Orion Group Holdings Inc (ORN) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE
Orion Group Holdings Inc (ORN) stock forecast summary
On Oct. 16, 2026, ORN is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5171 stocks scored that day.
Orion Group Holdings Inc is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $340M. It ranks number 11 by market capitalization among the 14 Heavy Construction Other Than Bldg Const - Contractors issuers in our coverage with a current forecast. Its P/B Ratio of 2.04x is the lowest of the 11 peers that report one.
For ORN, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 53.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 7.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)
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How ORN ranks among 5171 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Orion Group Holdings Inc (ORN) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Heavy Construction Other Than Bldg Const - Contractors peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | ORN | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $340M | 11/14 |
| P/E Ratio | 38.73x | 3/6 |
| P/B Ratio | 2.04x | 11/11 |
| EPS | $0.22 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $4.18 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $22.05 | – |
| FCF/Share | $-0.05 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | ORN | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROE | 5.2% | 6/8 |
| ROA | 1.8% | 5/9 |
| ROIC | 4.4% | 5/9 |
| Gross Margin | 12.3% | 4/10 |
| Operating Margin | 1.5% | 6/10 |
| Net Margin | 1.0% | 6/10 |
| EBT Margin | 0.2% | 7/10 |
| Tax Rate | -326.0% | – |
The effective tax rate is outside the normal band, which points to a large non-recurring tax item in the trailing twelve months; headline net income, net margin and P/E are affected by it.
Financial Health
| Metric | ORN | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.41x | 4/13 |
| Quick Ratio | 1.40x | – |
| D/E Ratio | 1.87x | 8/12 |
| Financial Leverage | 2.87x | 9/11 |
| Working Capital | $76M | 10/13 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | ORN | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $36M | 6/10 |
| Free Cash Flow | -$2M | 6/8 |
| Capital Spending | -$38M | 2/8 |
| OCF Growth YoY | 13.7% | 6/8 |
| FCF Growth YoY | -118.3% | 6/7 |
| FCF/Sales | -0.2% | 6/8 |
| CapEx/Sales | 4.4% | 3/8 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | ORN | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 1.84x | 2/8 |
| Inventory Turnover | 279.5x | – |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 7.0x | 6/9 |
| Days Inventory | 1 days | – |
Income Statement
| Metric | ORN | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $880M | 7/9 |
| Operating Income | $13M | 6/10 |
| Net Income | $9M | 6/10 |
| SG&A Expense | $97M | 4/6 |
| Cost of Goods Sold | $771M | 8/10 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | ORN | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Shares Outstanding | 40M | – |
| Net Income Growth | 186.4% | 1/7 |
| EPS Growth | 120.0% | 1/7 |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Total Current Assets | $261M | 54.6% of assets |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $6M | 1.3% of assets |
| Inventory | $3M | 0.6% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $312M | 65.2% of assets |
ORN quarterly financials and insider trading
Orion Group Holdings Inc (ORN) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Orion Group Holdings Inc (Heavy Construction Other Than Bldg Const - Contractors): 14 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| ORN Orion Group Holdings Inc | ▶ | $340M |
| HTHIY Hitachi Ltd | ▼ | $161.50B |
| FER Ferrovial N.V. | ▼ | $35.67B |
| J Jacobs Solutions Inc. | ▶ | $16.51B |
| STRL Sterling Infrastructure, Inc. | ▶ | $13.65B |
| FLR Fluor Corp | ▲ | $6.28B |
| MWH Solv Energy, Inc. | ▶ | $4.85B |
| GVA Granite Construction Inc | ▶ | $4.81B |
| ROAD Construction Partners, Inc. | ▼ | $4.62B |
| KBR Kbr, Inc. | ▶ | $4.59B |
| CDNL Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. | ▲ | $694M |
| SHIM Shimmick Corp | ▲ | $100M |
| RNGE Range Impact, Inc. | ▲ | $70M |
| SLND Southland Holdings, Inc. | ▲ | $44M |
Where ORN sits on the market map
Orion Group Holdings Inc (ORN) stock news
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Orion Group Holdings Inc (ORN) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Orion Group Holdings Inc (ORN) stock forecast?
On Oct. 16, 2026, ORN is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5171 stocks scored that day.
How accurate are Orion Group Holdings Inc stock predictions?
For ORN, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 53.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 7.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Orion Group Holdings Inc forecasts updated?
Orion Group Holdings Inc forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.
Which companies are Orion Group Holdings Inc's industry peers?
14 issuers in our coverage, ORN included, share the SEC industry code Heavy Construction Other Than Bldg Const - Contractors. The largest are: Hitachi Ltd (HTHIY), Ferrovial N.V. (FER), Jacobs Solutions Inc. (J), Sterling Infrastructure, Inc. (STRL), Fluor Corp (FLR), Solv Energy, Inc. (MWH).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.