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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-13

Nrg Energy, Inc. (NRG) Stock Forecast Oct. 13, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 13, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE

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Rating · 90D Neutral Alpha
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Middle 30% of 4015 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D n/a No per-ticker sample yet
Market Cap $22.36B large-cap · #14 of 41 peers
Summary

Nrg Energy, Inc. (NRG) stock forecast summary

On Oct. 13, 2026, NRG is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 4015 stocks scored that day.

Nrg Energy, Inc. is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $22.36B. It ranks number 14 by market capitalization among the 41 Electric Services issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

A per-ticker accuracy statistic for NRG is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.3%, buy ≥ +0.5%, sell < -0.6%, strong sell < -1.7% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-13 signals)

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Price

NRG price chart and AI forecast

NRG
Cross-section · 2026-10-13

How NRG ranks among 4015 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals

Nrg Energy, Inc. (NRG) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Electric Services peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricNRGIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $22.36B $6.47B 14/41
P/E Ratio 26.34x 20.71x 5/23
P/B Ratio 4.61x 1.93x 3/34
Dividend Yield 1.96% 3.17% 19/22
EPS $3.33 – –
Book Value/Share $23.10 – –
Revenue/Share $157.58 – –
FCF/Share $1.66 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricNRGIndustry medianRank
ROE 17.5% 8.9% 3/33
ROA 2.1% 2.3% 19/33
ROIC 6.7% 4.8% 5/32
Gross Margin 18.8% 58.1% 9/10
Operating Margin 6.1% 20.1% 25/30
Net Margin 2.6% 11.6% 25/29
EBT Margin 3.2% 14.1% 24/30
Tax Rate 19.0% – –

Financial Health

MetricNRGIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 0.97x 0.95x 16/36
Quick Ratio 0.89x 0.73x 8/21
D/E Ratio 7.23x 2.58x 2/36
Financial Leverage 8.23x 3.60x 3/36
Interest Coverage 0.5x 1.5x 25/33
Working Capital -$322M -$62M 23/36

Cash Flow

MetricNRGIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $1.55B $1.08B 16/35
Free Cash Flow $348M -$257M 5/24
Capital Spending -$1.21B -$1.19B 13/24
OCF Growth YoY -32.1% 5.3% 26/29
FCF Growth YoY -75.0% -160.1% 3/8
FCF/Sales 1.1% -11.2% 7/23
CapEx/Sales 3.6% 33.9% 23/23

Operational Efficiency

MetricNRGIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.83x 0.21x 2/25
Receivables Turnover 9.4x 8.6x 11/25
Inventory Turnover 33.9x 6.4x 1/7
Days Sales Outstanding 39 days 42 days 15/25
Days Inventory 11 days 57 days 7/7
Payables Period 35 days 136 days 8/8
Cash Conversion Cycle 15 days – –

Income Statement

MetricNRGIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $33.12B $9.31B 1/25
Operating Income $2.02B $864M 15/34
Net Income $849M $458M 16/33
SG&A Expense $2.48B $154M 1/5
Cost of Goods Sold $26.90B $1.06B 1/10

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricNRGIndustry medianRank
Dividends Per Share $2.09 – –
Payout Ratio 62.8% 64.8% 12/21
Shares Outstanding 210M – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$9.65B24.2% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$162M0.4% of assets
Accounts Receivable$3.53B8.8% of assets
Inventory$793M2.0% of assets
Total Liabilities$35.09B87.9% of assets
Short-term Debt$7.40B18.5% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

