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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Ingevity Corp (NGVT) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE

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Rating · 90D Neutral Alpha
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Middle 30% of 5184 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 44.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $2.40B mid-cap · #3 of 17 peers
Summary

Ingevity Corp (NGVT) stock forecast summary

On Oct. 16, 2026, NGVT is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5184 stocks scored that day.

Ingevity Corp is a mid-cap company with a market capitalization of $2.40B. It ranks number 3 by market capitalization among the 17 Chemicals & Allied Products issuers in our coverage with a current forecast. Its P/B Ratio of 51.18x is the highest of the 12 peers that report one. Its ROE of 115.1% is the highest of the 10 peers that report one.

For NGVT, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 44.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 39.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

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Price

NGVT price chart and AI forecast

NGVT
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How NGVT ranks among 5184 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-06-30

Ingevity Corp (NGVT) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Chemicals & Allied Products peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricNGVTIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $2.40B $709M 3/17
P/E Ratio 33.73x – –
P/B Ratio 51.18x 1.84x 1/12
EPS $2.07 – –
Book Value/Share $1.36 – –
Revenue/Share $31.72 – –
FCF/Share $4.51 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricNGVTIndustry medianRank
ROE 115.1% -11.8% 1/10
ROA 3.5% -10.4% 3/13
ROIC 59.2% -6.3% 1/12
Gross Margin 42.7% 31.4% 4/14
Operating Margin 65.2% -13.4% 1/13
Net Margin 5.0% -27.8% 3/12
EBT Margin 5.0% -7.3% 4/14
Tax Rate 28.9% – –

Financial Health

MetricNGVTIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 1.61x 1.84x 11/16
Quick Ratio 1.15x 1.44x 8/13
D/E Ratio 31.78x 0.37x 1/13
Financial Leverage 32.78x 1.35x 1/14
Interest Coverage 15.2x -6.8x 3/14
Working Capital $206M $144M 7/16

Cash Flow

MetricNGVTIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $211M $126M 5/15
Free Cash Flow $155M $97M 2/9
Capital Spending -$56M -$66M 4/9
OCF Growth YoY -2.0% -0.5% 5/8
FCF Growth YoY 3.1% 3.1% 3/5
FCF/Sales 14.2% 2.4% 1/9
CapEx/Sales 5.1% 3.5% 3/9

Operational Efficiency

MetricNGVTIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.71x 0.61x 5/13
Inventory Turnover 4.1x 4.3x 8/13
Fixed Assets Turnover 1.9x 2.3x 10/13
Days Inventory 90 days 85 days 6/13
Payables Period 51 days 59 days 8/10

Income Statement

MetricNGVTIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $1.09B $1.09B 6/13
Operating Income $711M -$13M 1/14
Net Income $54M -$44M 3/13
R&D Expense $26M $23M 5/10
SG&A Expense $164M $152M 6/13
Cost of Goods Sold $625M $641M 8/14

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricNGVTIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 34M – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$544M35.4% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$97M6.3% of assets
Inventory$154M10.0% of assets
Total Liabilities$1.49B96.9% of assets
Short-term Debt$250M16.2% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

NGVT quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Chemicals & Allied Products

Ingevity Corp (NGVT) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Ingevity Corp (Chemicals & Allied Products): 17 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
NGVT Ingevity Corp ▶ $2.40B 33.7x 51.2x
BCPC Balchem Corp ▼ $5.44B 33.5x 4.2x
PRM Perimeter Solutions, Inc. ▶ $4.34B – 4.3x
IOSP Innospec Inc. ▼ $2.38B 19.8x 1.8x
CC Chemours Co ▶ $1.92B – –
OLN Olin Corp ▼ $1.78B – 1.0x
HUN Huntsman Corp ▼ $1.49B – 0.6x
ECVT Ecovyst Inc. ▶ $1.13B – 1.9x
FMC Fmc Corp ▲ $709M – 0.4x
SLI Standard Lithium Ltd. ▲ $359M – –
ADUR Aduro Clean Technologies Inc. ▼ $330M – –
ACNT Ascent Industries Co. ▼ $122M 122.6x 1.5x
LQMT Liquidmetal Technologies Inc ▶ $71M – 2.8x
CITR Citrotech Inc. ▶ $62M – 6.9x
BLGO Biolargo, Inc. ▲ $23M – –
LOOP Loop Industries, Inc. ▶ $16M – –
GURE Gulf Resources, Inc. ▲ $6M – 0.1x

Where NGVT sits on the market map

Industrial Applications and Services · Chemicals & Allied Products
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News

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FAQ

Ingevity Corp (NGVT) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Ingevity Corp (NGVT) stock forecast?

On Oct. 16, 2026, NGVT is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5184 stocks scored that day.

How accurate are Ingevity Corp stock predictions?

For NGVT, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 44.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 39.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Ingevity Corp forecasts updated?

Ingevity Corp forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Ingevity Corp's industry peers?

17 issuers in our coverage, NGVT included, share the SEC industry code Chemicals & Allied Products. The largest are: Balchem Corp (BCPC), Perimeter Solutions, Inc. (PRM), Innospec Inc. (IOSP), Chemours Co (CC), Olin Corp (OLN), Huntsman Corp (HUN).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.