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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Simpson Manufacturing Co., Inc. (SSD) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Total · absolute moveSwitch to Alpha · NYSE

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Rating · 90D ▼ Bearish Exact rating locked
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Total
Rank in coverage Bottom 35% of 5184 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 41.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $7.23B mid-cap · #3 of 8 peers
Summary

Simpson Manufacturing Co., Inc. (SSD) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks Simpson Manufacturing Co., Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

Simpson Manufacturing Co., Inc. is a mid-cap company with a market capitalization of $7.23B. It ranks number 3 by market capitalization among the 8 Cutlery, Handtools & General Hardware issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For SSD, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 41.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 7.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected absolute price move over the horizon, market included. This is the number a price target is built from. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +5.1%, buy ≥ +3.4%, sell < +1.8%, strong sell < +0.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

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Price

SSD price chart and AI forecast

SSD
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How SSD ranks among 5184 stocks

90D Total forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-06-30

Simpson Manufacturing Co., Inc. (SSD) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Cutlery, Handtools & General Hardware peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricSSDIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $7.23B $939M 3/8
P/E Ratio 19.30x 20.77x 5/7
P/B Ratio 3.41x 1.56x 1/7
Dividend Yield 0.66% 2.59% 5/5
EPS $9.14 – –
Book Value/Share $51.67 – –
Revenue/Share $59.09 – –
FCF/Share $11.43 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricSSDIndustry medianRank
ROE 17.9% 14.6% 1/6
ROA 12.1% 5.2% 1/5
ROIC 18.5% 12.7% 1/5
Gross Margin 45.7% 37.7% 2/6
Operating Margin 20.6% 12.6% 2/6
Net Margin 15.7% 8.9% 2/6
EBT Margin 20.9% 5.7% 2/7
Tax Rate 25.1% – –

Financial Health

MetricSSDIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 3.29x 2.80x 3/7
Quick Ratio 2.14x 1.32x 3/7
D/E Ratio 0.48x 0.89x 5/7
Financial Leverage 1.48x 1.92x 5/6
Working Capital $1.02B $423M 3/7

Cash Flow

MetricSSDIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $574M $126M 3/7
Free Cash Flow $468M $61M 2/5
Capital Spending -$106M -$65M 4/5
OCF Growth YoY 63.2% 51.7% 2/7
FCF Growth YoY 187.3% 61.2% 2/5
FCF/Sales 19.3% 8.4% 1/5
CapEx/Sales 4.4% 1.9% 1/5

Operational Efficiency

MetricSSDIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.77x 0.76x 2/5
Receivables Turnover 5.5x 6.9x 5/6
Inventory Turnover 2.6x 2.6x 4/6
Fixed Assets Turnover 3.9x 8.0x 6/6
Days Sales Outstanding 66 days 55 days 2/6
Days Inventory 143 days 140 days 3/6
Payables Period 35 days 50 days 6/6
Cash Conversion Cycle 174 days 174 days 3/5

Income Statement

MetricSSDIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $2.42B $2.01B 3/6
Operating Income $499M $83M 2/6
Net Income $379M $210M 3/6
SG&A Expense $593M $334M 2/6
Cost of Goods Sold $1.31B $603M 2/6

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricSSDIndustry medianRank
Dividends Per Share $1.17 – –
Payout Ratio 12.8% 48.4% 4/5
Shares Outstanding 41M – –
Net Income Growth 14.7% 14.7% 3/5
EPS Growth 16.6% 23.6% 4/5

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$1.47B46.8% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$451M14.3% of assets
Accounts Receivable$438M14.0% of assets
Inventory$514M16.4% of assets
Total Liabilities$1.01B32.3% of assets
Short-term Debt$321M10.2% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

SSD quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Cutlery, Handtools & General Hardware

Simpson Manufacturing Co., Inc. (SSD) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Simpson Manufacturing Co., Inc. (Cutlery, Handtools & General Hardware): 8 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Total) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
SSD Simpson Manufacturing Co., Inc. ▼ $7.23B 19.3x 3.4x
SNA Snap-On Inc ▼ $19.00B 18.7x 3.1x
SWK Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. ▼ $13.97B 21.5x 1.6x
HLMN Hillman Solutions Corp. ▶ $1.43B 32.0x 1.2x
CIX Compx International Inc ▲ $444M 20.8x 3.2x
LCUT Lifetime Brands, Inc ▶ $187M 5.6x 0.9x
EML Eastern Co ▶ $146M 31.6x 1.1x
RECT Rectitude Holdings Ltd. ▶ $18M – –

Where SSD sits on the market map

Manufacturing · Cutlery, Handtools & General Hardware
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News

Simpson Manufacturing Co., Inc. (SSD) stock news

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FAQ

Simpson Manufacturing Co., Inc. (SSD) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Simpson Manufacturing Co., Inc. (SSD) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks Simpson Manufacturing Co., Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are Simpson Manufacturing Co., Inc. stock predictions?

For SSD, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 41.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 7.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Simpson Manufacturing Co., Inc. forecasts updated?

Simpson Manufacturing Co., Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Simpson Manufacturing Co., Inc.'s industry peers?

8 issuers in our coverage, SSD included, share the SEC industry code Cutlery, Handtools & General Hardware. The largest are: Snap-On Inc (SNA), Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. (SWK), Hillman Solutions Corp. (HLMN), Compx International Inc (CIX), Lifetime Brands, Inc (LCUT), Eastern Co (EML).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.