Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq
Our AI ranks Paychex Inc outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
Paychex Inc is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $39.74B.
For PAYX, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 21.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 14.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)
A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, PAYX included.
Follow PAYX free90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Services-Engineering, Accounting, Research, Management peers listed below that report each metric.
| Metric | PAYX | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $39.74B | – |
| P/E Ratio | 22.15x | – |
| P/B Ratio | 10.72x | – |
| Dividend Yield | 4.09% | – |
| EPS | $5.04 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $10.41 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $18.55 | – |
| FCF/Share | $5.67 | – |
| Metric | PAYX | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROE | 48.7% | – |
| ROA | 11.5% | – |
| ROIC | 27.8% | – |
| Gross Margin | 74.4% | – |
| Operating Margin | 39.2% | – |
| Net Margin | 27.4% | – |
| EBT Margin | 36.0% | – |
| Tax Rate | 24.1% | – |
| Metric | PAYX | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.28x | – |
| D/E Ratio | 3.23x | – |
| Financial Leverage | 4.23x | – |
| Interest Coverage | 2.3x | – |
| Working Capital | $1.75B | – |
| Metric | PAYX | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $2.25B | – |
| Free Cash Flow | $2.02B | – |
| Capital Spending | -$235M | – |
| OCF Growth YoY | 8.6% | – |
| FCF Growth YoY | 8.4% | – |
| FCF/Sales | 30.5% | – |
| CapEx/Sales | 3.6% | – |
| Metric | PAYX | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 0.42x | – |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 10.7x | – |
| Payables Period | 31 days | – |
| Metric | PAYX | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $6.60B | – |
| Operating Income | $2.59B | – |
| Net Income | $1.81B | – |
| SG&A Expense | $2.32B | – |
| Cost of Goods Sold | $1.69B | – |
| Metric | PAYX | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Dividends Per Share | $4.56 | – |
| Payout Ratio | 90.5% | – |
| Shares Outstanding | 356M | – |
| Net Income Growth | 11.9% | – |
| EPS Growth | 13.0% | – |
| Total Current Assets | $8.09B | 51.7% of assets |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $601M | 3.8% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $11.96B | 76.3% of assets |
| Short-term Debt | $6.20B | 39.6% of assets |
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Paychex Inc (Services-Engineering, Accounting, Research, Management): 2 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
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Paychex, Inc. (NASDAQ:PAYX) and Automatic Data Processing, Inc. (NASDAQ:ADP) have surged by 18.43% and 38.21%, respectively, ...
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Our AI ranks Paychex Inc outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
For PAYX, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 21.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 14.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Paychex Inc forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.
2 issuers in our coverage, PAYX included, share the SEC industry code Services-Engineering, Accounting, Research, Management. The largest are: Forrester Research, Inc. (FORR).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
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