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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

National Cinemedia, Inc. (NCMI) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq

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Rating · 90D ▲ Bullish Exact rating locked
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Top 35% of 5184 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D -15.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $194M small-cap · #4 of 16 peers
Summary

National Cinemedia, Inc. (NCMI) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks National Cinemedia, Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

National Cinemedia, Inc. is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $194M. It ranks number 4 by market capitalization among the 16 Services-Advertising issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For NCMI, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -15.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 3.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

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Price

NCMI price chart and AI forecast

NCMI
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How NCMI ranks among 5184 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-07-02

National Cinemedia, Inc. (NCMI) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Services-Advertising peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricNCMIIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $194M $46M 4/16
P/E Ratio 103.00x – –
P/B Ratio 0.58x 1.38x 8/10
EPS $0.02 – –
Book Value/Share $3.55 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricNCMIIndustry medianRank
ROIC -4.1% -0.2% 8/14
Gross Margin 78.9% 54.8% 2/12
Operating Margin -5.1% -7.4% 7/15
EBT Margin -2.9% -8.5% 6/15
Tax Rate 0.0% – –

Financial Health

MetricNCMIIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 1.84x 0.82x 2/16
D/E Ratio 0.34x 2.25x 9/10
Financial Leverage 1.34x 3.22x 8/9
Interest Coverage -64.0x -5.6x 14/15
Working Capital $51M -$640K 3/16

Cash Flow

MetricNCMIIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $7M -$260K 5/16
OCF Growth YoY -75.0% -51.7% 6/9

Operational Efficiency

MetricNCMIIndustry medianRank
Payables Period 581 days 147 days 2/9

Income Statement

MetricNCMIIndustry medianRank
Operating Income -$16M -$6M 14/16
SG&A Expense $136M $103M 5/10
Cost of Goods Sold $16M $21M 9/12

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricNCMIIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 94M – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$112M25.0% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$43M9.7% of assets
Accounts Receivable$62M13.9% of assets
Total Liabilities$112M25.1% of assets
Short-term Debt$35M7.8% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

NCMI quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Services-Advertising

National Cinemedia, Inc. (NCMI) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as National Cinemedia, Inc. (Services-Advertising): 17 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
NCMI National Cinemedia, Inc. ▲ $194M 103.0x 0.6x
CCO Clear Channel Outdoor Holdings, Inc. ▲ $1.23B 242.0x –
IBTA Ibotta, Inc. ▲ $1.11B – 25.1x
ANGI Angi Inc. ▲ $251M – 0.4x
FLNT Fluent, Inc. ▲ $86M – 10.6x
THRY Thryv Holdings, Inc. ▲ $54M – 0.3x
TGLO Theglobe Com Inc ▶ $53M – –
TZOO Travelzoo ▲ $51M 62.9x –
IZEA Izea Worldwide, Inc. ▲ $40M – 0.8x
MOBQ Mobiquity Technologies, Inc. ▼ $17M – 26.6x
PSQH Psq Holdings, Inc. ▲ $11M – 2.7x
INUV Inuvo, Inc. ▲ $7M – 0.9x
ADMQ Adm Endeavors, Inc. ▶ $7M – 1.9x
NAPD Napc Defense, Inc. ▼ $4M – –
ONAR Onar Holding Corp ▼ $2M – –
DRCT Direct Digital Holdings, Inc. ▼ $240K – –
ZICX Zicix Corp ▶ N/A – –

Where NCMI sits on the market map

Trade & Services · Services-Advertising
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News

National Cinemedia, Inc. (NCMI) stock news

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FAQ

National Cinemedia, Inc. (NCMI) stock forecast FAQ

What is the National Cinemedia, Inc. (NCMI) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks National Cinemedia, Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are National Cinemedia, Inc. stock predictions?

For NCMI, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -15.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 3.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are National Cinemedia, Inc. forecasts updated?

National Cinemedia, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are National Cinemedia, Inc.'s industry peers?

17 issuers in our coverage, NCMI included, share the SEC industry code Services-Advertising. The largest are: Clear Channel Outdoor Holdings, Inc. (CCO), Ibotta, Inc. (IBTA), Angi Inc. (ANGI), Fluent, Inc. (FLNT), Thryv Holdings, Inc. (THRY), Theglobe Com Inc (TGLO).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.