Sterling Infrastructure, Inc. (STRL) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq
Sterling Infrastructure, Inc. (STRL) stock forecast summary
On Oct. 16, 2026, STRL is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5184 stocks scored that day.
Sterling Infrastructure, Inc. is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $12.98B. It ranks number 4 by market capitalization among the 14 Heavy Construction Other Than Bldg Const - Contractors issuers in our coverage with a current forecast. Its Gross Margin of 23.8% is the highest of the 10 peers that report one.
For STRL, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -20.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -31.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)
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How STRL ranks among 5184 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Sterling Infrastructure, Inc. (STRL) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Heavy Construction Other Than Bldg Const - Contractors peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | STRL | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $12.98B | 4/14 |
| P/E Ratio | 30.57x | 4/6 |
| P/B Ratio | 9.56x | 4/11 |
| EPS | $13.88 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $44.37 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $112.41 | – |
| FCF/Share | $15.76 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | STRL | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROE | 31.8% | 4/8 |
| ROA | 13.5% | 1/9 |
| ROIC | 31.6% | 1/9 |
| Gross Margin | 23.8% | 1/10 |
| Operating Margin | 17.5% | 2/10 |
| Net Margin | 12.6% | 2/10 |
| EBT Margin | 15.1% | 3/10 |
| Tax Rate | 27.1% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | STRL | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.11x | 9/13 |
| D/E Ratio | 1.33x | 11/12 |
| Financial Leverage | 2.35x | 11/11 |
| Interest Coverage | 6.7x | 3/11 |
| Working Capital | $138M | 7/13 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | STRL | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $598M | 4/10 |
| Free Cash Flow | $482M | 2/8 |
| Capital Spending | -$116M | 5/8 |
| OCF Growth YoY | 20.3% | 5/8 |
| FCF Growth YoY | 10.6% | 5/7 |
| FCF/Sales | 14.0% | 1/8 |
| CapEx/Sales | 3.4% | 4/8 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | STRL | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 1.08x | 5/8 |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 10.7x | 5/9 |
| Payables Period | 44 days | 5/9 |
Income Statement
| Metric | STRL | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $3.44B | 6/9 |
| Operating Income | $602M | 3/10 |
| Net Income | $431M | 2/10 |
| Cost of Goods Sold | $2.62B | 6/10 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | STRL | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Shares Outstanding | 31M | – |
| Net Income Growth | 51.4% | 2/7 |
| EPS Growth | 36.2% | 4/7 |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Total Current Assets | $1.43B | 44.7% of assets |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $464M | 14.5% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $1.80B | 56.5% of assets |
| Short-term Debt | $975M | 30.5% of assets |
STRL quarterly financials and insider trading
Sterling Infrastructure, Inc. (STRL) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Sterling Infrastructure, Inc. (Heavy Construction Other Than Bldg Const - Contractors): 14 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| STRL Sterling Infrastructure, Inc. | ▶ | $12.98B |
| HTHIY Hitachi Ltd | ▼ | $163.76B |
| FER Ferrovial N.V. | ▼ | $35.67B |
| J Jacobs Solutions Inc. | ▶ | $16.51B |
| FLR Fluor Corp | ▲ | $6.28B |
| MWH Solv Energy, Inc. | ▶ | $4.85B |
| GVA Granite Construction Inc | ▶ | $4.81B |
| ROAD Construction Partners, Inc. | ▼ | $4.62B |
| KBR Kbr, Inc. | ▶ | $4.59B |
| CDNL Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. | ▲ | $694M |
| ORN Orion Group Holdings Inc | ▶ | $340M |
| SHIM Shimmick Corp | ▲ | $100M |
| RNGE Range Impact, Inc. | ▲ | $69M |
| SLND Southland Holdings, Inc. | ▲ | $40M |
Where STRL sits on the market map
Sterling Infrastructure, Inc. (STRL) stock news
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Sterling Infrastructure, Inc. (STRL) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Sterling Infrastructure, Inc. (STRL) stock forecast?
On Oct. 16, 2026, STRL is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5184 stocks scored that day.
How accurate are Sterling Infrastructure, Inc. stock predictions?
For STRL, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -20.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -31.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Sterling Infrastructure, Inc. forecasts updated?
Sterling Infrastructure, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.
Which companies are Sterling Infrastructure, Inc.'s industry peers?
14 issuers in our coverage, STRL included, share the SEC industry code Heavy Construction Other Than Bldg Const - Contractors. The largest are: Hitachi Ltd (HTHIY), Ferrovial N.V. (FER), Jacobs Solutions Inc. (J), Fluor Corp (FLR), Solv Energy, Inc. (MWH), Granite Construction Inc (GVA).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.