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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

National Grid Plc (NGG) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Total · absolute moveSwitch to Alpha · NYSE

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Rating · 90D ▼ Bearish Exact rating locked
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Total
Rank in coverage Bottom 35% of 5172 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D -12.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $87.99B large-cap · #1 of 16 peers
Summary

National Grid Plc (NGG) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks National Grid Plc outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

National Grid Plc is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $87.99B. It ranks number 1 by market capitalization among the 16 Natural Gas Transmission issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For NGG, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -12.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 10.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected absolute price move over the horizon, market included. This is the number a price target is built from. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +5.0%, buy ≥ +3.4%, sell < +1.8%, strong sell < +0.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, NGG included.

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Price

NGG price chart and AI forecast

NGG
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How NGG ranks among 5172 stocks

90D Total forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2025-09-30

National Grid Plc (NGG) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Natural Gas Transmission peers listed below that report each metric. Statement values were filed in GBP and are shown converted to USD (flows at the trailing twelve-month average rate, balances at the balance-sheet date rate).

Valuation & Market

MetricNGGIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $87.99B $15.41B 1/16
P/E Ratio 41.34x 24.87x 2/14
EPS $1.96 – –
Revenue/Share $64.39 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricNGGIndustry medianRank
ROIC 12.9% 8.4% 2/13
Operating Margin 23.0% 29.5% 10/14
EBT Margin 15.4% 26.8% 11/16
Tax Rate 24.0% – –

Financial Health

MetricNGGIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 0.97x 0.95x 8/16
Quick Ratio 0.90x 0.68x 5/11
D/E Ratio 1.79x 1.93x 9/12
Financial Leverage 2.79x 3.12x 7/10
Working Capital -$347M -$17M 11/16

Operational Efficiency

MetricNGGIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.51x 0.27x 4/12
Receivables Turnover 18.8x 6.8x 2/10
Days Sales Outstanding 19 days 53 days 9/10

Income Statement

MetricNGGIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $69.75B $3.52B 2/15
Operating Income $16.04B $2.13B 1/15
R&D Expense $143M – –

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricNGGIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 1083M – –
EPS Growth -56.2% 7.7% 11/11

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions, converted from GBP)

Total Current Assets$12.00B
Cash & Short-term Investments$1.19B
Accounts Receivable$3.81B
Inventory$862M
Total Liabilities$89.47B
Short-term Debt$6.62B
Quarterly Financial Reports

NGG quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Natural Gas Transmission

National Grid Plc (NGG) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as National Grid Plc (Natural Gas Transmission): 17 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Total) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
NGG National Grid Plc ▼ $87.99B 41.3x –
WMB Williams Companies, Inc. ▼ $87.19B 30.1x 6.6x
EPD Enterprise Products Partners L.P. ▶ $79.51B 12.8x –
KMI Kinder Morgan, Inc. ▼ $76.16B 23.8x 2.4x
ET Energy Transfer Lp ▼ $74.28B 14.0x 1.5x
TRP Tc Energy Corp ▼ $64.26B 31.1x 3.2x
TRGP Targa Resources Corp. ▼ $63.24B 25.9x 17.3x
WES Western Midstream Partners, Lp ▶ $18.21B 14.9x –
DTM Dt Midstream, Inc. ▼ $12.62B 27.1x 2.6x
AM Antero Midstream Corp ▲ $9.80B 24.6x 5.0x
KNTK Kinetik Holdings Inc. ▼ $8.94B 18.8x –
AROC Archrock, Inc. ▶ $5.18B 16.0x 3.9x
KGS Kodiak Gas Services, Inc. ▶ $4.77B 47.7x 2.2x
USAC Usa Compression Partners, Lp ▼ $3.68B 25.2x –
NGL Ngl Energy Partners Lp ▲ $1.90B – –
SMC Summit Midstream Corp ▼ $423M – 0.7x
TCPA Transcanada Pipelines Ltd ▼ N/A – –

Where NGG sits on the market map

Energy & Transportation · Natural Gas Transmission
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News

National Grid Plc (NGG) stock news

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FAQ

National Grid Plc (NGG) stock forecast FAQ

What is the National Grid Plc (NGG) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks National Grid Plc outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are National Grid Plc stock predictions?

For NGG, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -12.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 10.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are National Grid Plc forecasts updated?

National Grid Plc forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are National Grid Plc's industry peers?

17 issuers in our coverage, NGG included, share the SEC industry code Natural Gas Transmission. The largest are: Williams Companies, Inc. (WMB), Enterprise Products Partners L.P. (EPD), Kinder Morgan, Inc. (KMI), Energy Transfer Lp (ET), Tc Energy Corp (TRP), Targa Resources Corp. (TRGP).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.