Sportsman's Warehouse Holdings, Inc. (SPWH) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq
Sportsman's Warehouse Holdings, Inc. (SPWH) stock forecast summary
Our AI ranks Sportsman's Warehouse Holdings, Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
Sportsman's Warehouse Holdings, Inc. is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $41M. It ranks number 4 by market capitalization among the 5 Retail-Miscellaneous Shopping Goods Stores issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.
For SPWH, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 0.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 6.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)
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How SPWH ranks among 5184 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Sportsman's Warehouse Holdings, Inc. (SPWH) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Retail-Miscellaneous Shopping Goods Stores peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | SPWH | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $41M | 4/5 |
| P/E Ratio | 2.33x | – |
| P/B Ratio | 0.25x | – |
| EPS | $0.45 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $4.18 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $30.82 | – |
| FCF/Share | $1.20 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | SPWH | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROIC | -3.9% | – |
| Gross Margin | 33.5% | 3/5 |
| Operating Margin | -1.5% | – |
| EBT Margin | -2.6% | – |
| Tax Rate | -4.2% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | SPWH | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.17x | 4/5 |
| D/E Ratio | 4.10x | – |
| Financial Leverage | 5.10x | – |
| Interest Coverage | -0.3x | – |
| Working Capital | $61M | 4/5 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | SPWH | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | -$280M | 5/5 |
| Free Cash Flow | $47M | – |
| Capital Spending | $327M | – |
| OCF Growth YoY | -278.8% | – |
| FCF Growth YoY | -66.2% | – |
| FCF/Sales | 3.9% | – |
| CapEx/Sales | 27.1% | – |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | SPWH | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 1.44x | – |
| Receivables Turnover | 452.6x | – |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 9.7x | – |
| Days Sales Outstanding | 1 days | – |
| Payables Period | 32 days | 5/5 |
Income Statement
| Metric | SPWH | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $1.21B | – |
| Operating Income | -$18M | – |
| SG&A Expense | $393M | – |
| Cost of Goods Sold | $802M | 4/5 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | SPWH | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Shares Outstanding | 39M | – |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Total Current Assets | $424M | 50.7% of assets |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $2M | 0.2% of assets |
| Accounts Receivable | $3M | 0.3% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $672M | 80.4% of assets |
| Short-term Debt | $292M | 34.9% of assets |
SPWH quarterly financials and insider trading
Sportsman's Warehouse Holdings, Inc. (SPWH) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Sportsman's Warehouse Holdings, Inc. (Retail-Miscellaneous Shopping Goods Stores): 5 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
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Sportsman's Warehouse Holdings, Inc. (SPWH) stock news
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Sportsman's Warehouse Holdings, Inc. (SPWH) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Sportsman's Warehouse Holdings, Inc. (SPWH) stock forecast?
Our AI ranks Sportsman's Warehouse Holdings, Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
How accurate are Sportsman's Warehouse Holdings, Inc. stock predictions?
For SPWH, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 0.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 6.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Sportsman's Warehouse Holdings, Inc. forecasts updated?
Sportsman's Warehouse Holdings, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.
Which companies are Sportsman's Warehouse Holdings, Inc.'s industry peers?
5 issuers in our coverage, SPWH included, share the SEC industry code Retail-Miscellaneous Shopping Goods Stores. The largest are: Dick's Sporting Goods, Inc. (DKS), Academy Sports & Outdoors, Inc. (ASO), Barnes & Noble Education, Inc. (BNED), Kindcard, Inc. (KCRD).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.