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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Unum Group (UNM) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Total · absolute moveSwitch to Alpha · NYSE

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Rating · 90D Neutral Total
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Total
Rank in coverage Middle 30% of 5185 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 23.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $14.60B large-cap · #3 of 5 peers
Summary

Unum Group (UNM) stock forecast summary

On Oct. 16, 2026, UNM is rated Neutral: its 90-day Total forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5185 stocks scored that day.

Unum Group is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $14.60B. It ranks number 3 by market capitalization among the 5 Accident & Health Insurance issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For UNM, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 23.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 13.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected absolute price move over the horizon, market included. This is the number a price target is built from. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +5.1%, buy ≥ +3.4%, sell < +1.8%, strong sell < +0.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, UNM included.

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Price

UNM price chart and AI forecast

UNM
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How UNM ranks among 5185 stocks

90D Total forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-06-30

Unum Group (UNM) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Accident & Health Insurance peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricUNMIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $14.60B $14.60B 3/5
P/E Ratio 21.40x 20.11x 2/5
P/B Ratio 1.30x – –
Dividend Yield 2.11% – –
EPS $4.31 – –
Book Value/Share $70.84 – –
Revenue/Share $84.32 – –
FCF/Share $4.38 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricUNMIndustry medianRank
ROE 6.8% – –
ROA 1.2% 0.7% 2/5
Net Margin 6.1% 6.2% 4/5
EBT Margin 7.3% – –
Tax Rate 22.4% – –

Financial Health

MetricUNMIndustry medianRank
D/E Ratio 4.57x – –
Financial Leverage 5.57x – –

Cash Flow

MetricUNMIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $830M $830M 3/5
Free Cash Flow $693M – –
Capital Spending -$137M – –
OCF Growth YoY -47.4% -0.8% 5/5
FCF Growth YoY -52.0% – –
FCF/Sales 5.2% – –
CapEx/Sales 1.0% – –

Operational Efficiency

MetricUNMIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.21x 0.16x 2/5
Fixed Assets Turnover 26.4x – –

Income Statement

MetricUNMIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $13.35B $13.35B 3/5
Net Income $756M $756M 3/5

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricUNMIndustry medianRank
Dividends Per Share $1.94 – –
Payout Ratio 45.0% – –
Shares Outstanding 158M – –
Net Income Growth -44.9% 2.3% 4/5
EPS Growth -48.4% 5.4% 4/5

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Cash & Short-term Investments$199M0.3% of assets
Total Liabilities$51.25B82.0% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

UNM quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Accident & Health Insurance

Unum Group (UNM) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Unum Group (Accident & Health Insurance): 5 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Total) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
UNM Unum Group ▶ $14.60B 21.4x 1.3x
AFL Aflac Inc ▼ $60.15B 12.9x 2.0x
PFG Principal Financial Group Inc ▼ $23.91B 15.6x 2.0x
CNO Cno Financial Group, Inc. ▼ $5.06B 20.1x 2.0x
PRCH Porch Group, Inc. ▲ $1.99B 875.0x –

Where UNM sits on the market map

Finance · Accident & Health Insurance
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News

Unum Group (UNM) stock news

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FAQ

Unum Group (UNM) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Unum Group (UNM) stock forecast?

On Oct. 16, 2026, UNM is rated Neutral: its 90-day Total forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5185 stocks scored that day.

How accurate are Unum Group stock predictions?

For UNM, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 23.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 13.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Unum Group forecasts updated?

Unum Group forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Unum Group's industry peers?

5 issuers in our coverage, UNM included, share the SEC industry code Accident & Health Insurance. The largest are: Aflac Inc (AFL), Principal Financial Group Inc (PFG), Cno Financial Group, Inc. (CNO), Porch Group, Inc. (PRCH).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.