ORLY - O'Reilly Automotive, Inc.
O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. is currently listed on NASDAQ under ORLY. One share of ORLY stock can currently be purchased for approximately $86.40. Is O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. (ORLY) overvalued or ...
Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16
O Reilly Automotive Inc (ORLY) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Total · absolute moveSwitch to Alpha · Nasdaq
Rating · 90D
▼ Bearish
Exact rating locked
90-day forecast
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30-day forecast
Total
Rank in coverage
Bottom 35%
of 5184 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D
50.0%
Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap
$72.22B
large-cap · #1 of 6 peers
Summary
O Reilly Automotive Inc (ORLY) stock forecast summary
Our AI ranks O Reilly Automotive Inc outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
O Reilly Automotive Inc is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $72.22B. It ranks number 1 by market capitalization among the 6 Retail-Auto & Home Supply Stores issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.
For ORLY, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 50.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 39.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected absolute price move over the horizon, market included. This is the number a price target is built from. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +5.1%, buy ≥ +3.4%, sell < +1.8%, strong sell < +0.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)
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ORLY price chart and AI forecast
Cross-section · 2026-10-16
How ORLY ranks among 5184 stocks
90D Total forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Fundamentals · 2026-06-30
O Reilly Automotive Inc (ORLY) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Retail-Auto & Home Supply Stores peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | ORLY | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $72.22B | 1/6 |
| P/E Ratio | 29.27x | – |
| EPS | $3.05 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $-10.69 | – |
| FCF/Share | $2.67 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | ORLY | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROA | 15.2% | – |
| ROIC | 46.5% | – |
| Gross Margin | -110.8% | 7/7 |
| Operating Margin | -42.0% | 5/7 |
| Net Margin | -30.6% | 3/5 |
| EBT Margin | -39.3% | 6/7 |
| Tax Rate | 22.0% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | ORLY | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.75x | 6/6 |
| Quick Ratio | 0.13x | 5/5 |
| Interest Coverage | 14.1x | 1/7 |
| Working Capital | -$2.38B | 6/6 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | ORLY | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $3.29B | 1/7 |
| Free Cash Flow | $2.16B | – |
| Capital Spending | -$1.13B | – |
| OCF Growth YoY | 13.1% | – |
| FCF Growth YoY | 21.7% | – |
| FCF/Sales | -24.9% | – |
| CapEx/Sales | -13.1% | – |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | ORLY | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Receivables Turnover | -18.9x | – |
| Inventory Turnover | 1.5x | 4/5 |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | -1.3x | – |
| Days Sales Outstanding | -19 days | – |
| Days Inventory | 243 days | 2/5 |
| Payables Period | 300 days | 2/5 |
| Cash Conversion Cycle | -77 days | – |
Income Statement
| Metric | ORLY | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | -$8.65B | 5/5 |
| Operating Income | $3.63B | 1/7 |
| Net Income | $2.65B | 2/5 |
| SG&A Expense | $5.96B | – |
| Cost of Goods Sold | $8.98B | 2/7 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | ORLY | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Shares Outstanding | 809M | – |
| Net Income Growth | 9.3% | – |
| EPS Growth | 40.3% | – |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Total Current Assets | $7.20B | 41.4% of assets |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $262M | 1.5% of assets |
| Accounts Receivable | $458M | 2.6% of assets |
| Inventory | $5.97B | 34.3% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $19.22B | |
| Short-term Debt | $2.19B | 12.6% of assets |
Quarterly Financial Reports
ORLY quarterly financials and insider trading
Industry Peers · Retail-Auto & Home Supply Stores
O Reilly Automotive Inc (ORLY) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as O Reilly Automotive Inc (Retail-Auto & Home Supply Stores): 7 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
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Trade & Services · Retail-Auto & Home Supply Stores
News
O Reilly Automotive Inc (ORLY) stock news
What to Expect From O’Reilly Automotive’s Q3 2026 Earnings Report
O’Reilly Automotive is set to report its Q3 earnings later this month, with analysts expecting single-digit year-over-year EPS growth.
O'Reilly Automotive Inc. stock underperforms Thursday when compared to competitors despite daily gains
This was the stock's second consecutive day of gains.
FAQ
O Reilly Automotive Inc (ORLY) stock forecast FAQ
What is the O Reilly Automotive Inc (ORLY) stock forecast?
Our AI ranks O Reilly Automotive Inc outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
How accurate are O Reilly Automotive Inc stock predictions?
For ORLY, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 50.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 39.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are O Reilly Automotive Inc forecasts updated?
O Reilly Automotive Inc forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.
Which companies are O Reilly Automotive Inc's industry peers?
7 issuers in our coverage, ORLY included, share the SEC industry code Retail-Auto & Home Supply Stores. The largest are: Autozone Inc (AZO), Advance Auto Parts Inc (AAP), Marinemax Inc (HZO), Carparts.Com, Inc. (PRTS), Free Flow Usa, Inc. (FFLO), Applife Digital Solutions Inc (ALDS).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.