts updated?
Montauk Renewables, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.
Which companies are Montauk Renewables, Inc.'s industry peers?
5 issuers in our coverage, MNTK included, share the SEC industry code Gas & Other Services Combined. The largest are: Sempra (SRE), Ugi Corp /Pa/ (UGI), Clean Energy Fuels Corp. (CLNE), Opal Fuels Inc. (OPAL).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.