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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Transmedics Group, Inc. (TMDX) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Total · absolute moveSwitch to Alpha · Nasdaq

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Rating · 90D ▲ Bullish Exact rating locked
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Total
Rank in coverage Top 35% of 5172 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 33.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $2.45B mid-cap · #4 of 30 peers
Summary

Transmedics Group, Inc. (TMDX) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks Transmedics Group, Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

Transmedics Group, Inc. is a mid-cap company with a market capitalization of $2.45B. It ranks number 4 by market capitalization among the 30 Electromedical & Electrotherapeutic Apparatus issuers in our coverage with a current forecast. Its ROE of 29.3% is the highest of the 19 peers that report one.

For TMDX, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 33.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 24.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected absolute price move over the horizon, market included. This is the number a price target is built from. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +5.1%, buy ≥ +3.4%, sell < +1.8%, strong sell < +0.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, TMDX included.

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Price

TMDX price chart and AI forecast

TMDX
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How TMDX ranks among 5172 stocks

90D Total forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-06-30

Transmedics Group, Inc. (TMDX) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Electromedical & Electrotherapeutic Apparatus peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricTMDXIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $2.45B $86M 4/30
P/E Ratio 16.23x 21.71x 7/10
P/B Ratio 4.74x 3.93x 8/23
EPS $4.36 – –
Book Value/Share $14.94 – –
Revenue/Share $19.28 – –
FCF/Share $2.28 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricTMDXIndustry medianRank
ROE 29.3% 1.3% 1/19
ROA 10.4% -19.2% 4/24
ROIC 6.0% -0.0% 9/23
Gross Margin 58.7% 56.4% 13/27
Operating Margin 12.2% -9.7% 5/28
Net Margin 22.7% -8.2% 3/22
EBT Margin 10.8% -11.4% 4/28
Tax Rate -109.1% – –

The effective tax rate is outside the normal band, which points to a large non-recurring tax item in the trailing twelve months; headline net income, net margin and P/E are affected by it.

Financial Health

MetricTMDXIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 6.62x 2.17x 5/30
Quick Ratio 6.07x 1.65x 5/29
D/E Ratio 1.83x 0.82x 5/25
Financial Leverage 2.83x 1.82x 5/25
Interest Coverage 2.0x -12.8x 8/30
Working Capital $553M $20M 4/29

Cash Flow

MetricTMDXIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $146M -$2M 5/30
Free Cash Flow $79M -$11M 4/14
Capital Spending -$67M -$945K 11/14
OCF Growth YoY 26.6% 8.6% 2/9
FCF Growth YoY 355.5% 4.3% 1/6
FCF/Sales 11.8% -29.7% 2/14
CapEx/Sales 10.0% 1.5% 1/14

Operational Efficiency

MetricTMDXIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.46x 0.56x 15/19
Receivables Turnover 6.4x 6.4x 9/20
Inventory Turnover 5.1x 2.0x 5/27
Fixed Assets Turnover 1.8x 20.1x 19/20
Days Sales Outstanding 57 days 57 days 12/20
Days Inventory 72 days 184 days 23/27
Payables Period 17 days 77 days 23/24
Cash Conversion Cycle 111 days 114 days 11/19

Income Statement

MetricTMDXIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $668M $74M 4/19
Operating Income $82M -$4M 6/30
Net Income $152M -$2M 4/24
R&D Expense $92M $9M 3/28
SG&A Expense $218M $43M 7/26
Cost of Goods Sold $276M $16M 5/27

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricTMDXIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 35M – –
Net Income Growth 111.7% 49.9% 1/5
EPS Growth 175.9% -27.8% 1/7

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$651M44.5% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$491M33.5% of assets
Accounts Receivable$104M7.1% of assets
Inventory$54M3.7% of assets
Total Liabilities$946M64.6% of assets
Short-term Debt$85M5.8% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

TMDX quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Electromedical & Electrotherapeutic Apparatus

Transmedics Group, Inc. (TMDX) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Transmedics Group, Inc. (Electromedical & Electrotherapeutic Apparatus): 32 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Total) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
TMDX Transmedics Group, Inc. ▲ $2.45B 16.2x 4.7x
MDT Medtronic Plc ▼ $121.20B 23.3x 2.4x
ITGR Integer Holdings Corp ▼ $4.31B 49.9x 2.5x
LIVN Livanova Plc ▼ $4.27B 26.0x 3.2x
BLFS Biolife Solutions Inc ▶ $1.89B 32.6x 4.5x
AXGN Axogen, Inc. ▲ $1.86B – 7.3x
CNMD Conmed Corp ▼ $1.40B 22.4x 1.3x
CBLL Ceribell, Inc. ▲ $961M – 7.5x
INMD Inmode Ltd. ▼ $814M 7.2x 1.2x
CV Capsovision, Inc ▶ $327M 7.8x 24.8x
ELMD Electromed, Inc. ▼ $229M 21.1x 4.3x
FOCL Edap Tms Sa ▲ $153M – –
STXS Stereotaxis, Inc. ▶ $101M – –
VANI Vivani Medical, Inc. ▶ $101M – 5.3x
NRXS Neuraxis, Inc ▲ $97M – 14.4x
HYPR Hyperfine, Inc. ▲ $75M – 2.0x
OM Outset Medical, Inc. ▲ $74M – 0.8x
ECOR Electrocore, Inc. ▲ $71M – –
VASO Vaso Corp ▲ $51M – 1.8x
POSC Positron Corp ▲ $51M – –
QTI Qt Imaging Holdings, Inc. ▶ $35M – 15.6x
POCI Precision Optics Corporation, Inc. ▲ $34M – 1.7x
ITOC Itonic Holdings Ltd ▶ $28M – 4.6x
GTHP Guided Therapeutics Inc ▲ $18M – –
IRIX Iridex Corp ▲ $14M – 3.9x
NDRA Endra Life Sciences Inc. ▶ $7M – –
ADMT Adm Tronics Unlimited, Inc. ▼ $3M – 5.6x
NUWE Nuwellis, Inc. ▶ $2M – –
NXL Nexalin Technology, Inc. ▼ $2M – 1.3x
ESMC Escalon Medical Corp ▶ $1M 1.3x 0.3x
HCIL Hongchang International Co., Ltd ▶ N/A – –
YBGJ Yubo International Biotech Ltd ▶ N/A – –

Where TMDX sits on the market map

Industrial Applications and Services · Electromedical & Electrotherapeutic Apparatus
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News

Transmedics Group, Inc. (TMDX) stock news

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FAQ

Transmedics Group, Inc. (TMDX) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Transmedics Group, Inc. (TMDX) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks Transmedics Group, Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are Transmedics Group, Inc. stock predictions?

For TMDX, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 33.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 24.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Transmedics Group, Inc. forecasts updated?

Transmedics Group, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Transmedics Group, Inc.'s industry peers?

32 issuers in our coverage, TMDX included, share the SEC industry code Electromedical & Electrotherapeutic Apparatus. The largest are: Medtronic Plc (MDT), Integer Holdings Corp (ITGR), Livanova Plc (LIVN), Biolife Solutions Inc (BLFS), Axogen, Inc. (AXGN), Conmed Corp (CNMD).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.