Timken Co (TKR) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Total · absolute moveSwitch to Alpha · NYSE
Timken Co (TKR) stock forecast summary
On Oct. 16, 2026, TKR is rated Neutral: its 90-day Total forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5184 stocks scored that day.
Timken Co is a mid-cap company with a market capitalization of $7.79B.
For TKR, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 25.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 7.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected absolute price move over the horizon, market included. This is the number a price target is built from. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +5.1%, buy ≥ +3.4%, sell < +1.8%, strong sell < +0.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)
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How TKR ranks among 5184 stocks
90D Total forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Timken Co (TKR) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Ball & Roller Bearings peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | TKR | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $7.79B | – |
| P/E Ratio | 30.46x | – |
| P/B Ratio | 2.44x | – |
| Dividend Yield | 1.27% | – |
| EPS | $3.69 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $46.10 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $68.69 | – |
| FCF/Share | $5.56 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | TKR | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROE | 8.1% | – |
| ROA | 3.8% | – |
| ROIC | 8.5% | – |
| Gross Margin | 30.8% | – |
| Operating Margin | 10.6% | – |
| Net Margin | 5.4% | – |
| EBT Margin | 8.0% | – |
| Tax Rate | 25.9% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | TKR | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 3.10x | – |
| Quick Ratio | 1.74x | – |
| D/E Ratio | 1.08x | – |
| Financial Leverage | 2.14x | – |
| Interest Coverage | 4.8x | – |
| Working Capital | $1.92B | – |
Cash Flow
| Metric | TKR | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $531M | – |
| Free Cash Flow | $386M | – |
| Capital Spending | -$145M | – |
| OCF Growth YoY | 12.5% | – |
| FCF Growth YoY | 22.5% | – |
| FCF/Sales | 8.1% | – |
| CapEx/Sales | 3.0% | – |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | TKR | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 0.70x | – |
| Receivables Turnover | 5.8x | – |
| Inventory Turnover | 2.6x | – |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 3.7x | – |
| Days Sales Outstanding | 63 days | – |
| Days Inventory | 138 days | – |
| Payables Period | 41 days | – |
| Cash Conversion Cycle | 160 days | – |
Income Statement
| Metric | TKR | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $4.76B | – |
| Operating Income | $502M | – |
| Net Income | $259M | – |
| SG&A Expense | $781M | – |
| Cost of Goods Sold | $3.29B | – |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | TKR | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Dividends Per Share | $1.43 | – |
| Payout Ratio | 38.8% | – |
| Shares Outstanding | 69M | – |
| Net Income Growth | -16.5% | – |
| EPS Growth | -16.1% | – |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Total Current Assets | $2.84B | 41.6% of assets |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $399M | 5.8% of assets |
| Accounts Receivable | $823M | 12.1% of assets |
| Inventory | $1.25B | 18.3% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $3.46B | 50.7% of assets |
| Short-term Debt | $547M | 8.0% of assets |
TKR quarterly financials and insider trading
Timken Co (TKR) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Timken Co (Ball & Roller Bearings): 2 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
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Timken Co (TKR) stock news
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Timken Co (TKR) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Timken Co (TKR) stock forecast?
On Oct. 16, 2026, TKR is rated Neutral: its 90-day Total forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5184 stocks scored that day.
How accurate are Timken Co stock predictions?
For TKR, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 25.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 7.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Timken Co forecasts updated?
Timken Co forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.
Which companies are Timken Co's industry peers?
2 issuers in our coverage, TKR included, share the SEC industry code Ball & Roller Bearings. The largest are: Rbc Bearings Inc (RBC).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.