Mercury Systems Inc (MRCY) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Total · absolute moveSwitch to Alpha · Nasdaq
Mercury Systems Inc (MRCY) stock forecast summary
Our AI ranks Mercury Systems Inc outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
Mercury Systems Inc is a mid-cap company with a market capitalization of $4.47B. It ranks number 2 by market capitalization among the 6 Electronic Components & Accessories issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.
For MRCY, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 38.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -6.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected absolute price move over the horizon, market included. This is the number a price target is built from. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +5.0%, buy ≥ +3.4%, sell < +1.8%, strong sell < +0.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)
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How MRCY ranks among 5172 stocks
90D Total forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Mercury Systems Inc (MRCY) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Electronic Components & Accessories peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | MRCY | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $4.47B | 2/6 |
| P/B Ratio | 2.98x | 2/6 |
| EPS | $-0.50 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $24.90 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $16.36 | – |
| FCF/Share | $1.13 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | MRCY | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROE | -1.1% | 4/5 |
| ROA | -0.7% | 4/5 |
| Gross Margin | 28.6% | 4/6 |
| Operating Margin | 0.0% | 5/6 |
| Net Margin | -1.6% | 4/5 |
| EBT Margin | -2.8% | 5/6 |
| Tax Rate | -2.7% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | MRCY | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| D/E Ratio | 0.55x | 3/6 |
| Financial Leverage | 1.55x | 3/6 |
| Interest Coverage | 2.2x | – |
Cash Flow
| Metric | MRCY | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $102M | 4/6 |
| Free Cash Flow | $68M | 3/6 |
| Capital Spending | -$34M | 3/6 |
| OCF Growth YoY | -26.3% | 4/5 |
| FCF Growth YoY | -49.8% | – |
| FCF/Sales | 6.9% | 3/6 |
| CapEx/Sales | 3.5% | 4/6 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | MRCY | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 0.42x | 4/6 |
Income Statement
| Metric | MRCY | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $984M | 3/6 |
| Operating Income | $280K | 5/6 |
| Net Income | -$16M | 4/5 |
| R&D Expense | $60M | – |
| SG&A Expense | $175M | 3/6 |
| Cost of Goods Sold | $702M | 3/6 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | MRCY | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Shares Outstanding | 60M | – |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Total Liabilities | $825M | 35.5% of assets |
MRCY quarterly financials and insider trading
Mercury Systems Inc (MRCY) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Mercury Systems Inc (Electronic Components & Accessories): 6 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
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Mercury Systems Inc (MRCY) stock news
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Mercury Systems Inc (MRCY) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Mercury Systems Inc (MRCY) stock forecast?
Our AI ranks Mercury Systems Inc outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
How accurate are Mercury Systems Inc stock predictions?
For MRCY, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 38.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -6.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Mercury Systems Inc forecasts updated?
Mercury Systems Inc forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.
Which companies are Mercury Systems Inc's industry peers?
6 issuers in our coverage, MRCY included, share the SEC industry code Electronic Components & Accessories. The largest are: Hubbell Inc (HUBB), Vishay Intertechnology Inc (VSH), Universal Display Corp \Pa\ (OLED), Vishay Precision Group, Inc. (VPG), Kulr Technology Group, Inc. (KULR).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.