NRG quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Electric Services

Nrg Energy, Inc. (NRG) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Nrg Energy, Inc. (Electric Services): 47 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
NRG Nrg Energy, Inc. ▶ $22.36B 26.3x 4.6x
NEE Nextera Energy Inc ▶ $163.72B 20.7x 3.1x
CEG Constellation Energy Corp ▲ $104.13B 30.1x 3.3x
SO Southern Co ▶ $98.12B 22.0x 2.4x
AEP American Electric Power Co Inc ▼ $67.59B 17.6x 2.0x
D Dominion Energy, Inc ▶ $54.92B 18.1x 1.9x
VST Vistra Corp. ▼ $53.07B 23.9x 9.7x
ETR Entergy Corp /De/ ▶ $47.61B 25.5x 2.6x
FTS Fortis Inc. ▼ $27.26B – 1.2x
DTE Dte Energy Co ▼ $26.64B 20.6x 2.1x
FE Firstenergy Corp ▶ $26.24B 24.6x 2.1x
PPL Ppl Corp ▶ $25.84B 20.3x 1.7x
CNP Centerpoint Energy Inc ▼ $25.53B 23.2x 2.2x
ES Eversource Energy ▶ $24.90B 17.2x 1.5x
EIX Edison International ▶ $21.41B 6.0x 1.2x
TLN Talen Energy Corp ▲ $18.20B – 11.3x
EMA Emera Inc ▼ $13.72B – 1.0x
OGE Oge Energy Corp. ▶ $9.66B 20.3x 1.9x
ENLT Enlight Renewable Energy Ltd. ▶ $9.08B – –
IDA Idacorp Inc ▶ $7.49B 25.7x 2.3x
TXNM Txnm Energy Inc ▼ $6.47B 44.0x 1.9x
CWEN Clearway Energy, Inc. ▶ $6.25B 68.7x 3.4x
OKLO Oklo Inc. ▲ $5.99B – 1.8x
BKH Black Hills Corp /Sd/ ▶ $5.82B 19.5x 1.5x
ORA Ormat Technologies, Inc. ▼ $5.64B 44.5x 2.2x
POR Portland General Electric Co /Or/ ▼ $5.30B – 1.3x
AQN Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp. ▼ $3.93B – 0.9x
TAC Transalta Corp ▶ $3.86B – –
FRVO Fervo Energy Co ▲ $3.79B – 1.4x
OTTR Otter Tail Corp ▶ $3.71B 19.0x 2.0x
KEN Kenon Holdings Ltd. ▼ $3.19B – –
HE Hawaiian Electric Industries Inc ▲ $1.50B 6.6x 0.9x
XIFR Xplr Infrastructure, Lp ▲ $972M 9.6x 0.3x
NNE Nano Nuclear Energy Inc. ▲ $767M – 1.3x
HNRG Hallador Energy Co ▲ $686M – 3.6x
ELLO Ellomay Capital Ltd. ▶ $300M – –
WAVE Eco Wave Power Global Ab (Publ) ▼ $269M – –
FISN Deep Fission, Inc. ▼ $246M – 2.5x
BEP Brookfield Renewable Partners L.P. ▶ $175M – –
AMFN American Fusion, Inc. ▼ $149M – –
OPTT Ocean Power Technologies, Inc. ▼ $6M – 0.7x
APSI Aqua Power Systems Inc. ▼ N/A – –
BEPC Brookfield Renewable Corp ▼ N/A – –
BESS Bimergen Energy Corp ▲ N/A – –
CBMJ Conservative Broadcast Media & Publishing, Inc. ▼ N/A – –
CIG Energy Co Of Minas Gerais ▶ N/A – –
ELPC Energy Co Of Parana ▶ N/A – –

Where NRG sits on the market map

Energy & Transportation · Electric Services
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FAQ

Nrg Energy, Inc. (NRG) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Nrg Energy, Inc. (NRG) stock forecast?

On Oct. 13, 2026, NRG is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 4015 stocks scored that day.

How accurate are Nrg Energy, Inc. stock predictions?

A per-ticker accuracy statistic for NRG is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Nrg Energy, Inc. forecasts updated?

Nrg Energy, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 13, 2026.

Which companies are Nrg Energy, Inc.'s industry peers?

47 issuers in our coverage, NRG included, share the SEC industry code Electric Services. The largest are: Nextera Energy Inc (NEE), Constellation Energy Corp (CEG), Southern Co (SO), American Electric Power Co Inc (AEP), Dominion Energy, Inc (D), Vistra Corp. (VST).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.