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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Willis Lease Finance Corp (WLFC) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq

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Rating · 90D ▲ Bullish Exact rating locked
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Top 35% of 5172 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D -10.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $795M small-cap · #3 of 5 peers
Summary

Willis Lease Finance Corp (WLFC) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks Willis Lease Finance Corp outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

Willis Lease Finance Corp is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $795M. It ranks number 3 by market capitalization among the 5 Wholesale-Machinery, Equipment & Supplies issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For WLFC, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -10.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -2.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, WLFC included.

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Price

WLFC price chart and AI forecast

WLFC
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How WLFC ranks among 5172 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-06-30

Willis Lease Finance Corp (WLFC) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Wholesale-Machinery, Equipment & Supplies peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricWLFCIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $795M $795M 3/5
P/E Ratio 9.45x – –
P/B Ratio 1.15x 1.15x 3/5
Dividend Yield 1.40% – –
EPS $3.98 – –
Book Value/Share $32.84 – –
Revenue/Share $36.20 – –
FCF/Share $11.92 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricWLFCIndustry medianRank
ROE 12.5% 3.7% 2/5
Operating Margin 15.7% 4.5% 1/5
Net Margin 11.3% 3.5% 1/5
EBT Margin 17.8% 5.7% 1/5
Tax Rate 32.4% – –

Financial Health

MetricWLFCIndustry medianRank
D/E Ratio 3.96x 0.64x 1/5
Interest Coverage 1.1x – –

Cash Flow

MetricWLFCIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $272M $57M 2/5
Free Cash Flow $252M $37M 2/5
Capital Spending -$20M -$20M 4/5
OCF Growth YoY -9.2% -9.2% 3/5
FCF Growth YoY -6.3% -6.3% 3/5
FCF/Sales 32.9% 1.8% 1/5
CapEx/Sales 2.6% 1.4% 1/5

Operational Efficiency

MetricWLFCIndustry medianRank
Receivables Turnover 18.5x – –
Days Sales Outstanding 20 days – –

Income Statement

MetricWLFCIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $765M $765M 3/5
Operating Income $120M $73M 2/5
Net Income $87M $9M 2/5
SG&A Expense $287M $287M 3/5

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricWLFCIndustry medianRank
Dividends Per Share $0.53 – –
Payout Ratio 13.3% – –
Shares Outstanding 21M – –
Net Income Growth -29.2% -29.2% 3/5
EPS Growth -28.8% – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Cash & Short-term Investments$11M0.3% of assets
Accounts Receivable$41M1.2% of assets
Total Liabilities$2.75B79.9% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

WLFC quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Wholesale-Machinery, Equipment & Supplies

Willis Lease Finance Corp (WLFC) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Willis Lease Finance Corp (Wholesale-Machinery, Equipment & Supplies): 5 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
WLFC Willis Lease Finance Corp ▲ $795M 9.5x 1.2x
AIT Applied Industrial Technologies Inc ▼ $12.13B 30.2x 6.5x
DSGR Distribution Solutions Group, Inc. ▼ $1.62B 140.2x 2.5x
ASLE Aersale Corp ▶ $227M – 0.5x
HDSN Hudson Technologies Inc /Ny ▼ $211M 19.3x 0.9x

Where WLFC sits on the market map

Trade & Services · Wholesale-Machinery, Equipment & Supplies
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News

Willis Lease Finance Corp (WLFC) stock news

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FAQ

Willis Lease Finance Corp (WLFC) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Willis Lease Finance Corp (WLFC) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks Willis Lease Finance Corp outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are Willis Lease Finance Corp stock predictions?

For WLFC, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -10.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -2.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Willis Lease Finance Corp forecasts updated?

Willis Lease Finance Corp forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Willis Lease Finance Corp's industry peers?

5 issuers in our coverage, WLFC included, share the SEC industry code Wholesale-Machinery, Equipment & Supplies. The largest are: Applied Industrial Technologies Inc (AIT), Distribution Solutions Group, Inc. (DSGR), Aersale Corp (ASLE), Hudson Technologies Inc /Ny (HDSN).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.