Valvoline Inc (VVV) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Total · absolute moveSwitch to Alpha · NYSE
Valvoline Inc (VVV) stock forecast summary
Our AI ranks Valvoline Inc outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
Valvoline Inc is a mid-cap company with a market capitalization of $4.01B.
For VVV, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 36.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 4.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected absolute price move over the horizon, market included. This is the number a price target is built from. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +5.1%, buy ≥ +3.4%, sell < +1.8%, strong sell < +0.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)
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How VVV ranks among 5184 stocks
90D Total forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Valvoline Inc (VVV) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Miscellaneous Products of Petroleum & Coal peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | VVV | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $4.01B | – |
| P/E Ratio | 22.15x | – |
| P/B Ratio | 9.63x | – |
| EPS | $1.42 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $3.27 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $15.39 | – |
| FCF/Share | $1.06 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | VVV | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROE | 24.4% | – |
| ROA | 2.9% | – |
| ROIC | 9.8% | – |
| Gross Margin | 38.3% | – |
| Operating Margin | 15.3% | – |
| Net Margin | 5.2% | – |
| EBT Margin | 9.0% | – |
| Tax Rate | 41.2% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | VVV | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.70x | – |
| Quick Ratio | 0.58x | – |
| D/E Ratio | 7.36x | – |
| Financial Leverage | 8.36x | – |
| Interest Coverage | 1.5x | – |
| Working Capital | -$121M | – |
Cash Flow
| Metric | VVV | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $406M | – |
| Free Cash Flow | $135M | – |
| Capital Spending | -$271M | – |
| OCF Growth YoY | 47.0% | – |
| FCF Growth YoY | 201.3% | – |
| FCF/Sales | 6.9% | – |
| CapEx/Sales | 13.8% | – |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | VVV | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 0.56x | – |
| Receivables Turnover | 19.1x | – |
| Inventory Turnover | 24.1x | – |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 1.5x | – |
| Days Sales Outstanding | 19 days | – |
| Days Inventory | 15 days | – |
| Payables Period | 36 days | – |
| Cash Conversion Cycle | -2 days | – |
Income Statement
| Metric | VVV | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $1.96B | – |
| Operating Income | $301M | – |
| Net Income | $102M | – |
| SG&A Expense | $404M | – |
| Cost of Goods Sold | $1.21B | – |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | VVV | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Shares Outstanding | 128M | – |
| Net Income Growth | -63.5% | – |
| EPS Growth | -28.6% | – |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Total Current Assets | $284M | 8.2% of assets |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $84M | 2.4% of assets |
| Accounts Receivable | $103M | 3.0% of assets |
| Inventory | $50M | 1.4% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $3.06B | 88.0% of assets |
| Short-term Debt | $286M | 8.2% of assets |
VVV quarterly financials and insider trading
Valvoline Inc (VVV) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Valvoline Inc (Miscellaneous Products of Petroleum & Coal): 2 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
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Valvoline Inc (VVV) stock news
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Valvoline Inc (VVV) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Valvoline Inc (VVV) stock forecast?
Our AI ranks Valvoline Inc outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
How accurate are Valvoline Inc stock predictions?
For VVV, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 36.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 4.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Valvoline Inc forecasts updated?
Valvoline Inc forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.
Which companies are Valvoline Inc's industry peers?
2 issuers in our coverage, VVV included, share the SEC industry code Miscellaneous Products of Petroleum & Coal. The largest are: Quaker Chemical Corp (KWR).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.