Tractor Supply Co /De/ (TSCO) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Total · absolute moveSwitch to Alpha · Nasdaq
Tractor Supply Co /De/ (TSCO) stock forecast summary
Our AI ranks Tractor Supply Co /De/ outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
Tractor Supply Co /De/ is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $17.28B.
For TSCO, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 4.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -14.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected absolute price move over the horizon, market included. This is the number a price target is built from. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +5.1%, buy ≥ +3.4%, sell < +1.8%, strong sell < +0.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)
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How TSCO ranks among 5184 stocks
90D Total forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Tractor Supply Co /De/ (TSCO) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Retail-Building Materials, Hardware, Garden Supply peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | TSCO | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $17.28B | – |
| P/E Ratio | 17.09x | – |
| P/B Ratio | 6.57x | – |
| Dividend Yield | 2.87% | – |
| EPS | $1.94 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $5.05 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $30.23 | – |
| FCF/Share | $0.59 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | TSCO | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROE | 38.5% | – |
| ROA | 8.3% | – |
| ROIC | 14.9% | – |
| Gross Margin | 36.5% | – |
| Operating Margin | 8.5% | – |
| Net Margin | 6.4% | – |
| EBT Margin | 8.1% | – |
| Tax Rate | 20.5% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | TSCO | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.33x | – |
| Quick Ratio | 0.23x | – |
| D/E Ratio | 3.62x | – |
| Financial Leverage | 4.62x | – |
| Interest Coverage | 15.4x | – |
| Working Capital | $1.06B | – |
Cash Flow
| Metric | TSCO | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $1.29B | – |
| Free Cash Flow | $307M | – |
| Capital Spending | -$979M | – |
| OCF Growth YoY | -19.9% | – |
| FCF Growth YoY | -62.6% | – |
| FCF/Sales | 1.9% | – |
| CapEx/Sales | 6.2% | – |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | TSCO | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 1.30x | – |
| Inventory Turnover | 2.8x | – |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 4.9x | – |
| Days Inventory | 128 days | – |
| Payables Period | 64 days | – |
Income Statement
| Metric | TSCO | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $15.75B | – |
| Operating Income | $1.34B | – |
| Net Income | $1.01B | – |
| SG&A Expense | $3.83B | – |
| Cost of Goods Sold | $10.01B | – |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | TSCO | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Dividends Per Share | $0.95 | – |
| Payout Ratio | 49.0% | – |
| Shares Outstanding | 521M | – |
| Net Income Growth | -6.9% | – |
| EPS Growth | 14.2% | – |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Total Current Assets | $4.25B | 35.0% of assets |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $232M | 1.9% of assets |
| Inventory | $3.52B | 28.9% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $9.53B | 78.4% of assets |
| Short-term Debt | $1.43B | 11.8% of assets |
TSCO quarterly financials and insider trading
Tractor Supply Co /De/ (TSCO) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Tractor Supply Co /De/ (Retail-Building Materials, Hardware, Garden Supply): 3 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
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Tractor Supply Co /De/ (TSCO) stock news
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Tractor Supply Co /De/ (TSCO) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Tractor Supply Co /De/ (TSCO) stock forecast?
Our AI ranks Tractor Supply Co /De/ outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
How accurate are Tractor Supply Co /De/ stock predictions?
For TSCO, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 4.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -14.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Tractor Supply Co /De/ forecasts updated?
Tractor Supply Co /De/ forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.
Which companies are Tractor Supply Co /De/'s industry peers?
3 issuers in our coverage, TSCO included, share the SEC industry code Retail-Building Materials, Hardware, Garden Supply. The largest are: Fastenal Co (FAST), Growgeneration Corp. (GRWG).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.